ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 18z RGEM was run from Ray's laptop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Gotcha. Yeah, I scratched my head a little bit at that...more so due to the lack of continuity with the neighboring BOX office than the actual forecast. It looks to have been fixed. I was referring to the map before their 11AM update that had 10-14 in Litchfield County. Its within a realm of acceptability IMO but I could see it being a little to high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 What's your location? Sorry just want to get an idea lol E.Providence, rumford section, right on the Seekonk border and right on the Pawtucket border 10 miles west of you roughly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 18z RGEM was run from Ray's laptop thats colder than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 i'm kind of thinking the same...i don't know about 2-3 here but thinking 1" is possible Yeah hoping for an inch but wondering if I can grab more. Big fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Light flakes have commenced, OE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 the p and c's are all over the place in just a few miles. a mile north of me its 4-8 mile south 3-7. Is give or take an inch "all over the place"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 E.Providence, rumford section, right on the Seekonk border and right on the Pawtucket border 10 miles west of you roughly Okay I'm familiar with that area. Yeah I think were in line for 4 to 8. Not sure what your thinking is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Dave--did you guys pick up accumulations out there today? Sorry for the OT. Got it covered in the general obs thread: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41846-december-general-obs-and-banter-hoping-for-cold-white/page-12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Is give or take an inch "all over the place"? haha when I think of it being all within less than a 5 min drive yes haha. I nearly got a T earlier this week, I'm just hoping for as much as I can get before the inevitable taint/rain comes in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 GFS at 12z Sunday. Dry slot has worked into SNE by this time, but that is a nice signal for a solid band of heavy snow across southern NH and southwestern ME. 20 ubar/s solidly within a saturated snow growth zone. This look very similar across MA 6 hours before this panel. GFS_DGZ.jpg Makes you wonder why the WSW in SNE is going to 1:00p.m. doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Yeah hoping for an inch but wondering if I can grab more. Big fluff. It looks like OES starts during the morning on the Cape and then spreads northwest as the winds turn more easterly in the BL...that is damned cold too. I'd be surprised if there wasn't OES. the meso models are certainly pointing to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Okay I'm familiar with that area. Yeah I think were in line for 4 to 8. Not sure what your thinking is i think 6 is going to be the number but it all depends on the front end thump if it takes a while to get going its curtains and it will be 4. I hope there is a 2 hour or so rain window b4 a dry slot or end of the storm, just to keep whatever is imby for the freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Max amounts look to be in the 14-16 inch range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Makes you wonder why the WSW in SNE is going to 1:00p.m. doesn't it? It's kind of a quirk of verification on those products. It's better to have a wide goal post and cancel early than it is to have to extend it. Basically if we extend it and hit the warning we only get credit for one hit, but if we extend and miss the warning we get hit twice for the false alarm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Pretty much 10-12:1 ratios is the thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Looks like 18z GFS ticked south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It's kind of a quirk of verification on those products. It's better to have a wide goal post and cancel early than it is to have to extend it. Basically if we extend it and hit the warning we only get credit for one hit, but if we extend and miss the warning we get hit twice for the false alarm. Thanks. I read the warning with hope I'd be still getting some snow on Sunday (forecast says yes, that GFS map says nyet). 19.8/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Makes you wonder why the WSW in SNE is going to 1:00p.m. doesn't it? Because light snows are going to linger much of the day Sunday as ULL moves across. it happens everytime and then there's all kinds of ..man it kept snowing a lot longer than i thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Thanks. I read the warning with hope I'd be still getting some snow on Sunday (forecast says yes, that GFS map says nyet). 19.8/12 Not that it can't snow with that map, but the vast majority of the accumulating stuff would be done. Worcester Hills/Monadnocks FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 A laptop in Hubbardston just rose a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Because light snows are going to linger much of the day Sunday as ULL moves across. it happens everytime and then there's all kinds of ..man it kept snowing a lot longer than i thought Sometimes (by my recollection most of the time) the opposite seems to happen, other than mood snows. I expect it to snow until, say, noon, and at 10AM, blue skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 GFS at 12z Sunday. Dry slot has worked into SNE by this time, but that is a nice signal for a solid band of heavy snow across southern NH and southwestern ME. 20 ubar/s solidly within a saturated snow growth zone. This look very similar across MA 6 hours before this panel. GFS_DGZ.jpg Conveyor belt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 i think 6 is going to be the number but it all depends on the front end thump if it takes a while to get going its curtains and it will be 4. I hope there is a 2 hour or so rain window b4 a dry slot or end of the storm, just to keep whatever is imby for the freeze Exactly it really depends on the change. If it's early 4 or 5 if it's right on time 6 or 7. If it waits 8ish. Probably won't have a real good idea till the storm gets going. Going to be fun regardless. Biggest early season snow in our backyards in several years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 18z Gfs is definitely a good shift east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 18z Gfs is definitely a good shift east 4mb weaker plays a role in that, As well as you already know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Because light snows are going to linger much of the day Sunday as ULL moves across. it happens everytime and then there's all kinds of ..man it kept snowing a lot longer than i thought As OceanStWx just explained, that's not why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 18z Gfs is definitely a good shift east Despite that, it still has very good looking isentropic lift across most of the area. Basically taking parcels around 925 mb near ACY and lifting them up to 725 mb by the northern Worcester Hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Despite that, it still has very good looking isentropic lift across most of the area. Basically taking parcels around 925 mb near ACY and lifting them up to 725 mb by the northern Worcester Hills. I think Will is right definitely convective issues here and there popping up. Would like to see a stronger track just outside of ack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 18z Gfs is definitely a good shift east That blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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