Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 True. For our area I guess I'd call any single system over 3" significant. I'm not really excited for the next week but I wouldn't feel comfortable going all the way out to the 15th as Chad did. FWIW, he says it's based on models and analog data. If he is right, it would kinda stink to blow this much of prime time winter. Well you know me...I'm not a big fan. But, he's got his methods. I'm not saying we're gonna cash here in the LAF...but the period just after the Jan 1 is something to watch to me. Whether it bears fruit is to be determined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I noticed the 00z euro finally shows that 'cluster' of a system on it that GFS keeps showing and then losing....later next week. It's more east and south then the gfs's depictions but the fact that it finally shows it is 'something'....at least. long time friend....how is it going? Are you still complaining about everything:)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 long time friend....how is it going? Are you still complaining about everything:)?U shld change ur name 2 Ja Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 long time friend....how is it going? Are you still complaining about everything:)? meh, doing ok we're only at 17.2 for the season though so yea, I'm a bit grumpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 U shld change ur name 2 Ja lol.. actually I think JA is just Jk'ing.... we go way back together before sub forum segregation....it was a weenie orgy. I kinda miss those days. Back to the 'event' next week. Blech....here in CMH we don't do transfers, double lows, jumpers, miller B's etc very good at all. They usually screw us in a plethora of ways. Show me an evolution to more of a strong digging clipper or a more phased system out of the gulf and I'll start getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 lol.. actually I think JA is just Jk'ing.... we go way back together before sub forum segregation....it was a weenie orgy. I kinda miss those days. Back to the 'event' next week. Blech....here in CMH we don't do transfers, double lows, jumpers, miller B's etc very good at all. They usually screw us in a plethora of ways. Show me an evolution to more of a strong digging clipper or a more phased system out of the gulf and I'll start getting excited. I thought so but wasnt sure so figured I'd throw it out there. LOLYeah, this pattern is totally bleh. I kind of wish northern stream would get dominant at the least so we could get a "better" clipper. Was it 2009 that we kept getting those over performing clippers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 12z EURO is trying to shove my adamancy up my ass. The PV positioning has been trending further east on most models, including the euro. This allow's the vort max to dig further south over the plains as wave spacing is nicer and there's less shearing from the PV. 12z euro goes negative pretty fast... if trend keeps up maybe we can cash in on some miller B action. Keeping an eye on the kicker scooting along the frame of the ridge, as a trend stronger could spell trouble for a NW shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Its still very early to make a call, but it seems like this may be a very spread-the-wealth type winter in terms of snowfall/snowstorms/snow events. Pick your poison aka latitude when it comes to snowcover length, depth, torches, etc...but as young as this winter is, there has been a very generous spread in who has gotten what from different snow events. So many years that is NOT the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 The PV positioning has been trending further east on most models, including the euro. This allow's the vort max to dig further south over the plains as wave spacing is nicer and there's less shearing from the PV. 12z euro goes negative pretty fast... if trend keeps up maybe we can cash in on some miller B action. Keeping an eye on the kicker scooting along the frame of the ridge, as a trend stronger could spell trouble for a NW shift.Some of the GFS ensembles are pretty big hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Take a look at JB's Saturday summary video for today from the Weatherbell free site. He seems to think that a similar pattern to January 1994 is setting up and is calling for the cold to be centred right over our subforum for the month of January. http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-december-28-2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 meh, doing ok we're only at 17.2 for the season though so yea, I'm a bit grumpy. You have 17 already? Isn't that 16 more than normal for December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 EURO snow depth at 240 hours. Looks like a mini ice age. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 EURO snow depth at 240 hours. Looks like a mini ice age. euro_snowdepth_240hr.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 *WOW* at the 00z EURO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 EURO snow depth at 240 hours. Looks like a mini ice age. euro_snowdepth_240hr.png Give me this or give me spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 That'd be terrific geos. Might go a long way toward almost ensuring nearly two months of wall to wall sniwcover assuming no major torches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 EURO snow depth at 240 hours. Looks like a mini ice age. euro_snowdepth_240hr.png would be impressive for the southern lakes area. awesome N MI is keeping up with UP snow amounts. Gaylord is well above most areas in the UP with the exception of some Keweenaw spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Looks like all my rest the last few days will be well rewarded if the snow maps hold. Today will be another get stuff ready for snow days !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 990 x 1052 @ H192 via the 12Z EURO 29DEC .... zoinks scooby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 990 x 1052 @ H192 via the 12Z EURO 29DEC .... zoinks scooby and 850 mb temps of -40C into North Dakota. What a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 12z Euro has ridiculous cold beyond hr 192. The map is similar to some of the all-time great arctic outbreaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 12z Euro has ridiculous cold beyond hr 192. The map is similar to some of the all-time great arctic outbreaks. GFS also has some incredible cold temps at 228hrs and 240hrs. 0 degrees F with wind in Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 12z Euro has ridiculous cold beyond hr 192. The map is similar to some of the all-time great arctic outbreaks. looks like it's ushered in with a possible app runner. lock it in please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 teehee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 teehee USA_TMP_850mb_192.gif USA_TMP_850mb_216.gif polar vortex ready to say hi to lake michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 -30° here at 216 hours on the EURO! 2m temperature that is. I hope that does not happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 I wonder how fast lakes would freeze over with those type of temperatures... WOW, get the block heaters ready folks !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 12z Euro has ridiculous cold beyond hr 192. The map is similar to some of the all-time great arctic outbreaks. yeah some pretty epic stuff being modeled...plenty to track between the temps and systems...I like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 pretty much ends LE season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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