OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Probably by 10 in Greenwich? Not the most accurate way to go about it, but tracking the motion of the melting layer from OKX and extrapolating puts it to the CT shore in the next hour/hour and a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Not the most accurate way to go about it, but tracking the motion of the melting layer from OKX and extrapolating puts it to the CT shore in the next hour/hour and a half. Yup - was doing the same. Sometimes they like to stall a bit so this may stutter a bit in the Sound. Already to the LIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Yup - was doing the same. Sometimes they like to stall a bit so this may stutter a bit in the Sound. Already to the LIE. Looks to me like the low level warmth moved on shore first, now the mid level front is catching up and overtaking the coastal front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 6.6F, SN- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 It went to FZRA in southeast Nassau Cty, LI around 10 mins ago.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Carbin really went all out with his 1"/hr bubbles on this diagram. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Still snow atm in Elizabeth, NJ ..sw of NYC... Edit...turned to sleet now....from your old pal Greg down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2013 Author Share Posted December 15, 2013 We're in now-cast but the NAM is cooler and higher QPF (fwiw...) Frankly the rad is rather shredded though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Gotta love it that Box has me at 84% of 4" or more when I easily have more than 4" already. How do they get those probabilities, SREF's??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 By the looks of it, the nw trend on the entire 12z suite will not come to fruition. Looks like Tip is right and the cold air will win the battle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I don't think they've updated the probabilities since this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I think Noyes scores a coup on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I think Noyes scores a coup on this one. That might be tough but I hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 700mb fronto cranking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I know it's late in the game for model watching but holy cow at the GFS for ENY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I know it's late in the game for model watching but holy cow at the GFS for ENY! Sure ramps up QPF between 6 and 9z, think it's probably overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 12 rgem and euro did very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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