Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,515
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    wigl5l6k
    Newest Member
    wigl5l6k
    Joined

Severe Threat June 11-13


Hoosier

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

0z 4km NAM looks nasty for N IL, S WI, N IN, and S MI.

 

Partly worried it gets to SEMI so late we'll have lost all instability, but if it really turns into a monster that shouldn't be a huge problem.

 

Heavy rain threat looks legit for sure though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Partly worried it gets to SEMI so late we'll have lost all instability, but if it really turns into a monster that shouldn't be a huge problem.

Heavy rain threat looks legit for sure though.

These things don't die easily...classic overnight wind threat. You guys may fare "well". But yeah, heavy rainer for N IL, S WI, and S MI on the table to boot.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Partly worried it gets to SEMI so late we'll have lost all instability, but if it really turns into a monster that shouldn't be a huge problem.

 

Heavy rain threat looks legit for sure though.

Strengthening low-level wind fields and MSLP would help cut down the potential of the instability waning quickly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

As if this setup didn't look dangerous enough (this has a real good chance of getting pretty bad, folks), as someone noted, tomorrow night is game 1 of the Stanley Cup finals at the Madhouse. The wx is going to be the last thing on the collective mind of Chicago tomorrow, not to mention the standing room only crowd at the game and all the packed bars in the city and burbs.

 

great point. The last thing on people's mind in Chicagoland is going to be the weather tomorrow afternoon/evening. If things get as bad as the models are hinting, it could be trouble. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like an active period tomorrow sometime. MKX is taking morning to mid day and now the NAM is saying afternoon to evening. Could be trouble if this happens later in the day like you said Chitown. 

 

I see some convection to my north a little ways.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Regarding tor potential, I would like to see stronger surface wind fields to help keep the downdrafts from overpowering the inflow region.  Sometimes surface flow is stronger than modeled, so it may not be a huge deal.  Also, with winds backed around to more than 90 degrees just south of the warm front, any storm in that environment should be capable of producing as long as it remains discrete long enough. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...