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August 2013 General Discussion

Geos

By Geos,
in Lakes/Ohio Valley

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Harry

Harry

Posted
Posted

That storm sucked here until the last hr or two unless you like watching sugar fall from the sky for 12 hrs.  Gawd what a frustrating IMBY storm.

 

About 1.35" of precip from dec 26th through feb.. you'd jump

 

Got a foot here from that storm and then it went on and dumped 18-30 across DC/Baltimore/Philly region. :axe:   I would take that winter ( 09-10 ) in a heart beat over the past 2 dud's.

 

Low this morning ended up at 47. High today will be 69. Pretty amazing to be stuck in the 60s two days in a row under full sun for this time of year.

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BowMeHunter

BowMeHunter

Posted
Posted

Moderate Nino and  record low AO like 2009 is not something that gets me excited on this side of the lake for winter.  I'd rather take my chances on do overs of the last couple duds than go through another Mod-Nino /------ AO and have to get most of my snow fix from MA snow storm threads.

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Stebo

Stebo

Posted
Posted

Hot like sub 85? I don't see it going over 85 for the rest of the summer, models look like 80-83 tops. Western Wisconsin looks warm, but the trough keeps the real heat west of Lake Michigan.

 

Might want to avoid your Point and Click which has 2 highs at or above 85 in it already for next week.

That's what I love about Wundermap, I like to check out the outlying areas to see the real temp.... Most were 47-49.

 

What I would give for a PWS right here.

 

attachicon.gifTemp.jpg

 

I had to reply to this as well, because it is just so silly. How is that woods representative of the metro area? If anything where the ASOS is currently which is out in the open airfield and not around enough concrete/buildings, would not be a true representation of the metro area.

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Stebo

Stebo

Posted
Posted

Moderate Nino and  record low AO like 2009 is not something that gets me excited on this side of the lake for winter.  I'd rather take my chances on do overs of the last couple duds than go through another Mod-Nino /------ AO and have to get most of my snow fix from MA snow storm threads.

 

Certainly don't see a mod Nino in the cards for this winter unless something dramatic happens between now and then, which isn't currently forecast.

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BowMeHunter

BowMeHunter

Posted
Posted

Nope

 

Certainly don't see a mod Nino in the cards for this winter unless something dramatic happens between now and then, which isn't currently forecast.

 

Yeah -  I'm not worried about a nino this winter..  I'd gladly take my chances again with another wet winter like last yr.. Lets just move the december and january snows of last yr east..  F Madison. 

 

I just can't stand a dry winter..

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

Posted
Posted

Sub 50º min temps in Indiana this morning. BMG and MIE take top honors.

 

Bloomington (BMG): 45º

Muncie (MIE): 45º

Goshen (GSH): 46º

Kokomo (OKK): 46º

Zionsville (TYQ): 46º

Lafayette (LAF): 47º

Peru/Grissom (GUS): 47º

Terre Haute (HUF): 47º

Fort Wayne (FWA): 48º

Shelbyville (GEZ): 48º

South Bend (SBN): 48º

Valparaiso (VPZ): 49º

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wisconsinwx

wisconsinwx

Posted
Posted

Nope

 

 

Yeah -  I'm not worried about a nino this winter..  I'd gladly take my chances again with another wet winter like last yr.. Lets just move the december and january snows of last yr east..  F Madison. 

 

I just can't stand a dry winter..

 

Same here, but at least with that dry winter, most of it after that crap December storm was snow.

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Hoosier

Hoosier

Posted
Posted

Never hit 70º on the hourly readings at LAF today. The six hour max temp report at 8:00pm...72º. Classic LAF.

It's felt like Fall the past two days, with the clouds and cool temps and all. Love it.

Anyway, looks seasonably warm to close out the month. Don't see big heat on any of the credible guidance, as of now.

Yeah, doesn't look like anything extreme, but I think it will be a notch above seasonably warm.

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Hoosier

Hoosier

Posted
Posted

90 showing up in the extended. Caveat is that MEX has tended to be warm biased here this summer.

KLAF   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   8/15/2013  1200 UTC                       
 FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192      
      FRI 16| SAT 17| SUN 18| MON 19| TUE 20| WED 21| THU 22|FRI CLIMO
 N/X  54  79| 55  82| 61  84| 60  86| 62  89| 66  89| 66  90| 66 61 82
 TMP  57  71| 58  74| 64  78| 63  78| 65  82| 69  82| 69  82| 68      
 DPT  54  55| 55  55| 61  64| 61  64| 62  66| 64  68| 65  68| 64      
 WND   3   5|  4   7|  5   6|  4   4|  2   7|  3   7|  3   7|  4      
 P12   6   5|  6  11| 13  20| 17  16| 12  12| 13  12| 20  19| 21999999
 P24       6|     11|     31|     26|     16|     18|     29|      999
 Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |         
 Q24       0|      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |         
 T12   1   4|  1   3|  3  19|  8  11|  6  13| 10  22| 13  21| 18      
 T24        |  4    |  9    | 23    | 23    | 24    | 36    | 32
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IWXwx

IWXwx

Posted
Posted

Hot like sub 85? I don't see it going over 85 for the rest of the summer, models look like 80-83 tops. Western Wisconsin looks warm, but the trough keeps the real heat west of Lake Michigan.

DETROIT          KDTW   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   8/15/2013  1200 UTC                        FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192            FRI 16| SAT 17| SUN 18| MON 19| TUE 20| WED 21| THU 22|FRI CLIMO N/X  56  78| 58  81| 60  82| 61  85| 65  86| 67  86| 69  87| 67 60 80 TMP  59  71| 61  75| 64  76| 64  79| 68  80| 70  79| 71  80| 69       DPT  53  53| 55  56| 56  60| 58  62| 62  64| 65  65| 65  63| 64       WND   6   7|  5   8|  5   6|  4   8|  6  11|  6  10|  7   8|  5       P12   7   4|  5   4|  7   8| 15  23| 13   9| 18  15| 24  18| 20 18 20 P24      12|      8|     14|     30|     20|     25|     27|       29 Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |          Q24       0|      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |          T12   0   9|  1   2|  2   5|  4  10|  8  12| 10  25| 16  19| 15       T24        |  9    |  2    |  8    | 23    | 23    | 37    | 28
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Geos

Geos

Posted
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Posted

The GFS has been showing 20+C 850mb temps moving into the region which would support temps in the 90's.

 

I can deal without that kind of heat again! One heat wave was enough. This region needs some rain actually. 

 

I got mid 80s in the forecast for next Wednesday, but not before. Today is kinda cool too, especially with these clouds around.

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Jonger

Jonger

Posted
Posted

Hot like sub 85? I don't see it going over 85 for the rest of the summer, models look like 80-83 tops. Western Wisconsin looks warm, but the trough keeps the real heat west of Lake Michigan.

DETROIT

KDTW GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 8/15/2013 1200 UTC

FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192

FRI 16| SAT 17| SUN 18| MON 19| TUE 20| WED 21| THU 22|FRI CLIMO

N/X 56 78| 58 81| 60 82| 61 85| 65 86| 67 86| 69 87| 67 60 80

TMP 59 71| 61 75| 64 76| 64 79| 68 80| 70 79| 71 80| 69

DPT 53 53| 55 56| 56 60| 58 62| 62 64| 65 65| 65 63| 64

WND 6 7| 5 8| 5 6| 4 8| 6 11| 6 10| 7 8| 5

P12 7 4| 5 4| 7 8| 15 23| 13 9| 18 15| 24 18| 20 18 20

P24 12| 8| 14| 30| 20| 25| 27| 29

Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| |

Q24 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| |

T12 0 9| 1 2| 2 5| 4 10| 8 12| 10 25| 16 19| 15

T24 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 37 | 28

Looks like western areas of the subforum will be warmest, even Lansing should be warmer than Detroit. I don't see 90+, probably upper 80's. Sucks.... That's just more electricity and water for the lawn.

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Jonger

Jonger

Posted
Posted
Ragweed...ugh..  nose is all stuffed up tonite

 

Very dry today..i saw dews were in the upper 40Fs.

 

Anyone know if Sept has ever been warmer then Aug...  up in the midwest/lakes???  I would imagine loss of sunlight makes that darn well near impossible????

Something is irritating my sinuses too, maybe that crap has moved over southern Michigan.

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Geos

Geos

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Ragweed...ugh..  nose is all stuffed up tonite

 

Very dry today..i saw dews were in the upper 40Fs.

 

Anyone know if Sept has ever been warmer then Aug...  up in the midwest/lakes???  I would imagine loss of sunlight makes that darn well near impossible????

 

Yeah ragweed has been bothering most of the month now.

 

I would say that would be very hard to do, given the falling averages and decreasing daylight in September. Probably not impossible if you would have persistent troughing and wet conditions in August, then a ridge and dry pattern for September.

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Brewers

Brewers

Posted
Posted

Ragweed...ugh..  nose is all stuffed up tonite

 

Very dry today..i saw dews were in the upper 40Fs.

 

Anyone know if Sept has ever been warmer then Aug...  up in the midwest/lakes???  I would imagine loss of sunlight makes that darn well near impossible????

 

 

It hasn't happened at MKE but they've come close.

 

Aug 64.4 - 1915
Sep 64.2 - 1915
 
Aug 67.6 - 1897
Sep 67.3 - 1897
 
Aug 66.1 - 1927
Sep 65.8 - 1927
 
Aug 68.2 - 1891
Sep 67.2 - 1891
 
Aug 67.7 - 1920
Sep 66.7 - 1920
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