Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Is the northwest movement done? for the most part yes. models may wobble a bit but wholesale moves are unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Tip was wasted last nite with the "guys" drinking bubbly thru interlocking arms and made a reference that I look like Billy Joel We couldn't look more dissimiliar. Huge 12 z runs today. Absolutely monsters Funny. He actually does look a lot like my boss. As far as the 12z runs go, I'm not sure they'll be monsters, but hopefully they'll be moisters. Recent evolution says yes, but whether it continues/reverses/steady-states, we'll be learning soon enough. I'm glad to see that CT/RI sucker hole seems to have disappeared! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 My best guess for "jackpot" will be in the Weymouth/Cohasset/Brockton area. 14-16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 My best guess for "jackpot" will be in the Weymouth/Cohasset/Brockton area. 14-16" Some place out that way will see 18-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I can't believe the temp profiles for this storm. Single digits with accumulating snow thursday night. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I can't believe the temp profiles for this storm. Single digits with accumulating snow thursday night. Wow! I guess we won't be depending on evaporational cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I guess we won't be depending on evaporational cooling. Def no cats paws with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The dryness (??) of this snow will make the blowing aspect pretty neat. Should make for some good post snow visibility issues at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Have not seen that icon on my PNC in a while. Maybe February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The dryness (??) of this snow will make the blowing aspect pretty neat. Should make for some good post snow visibility issues at times.. Ginxy will geek out with drifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Surprised it's been overcast since sunrise. Wasn't expecting that to happen until later on today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 . Ginxy will geek out with drifts snow depths at the pit ranging from a dusting to 3'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I can't believe the temp profiles for this storm. Single digits with accumulating snow thursday night. Wow! Its is pretty remarkable. The euro/nam 2mt would argue for alot of the interior snowing around 0 thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Surprised it's been overcast since sunrise. Wasn't expecting that to happen until later on today. And snowing now to boot, ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Btv wrf has been consistent with showing large qpf totals for the S SHORE. This model shows overrunning beginning around midnite and encompassing all of sne by say 4/5 am then lasting thru day, it shows a MONSTER coastal front developing tomm eve and tightening. Verbatim , early tomm nite is has 30 in S weymouth and 10 in Wayland, upper 20's cape Ann, single numbers for ray. The cf is set up decently east and Even east of CF snow is main precip type. But wow does essex county and adjacent cities/towns look to cash in ...i.e reading/ medford/ allston . Qpf jackpot is plympton/plymouth and another max near Hanover/S weymouth/randolph . Both in excess of 1.70 . E mass has 1.25 from say 95 in essex down thru above mentioned towns (reading/medford..etc) and generally .6-.9 for most else. Should mention Beverly to Ipswich on east has 1.5-1.75 as well. Could be power issues E side of coastal front w hvy wet snow the Ptype, scituate ,marshfield and coastal pym, get ready. The 12km version is similiar w qpf distribution amd start times but toned down 20-25%. E mass .75+ 128 east 1.25 Cape Ann to e pym county and cape (+) bos /s.shore 1--1.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Going to be a brutal storm for a lot of people if you combine the temps, winds, and snow consistency. I really see concentrated bands at times that could give some impressive snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I think NWS is going to seriously consider Blizzard Watches for the 12z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 weenie statement but as some have said, we don't get storms with these temp profiles often, I'm going to enjoy every second of it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Seemed like SREFS ticked QPF up just a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 09z SREFs robust for E areas for 1"+. .5" for all other areas up into CNE 0.25" up to canadian border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy New Year, great trends. Nice to have a storm enroute with zero chance of any p-ype issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What kind of ratios are we looking at for this on the W side of the coastal front? Would seem to be very good unless it is actually too cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I honestly think this is a system where scott gets at least half more than kev and ray. I think there is a significant gradient that sets up between (reverse gradient) if u will (as CURRently modeled) 495 and bos/n shore /s shore. Beverly And S.Weymouth down thru Middleboro /Plympton look prime for a foot , perhaps a shade more depending on model trends and cold conveyer transport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I honestly think this is a system where scott gets at least half more than kev and ray. I think there is a significant gradient that sets up between (reverse gradient) if u will (as CURRently modeled) 495 and bos/n shore /s shore. Beverly And S.Weymouth down thru Middleboro /Plympton look prime for a foot , perhaps a shade more depending on model trends and cold conveyer transport Almost everyone in SNE is going to get around a foot. The big winners out that way will be in the 15-20 inch range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 09z SREFs robust for E areas for 1"+. .5" for all other areas up into CNE 0.25" up to canadian border. Let's hoist a New year's toast to good ratios. We'll need 'em..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 ECMWF or NCEP about to get a major smack down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Now just need to see if the 12z runs hold serve and are done jumping around. Had to play catch up because I caught that nasty stomach bug and didn't feel like getting out of bed yesterday. Looked at the runs from 18-24 hours ago and thought everything was just moving too fast to allow it to come together resulting in a long period of overrunning but nothing too exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Dats a lot of liquid...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Not to be funny but w arctic air in place the storm looks to be traversing the "you know what" James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 ECMWF or NCEP about to get a major smack down epic model bashing to ensue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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