Sickman Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 What, no one wants to talk about the beautiful weather? What a day . Low this am 61 after a low yesterday of 55 IMBY. Personally, I'm more a fan of extreme weather... extremely beautiful weather, not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 here's how 2013 stacks up with 1964 which had one of the coolest first 21 days in August... 1964's average high from the 1st to 16th was 81...it would average 81 for the first 21 days...So far 2013 is averaging 80...one degree cooler...here's how it differs from 1964...The minimum averaged 61 in 1964 and 67 in 2013...1964 averaged 81 for the first 21 days and 61 for a minimum before it hit 91 on the 22nd...it was very dry in the summer of 64...very low dew points contributed to the lower minimums... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Looks like more of the same this weekend, after this brief window of heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Euro and Gfs seem to be in better agreement on timing of the front thursday now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Boring boring boring. Weather that is. Is this SOCAL? Worst thunderstorm season in years here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 12Pm Roundup; TEB: 84 NYC: 84 EWR: 85 LGA: 83 ISP: 83 New Bnswk: 85 BLM: 82 TTN: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Boring boring boring. Weather that is. Is this SOCAL? Worst thunderstorm season in years here. I agree, its been unusually quiet (especially south shore). I do love this weather, but does this summer end off with a bang or do we just quietly transition into fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Boring boring boring. Weather that is. Is this SOCAL? Worst thunderstorm season in years here. Agreed. I've only seen lightning once this year which is just absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Looks like the recent dryness is helping give temps a bit of a boost TEB: 87 NYC: 87 EWR: 89 LGA: 86 JFK: 83 New Bnswk: 89 TTN: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sutherlandfan Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Interesting Pattern next week starting Tuesday, some real high pressure parked over the plains and Western Midwest. What are the chances that moves east? Summer doesnt want to die!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeatMiser Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 It is a monstrous ridge. We might get treated to some end of august heat after the chilling start to the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Both the gfs and the ecm trended stronger and furthr east with ridge and heat dome ultimately leading to warmer weather here next mon - wed/thu. The potential for some more heat next week after this week's warmup has been there for a few model cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sutherlandfan Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Both the gfs and the ecm trended stronger and furthr east with ridge and heat dome ultimately leading to warmer weather here next mon - wed/thu. The potential for some more heat next week after this week's warmup has been there for a few model cycles. Im thinking low 90's extending into Central PA are a possibility. If the ridge moves east then 90's for the entire Mid Atl could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Today's highs New Bnswk: 91EWR: 90LGA: 89TEB: 89NYC: 88ACY: 87TTN: 87PHL: 87ISP: 86JFK: 85 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsW8rXPcnM0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Fwiw the 18z gfs maintains higher heights through labor day with some more heat next week mon - wed and labor day weekend. We'll see if the trend continues on the 00z guidance. Suspect recent overall dryness may aid temps ahead of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 I'll be driving to Florida tomorrow and will be back next Friday...Big storms today where I'm headed...I hope it continues that way...It keeps the temperatures down...It might hit 90 tomorrow in Central Park...TWT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Amazing weather over the past week and the very cool August is slowly beginning to back away, not before another cool shot pushes through this weekend. I'm at -3.2 on the month temp wise here, and today was the hottest day so far in August at an unimpressive 86.4F. Four nights in the 50s over the past week, 53F, 53F, 54F, and 59F. Still stagnant on 90 degree days since mid July, stuck at #15. We'll see if tomorrow can do it. I'm thinking LGA and EWR probably do; NYC may top out at 89. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Amazing weather over the past week and the very cool August is slowly beginning to back away, not before another cool shot pushes through this weekend. I'm at -3.2 on the month temp wise here, and today was the hottest day so far in August at an unimpressive 86.4F. Four nights in the 50s over the past week, 53F, 53F, 54F, and 59F. Still stagnant on 90 degree days since mid July, stuck at #15. We'll see if tomorrow can do it. I'm thinking LGA and EWR probably do; NYC may top out at 89. NYC finishes between -1.5 and -2, you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Departures thru 8/20 NYC: -2.4 LGA: -2.0 JFK: -2.3 EWR: -2.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Departures thru 8/20 NYC: -2.4 LGA: -2.0 JFK: -2.3 EWR: -2.9 What kind of standard deviations are these numbers, do you have any idea? I'm just wondering how below normal we are, exactly. My intuition is -2.4 isn't that much. But... maybe it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Interesting Pattern next week starting Tuesday, some real high pressure parked over the plains and Western Midwest. What are the chances that moves east? Summer doesnt want to die!! Yes all area airports are -2 or below LL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 21, 2013 Author Share Posted August 21, 2013 The CFS has been doing a great job with the August forecast just like it did in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 The CFS has been doing a great job with the August forecast just like it did in July. post-564-0-46659000-1375354808.jpg MonthTDeptUS.png Should see a pretty impressive turn around in the midwest and GL and some mainly above normal this way the last 10 days. The 00z guidance was warm ut shifted the core of the heat west and just brushes us with warmth on the rim of the ridge next week. Stil think its as warm as this tue/wed part of next week mon - wed. Perhaps anpther surge labor day weekend. Thats an impressive ridge with some strong heat next week just to our southwest, according to the latest guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 NYC finishes between -1.5 and -2, you think? Yeah, I think that's a good range at this point. Not seeing any anomalous warmth in the Northeast over the next 5-7 days at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Temps will likely hit the low 90s today, in NYC/NE NJ. Dews currently in the upper 50s/low 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 12pm Roundup: TEB: 87 NYC: 86 EWR: 87 LGA: 86 JFK: 85 ISP: 86 New Brunswick: 87 BLM: 85 TTN: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Temps will likely hit the low 90s today, in NYC/NE NJ. Dews currently in the upper 50s/low 60s. yep seem to be running a couple of degrees warmer and less clouds (so far) than yesterday. Some places second 90 degree readings this week others first since jul 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 We'll see on 90, 84.8/63 here right now. I think I'll be a near miss. The dew points are actually comfortable compared to what we saw in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 21, 2013 Author Share Posted August 21, 2013 NYC is two degrees warmer than this time yesterday, so we should see a high at Central Park of 89-90 today. The drier conditions this month are helping keep NYC highs closer to the other stations this week than it was back in June and July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Dews continue to fall this hour. LGA temp/dew 86/55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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