Deck Pic Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 This pattern is way more interesting than hot and dry. it's way better too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 tweet: Record lows outpacing record highs in U.S. thru 6/30 7,368 to 6,161 in 2013. 2012 record highs thru 6/30 22,068 to record lows 2,381 #NCDC https://twitter.com/jnelsonweather/status/351739723787673600 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 1, 2013 Author Share Posted July 1, 2013 woo, a light shower, that ground is damp. Wow!! Looks pretty dry thru to the SC/VA border for the most part. This has been a terrible forecast for here the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 tweet: Record lows outpacing record highs in U.S. thru 6/30 7,368 to 6,161 in 2013. 2012 record highs thru 6/30 22,068 to record lows 2,381 #NCDC https://twitter.com/jnelsonweather/status/351739723787673600 That makes me happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 tweet: Record lows outpacing record highs in U.S. thru 6/30 7,368 to 6,161 in 2013. 2012 record highs thru 6/30 22,068 to record lows 2,381 #NCDC https://twitter.com/jnelsonweather/status/351739723787673600 They must not count Death Valley obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Nearing record rainfall for the month and folks are complaining that it's not raining. WTF We don't all live near the city. DCA had 9.97 on the month but IAD had 4.64 and I had 4.48 IMBY. So yeah, I would actually like more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Is that not still above average rainfall.....maybe even well above? New month now and it appears to be starting wet. Today's rain MAY not amount to much, but it appears that we won't be hurting for rain chances this week. We don't all live near the city. DCA had 9.97 on the month but IAD had 4.64 and I had 4.48 IMBY. So yeah, I would actually like more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 They must not count Death Valley obsBig heat but shorter lived and more confined than last yr so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 curious about the game tonight....will there be consolidation or just random popcorn and blobs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 1, 2013 Author Share Posted July 1, 2013 Sun is out, well in and out. This non stops rains are awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Looks like home got .10-.15" today. Might have to bust out the bust call again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Big heat but shorter lived and more confined than last yr so far This is from looking at daily climo, not patterns, but it looks like the '94 and '05 heat out there never rolled over to us. Would make sense if Plains heat torches us, but western heat doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 curious about the game tonight....will there be consolidation or just random popcorn and blobs? Prob random popcorn and blobs.. don't see any conglomeration on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Prob random popcorn and blobs.. don't see any conglomeration on radar me either...but what about at 7pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Sun is out, well in and out. This non stops rains are awesome LOL. Dave and I both live in the Great Loudoun Desert. Must be the rain shadow from, uh, bull run mountain? Yeah, that's my theory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Sun.. and lots of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 1, 2013 Author Share Posted July 1, 2013 LOL. Dave and I both live in the Great Loudoun Desert. Must be the rain shadow from, uh, bull run mountain? Yeah, that's my theory. LOL. Im thinking of growing cactus out here. Sure the bull run mtn and the potomac river are the issues for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 This is from looking at daily climo, not patterns, but it looks like the '94 and '05 heat out there never rolled over to us. Would make sense if Plains heat torches us, but western heat doesn't. it's 'early' yet but seems we're going to need some sort of wholesale pattern change to get really big heat into the area. wouldn't be that surprised if we fail to get 100 this year.. tho i guess we're due for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 it's 'early' yet but seems we're going to need some sort of wholesale pattern change to get really big heat into the area. wouldn't be that surprised if we fail to get 100 this year.. tho i guess we're due for that. this summer is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 it's 'early' yet but seems we're going to need some sort of wholesale pattern change to get really big heat into the area. wouldn't be that surprised if we fail to get 100 this year.. tho i guess we're due for that. Watch the 100s appear in September Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 this summer is awesomeYeah no major complaints other than humidity recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Watch the 100s appear in September my analogs had warm septembers and torchy octobers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Watch the 100s appear in SeptemberMaybe August. Who knows I guess but we are seemingly going to need to dry out a bit for it to happen either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Bust on the rain IMBY. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 my analogs had warm septembers and torchy octobers A "torchy" October would be okay with me if it's just relative to normal. Just no snow this October. That seems to be the kiss of death for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 A "torchy" October would be okay with me if it's just relative to normal. Just no snow this October. That seems to be the kiss of death for winter. good practice for the torchy winter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 good practice for the torchy winter too. Days and days of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 80/75 - Might as well be on a beach in Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 A ton of moisture from Florida up to the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 This is a tough pattern in terms of QPF as the deep southerly flow and really high PWs can support very heavy rainfall but there is now low level boundary to really focus the low level convergence or convection making it hard to know where or when heavy rain might occur. Yesterday, RDU got rocked. Today has been more benign. Tomorrow the models show a vort lifting north which should lead to a little more concentrated convection than today if the vort is real. Right now trying to figure out where low level forcing will help pop convection is a tough call. I should got golfing tomorrow to ensure we get more concentrated shower activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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