CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 i see a NE movement You and I should get similar amounts because of the trajectory. I'm hoping for more than 2, but 1-2 seems reasonable. It's all about where the band sets up. This initial band looks good, but then the s coast one make take over later this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 OBX has upped me to 3-5-snow has just begun here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Latest RAP rips the SEMA/ CC area from about 17z on for several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I don't like how eastward the trajectory is for most of us. I agree that 1-2" is a good call for most except the south coast and SE MA/Cape which should have a better chance at banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 10, 2013 Author Share Posted December 10, 2013 Echoes developing along the South Coast of MA and RI, also over Long Island, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 BOX's update at 7am... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion -- 7 AM UPDATE... CLOUD TOPS COOLING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ALONG WITH A BAROCLINIC LEAF FORMING FROM OH-WESTERN PA INTO NY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH RACES NE THROUGH THE EASTERN US LONG WAVE TROUGH. SNOW NOT REACHING THE GROUND YET ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS SURFACE OBS INDICATE NEAREST SNOWFALL OCCURRING OVER EASTERN PA AT 7 AM. LATEST TRENDS FROM 06Z NAM/GFS AND 03Z SREF SUGGEST A SOUTHWARD TREND IN QPF. LATEST RUNS OF HRRR ALSO SUPPORT THIS IDEA ALONG WITH MESOSCALE SNOW BANDS FRAGMENTED AND DISORGANIZED. NOT TOTALLY UNREALISTIC AS WAVE REMAINS OPEN AND VERY PROGRESSIVE. THUS OUR SNOWFALL PREDICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN CT INTO NORTHERN RI MAY BE TOO HIGH IF MID LEVEL FGEN AND MESOSCALE SNOW BANDS SET UP FARTHER SOUTHEAST. WE WILL LEAVE FORECAST AS IS FOR NOW BUT ALERT ONCOMING SHIFT TO MONITOR LATEST TRENDS. EARLIER DISCUSSION BELOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 went from sporadic flurries to light snow within a few minutes Ansonia, ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 BOX's update at 7am... Not exactly a high confidence forecast from them wrt accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 BOX's update at 7am... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion -- 7 AM UPDATE... CLOUD TOPS COOLING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ALONG WITH A BAROCLINIC LEAF FORMING FROM OH-WESTERN PA INTO NY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH RACES NE THROUGH THE EASTERN US LONG WAVE TROUGH. SNOW NOT REACHING THE GROUND YET ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS SURFACE OBS INDICATE NEAREST SNOWFALL OCCURRING OVER EASTERN PA AT 7 AM. LATEST TRENDS FROM 06Z NAM/GFS AND 03Z SREF SUGGEST A SOUTHWARD TREND IN QPF. LATEST RUNS OF HRRR ALSO SUPPORT THIS IDEA ALONG WITH MESOSCALE SNOW BANDS FRAGMENTED AND DISORGANIZED. NOT TOTALLY UNREALISTIC AS WAVE REMAINS OPEN AND VERY PROGRESSIVE. THUS OUR SNOWFALL PREDICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN CT INTO NORTHERN RI MAY BE TOO HIGH IF MID LEVEL FGEN AND MESOSCALE SNOW BANDS SET UP FARTHER SOUTHEAST. WE WILL LEAVE FORECAST AS IS FOR NOW BUT ALERT ONCOMING SHIFT TO MONITOR LATEST TRENDS. EARLIER DISCUSSION BELOW. I thought they were maybe too aggressive north of their office. We will see. HRRR....blah. Blows in these situations. 1-3/2-4 for my hood I feel good with, everyone else good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Models have this initial burst and then really enhance things pike south late morning thru early afternoon as fronto increases. The higher amounts will come if that enhancement they show at that timeframe occurs. If not then it 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 For posterity: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Time to cut back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Models have this initial burst and then really enhance things pike south late morning thru early afternoon as fronto increases. The higher amounts will come if that enhancement they show at that timeframe occurs. If not then it 1-3 Tons of school closures already in ct. not like back in the day thats for sure. I remember walking home after school in the late 80s in a huge storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Time to cut back From what? Most forecasts are 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Time to cut back It wasn't supposed to do much here until mid to late morning down here...10-1130 or so. This band was ALWAYS supposed to form up west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It wasn't supposed to do much here until mid to late morning down here...10-1130 or so. This band was ALWAYS supposed to form up west of us. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 nothing to 1" per hour rates in 10 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Wheeeeeeee. We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Se am going to be in the donut for an hour or two. It's also warm. Problematic for accumulating snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Looks like the radar is filling in pretty nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 ObsThread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41940-dec-10th-obs-thread/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Raining in Taunton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 1 inch here under moderate snow...32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Raining in Taunton Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nam? NAM says that we may be on the northern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Death band down by me but I'm not there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.