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About harrisale

  • Rank
    Canadian Weather Geek

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    Guelph, ON
  • Interests
    Environmental Sciences graduate, majoring in Earth and Atmospheric Science.

    I studied hydrology, fluvial processes, geology with meteorology on the side. Work as research technician in agricultural science.

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  1. harrisale

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    I suspect they will wait at least another 24 hours before modifying the public forecast to reflect this... if indeed this 'trend' remains on the models. Not enough confidence in a stall just yet to change the cone so dramatically. Could send a confusing message. Though they did add more of a west turn to the cone once the storm moves inland.
  2. harrisale

    June 2018 General Discussion

    The heat and humidity have just moved in today as the dome shifts NE. Looking at one of the most pronounced heat waves in at least 3-4 summers that I can remember. Some models were pushing nation-wide record humidex values as far north as Ottawa (over 110F!) for Sunday.
  3. harrisale

    June 2018 General Discussion

    Some light thunderstorms/showers today with the frontal passage have ushered in much cooler and dry air for the evening. No significant thunderstorms though yet this season around these parts.
  4. harrisale

    May 2018 General Discussion

    Still some several thousand customers without power today from yesterday’s wind event. At the peak of the outages, Hydro One reported 371,000 customers without power and Toronto Hydro reported 68,000 customers out. So that’s 439,000 total customers lost power in the storm in Ontario alone. Probably close to 1 million people! Unfortunately there was also one death from a fallen tree and a pedestrian was hit by a car in an area that had lost power and the streetlights were out. Very fascinating system yesterday, a fun one to watch unfold. In my town, you can see shingles off many roofs, and some of the older big trees didn’t make it through. I was biking home from work during the storm and was blown over twice. Also was blasted in the face a few times by sand and other debris flying around. Now imagine if the trees had been leafed out!
  5. harrisale

    May 2018 General Discussion

    Certainly the biggest non-thunderstorm wind event in quite some time. Hydro One reporting over 193,000 customers without power in Ontario. And of course that doesn’t even include Toronto or most of the GTA. Not much hype that’s true. Honestly I didn’t even notice the models showing an event of this magnitude until this morning. edit: Flight operations (in and out) now fully suspended at YYZ.
  6. harrisale

    May 2018 General Discussion

    Just read that the 118 km/h gust (73 mph) gust at YYZ was the highest recorded since 1964. That’s 54 years ago! Impressive stuff out there.
  7. harrisale

    May 2018 General Discussion

    Just saw that! One of the highest I can remember as well (67 kts for our American friends).
  8. harrisale

    May 1-4 Severe Threats

    Half decent severe set up for Southern Ontario this afternoon. We could see a few pockets of 1000 J/kg CAPE build this afternoon under some partial clearing. Very strong LLJ will punch through with the cold front, in excess of 70 kts. Not so much turning in the winds, I suspect a largely linear storm mode but some embedded rotation could be possible (a few areas of 0-1KM 100-200 m2/s2 helicity values showing up on the NAM). LCL remains low at around 500 meters currently according to the mesoanalysis. Bulk shear in the range of 50-70kts will overlay the southern part of the province this afternoon. Severe wind gusts seem likely in the 50-60kt range.
  9. harrisale

    May 2018 General Discussion

    Still no leaf out here, and amazingly barely any buds save for a few of the earlier species. Grass is nice and green though! Not sure if any Ontario posters track the leaf out but I'd be interested to see where we're at relative to the 'normal'. Strange look with the recent humidity!
  10. harrisale

    May 2018 General Discussion

    Had our first real thunderstorm of the year last night. A bolt of lightning must have struck VERY near my house as I was abruptly awakened around 3am by the loudest crack of thunder I have ever heard. Literally lurched me out of sleep. Fun way to start storm season!
  11. I'm going to go with a B- for the winter. Still pulled off average snowfall so hard to complain there. And as you mentioned the 'perfect Christmas' we had really was the winter's highlight, and quite a pleasant one at that. After mid-Jan, things went downhill quickly and by early-mid Feb cross country ski season was already done, which was a real bummer for me. Felt like maybe we were going to pull an early spring but the mid-Feb through til today period was a real let-down, minus the fascinating sleet storm of course.
  12. harrisale

    April 2018 General Discussion

    It's been an impressive April in terms of cold. And as if to emphasize the point we managed to hit a low of 27 last night. I must say I was surprised we pulled out a record wet April around southern Ontario. It didn't feel like there were that many days of rain this month, I suppose most of it came during the kitchen sink storm mid-month.
  13. harrisale

    April 2018 General Discussion

    Still haven’t put the long johns away. Picked up about 0.5” today. What month is it again?
  14. harrisale

    April 12th-15th Winter Storm

    Had freezing rain here from about 7pm-midnight. A solid 5-7mm glaze but seems like just below the threshold for any signifanct damage. This was a close one. Our temperature actually stalled out at +0.1C from midnight through until 7am. A couple miles north and I’m sure there’s tons more ice. Orangeville (about 30mins NE of here) still reporting below freezing temps, I’d be interested to see how much accretion ended up there. Now for the big melt. Sleet/rain combo is basically solid. Lots of road and sidewalk flooding abound. And it’s snowing right now. Lots going on with this system!
  15. harrisale

    April 12th-15th Winter Storm

    Official 8 PM observation was -1.4C here. Moderate freezing rain on going for about the last hour and a half so. Gusting well over 60 km/h at times. The trees are starting to get that crackle.