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About harrisale

  • Rank
    Canadian Weather Geek

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    Guelph, ON
  • Interests
    Environmental Sciences graduate, majoring in Earth and Atmospheric Science.

    I studied hydrology, fluvial processes, geology with meteorology on the side. Work as research technician in agricultural science.

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  1. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Picked up between 2-3" here. Better than nothing and it was fun to watch the temps crash and precipitation types change.
  2. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Some good melts in this thread. I never really had a good feeling about any particular solution with this one. Ensembles were the key. Been seeing huge spread between members beyond 72 hrs for the whole event. Never could be confident in much.
  3. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Very strong surface high to the west on this GFS run. 1050mb at 84 hours.
  4. January 2018 Discussion

    First above freezing temperature recorded in Toronto today since Christmas Eve.
  5. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Unfortunately I’ve already committed to my Bruce Peninsula place for the month. There’s a huge snowpack (3 or so ft) now so hopefully that holds up. The end of the 12Z GEFS and EPS runs sure don’t look pretty either. Pretty similar warm look to both starting around Jan 11-12.
  6. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Some big time 850mb temp anomalies showing up at the end of the run. Terrible timing as I just rented a cottage up on Bruce Peninsula for the month do to some cross country skiing. Praying I’m far enough north that temps can still stay below freezing but that GFS run had a couple rainers for most of the sub.
  7. December 25 - ? Arctic Cold

    Calm wind and clear skies brought us down to an absolutely frigid -19F (-28C!) this morning for the 8am reading. Impressive stuff!
  8. December 24-25 Snow Potential

    Managed to pull off just over 8" here. Lots of drifting but I'm confident in that measurement (rounded down a bit). Was able to stay in the LE band for the entire event. Staying at my parents place in north Oakville, it almost never happens that we jackpot. Took a good hour and a half to dig out! Easily the most I've ever shovelled on Xmas. Merry Christmas to all!
  9. December 24-25 Snow Potential

    Visiting the parents for the holidays, about 30 mins west of Toronto. May actually pull off 6-8" thanks to lake enhanced easterly flow as the low slides just to my south. Ended up right in the jackpot zone. Also worth noting the largest recorded Christmas Eve snowfall for Toronto is 1.4". Should smash that record tonight! What a great Xmas gift!
  10. I think we can all agree that the last few days has turned into the most interesting period of storm tracking in months. edit: at least out east way.
  11. December 21st-23rd Winter Storm

    End of the 3km NAM showing some heavy freezing rain in southern Ontario.
  12. December 2017 Discussion

    Well.. my local forecast is sure looking a lot better than it was a few days ago! Bring on the snow chances.
  13. December 24-25 Snow Potential

    This is what makes it so intriguing to watch. I agree that some changes are still possible. The main vort was still partially off-shore for the 12z runs this morning so I expect some more changes by 00z.
  14. December 21st-23rd Winter Storm

    06Z GFS came in even more suppressed and south. Seems like the CMC may have scored a victory after all.
  15. December 21st-23rd Winter Storm

    Well at least the chances of a total Xmas washout have gone down significantly. GGEM was pretty good for southern OH but was basically too far south for most. I like where the GFS is now, we'll see if it keeps creeping south.