Ed Lizard Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 It seems to be looking a little better in this imagery as it loses the Taiwan influence: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/17W/flash-rb-long.html http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/17W/flash-rbtop-long.html That is a nice comeback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 I am assuming Typhoon Hunter is on the case somewhere near or northeast of Hong Kong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 is this the new or old eyewall?? there's hasn't been any mwi since 12z; would be nice to see the progress of that erc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 is this the new or old eyewall?? there's hasn't been any mwi since 12z; would be nice to see the progress of that erc.. pretty sure the replacement cycle is done. getting its act together rather quickly now. can also see an eye on the IR also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 convection really expanding around the coc now, eye looks like it is trying to clear out on ir as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 convection really expanding around the coc now, eye looks like it is trying to clear out on ir as well. Yea, visible will be in range on the next frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 is this the new or old eyewall?? there's hasn't been any mwi since 12z; would be nice to see the progress of that erc.. How did you select a close-up on the weather.com.cn radar page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 How did you select a close-up on the weather.com.cn radar page? lol trying to figure that out as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 How did you select a close-up on the weather.com.cn radar page? here's the link: http://www.weather.com.cn/static/html/product_ld.shtml scroll down and select the radar station.. the english site doesn't point to this though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 I am assuming Typhoon Hunter is on the case somewhere near or northeast of Hong Kong. He's in Hong Kong, which also happens to be where he lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 I'm not sure I'm as impressed with the IR presentation as y'all. The latest loop suggests a more N motion. If the current trajectory continues, it looks to me that it will come ashore to the NE of Hong Kong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 He's in Hong Kong, which also happens to be where he lives. LOL well his living there makes that easier. Anyway here is the first vis: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 He is definitely strengthening, but the mountains of china will start to interact with him soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 He is definitely strengthening, but the mountains of china will start to interact with him soon The mountains of China are too far away to effect Usagi, what is affecting it is the decreased oceanic content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 latest microwave... big improvement from yesterday... should at least hold Cat 3 til landfall?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 any word on any preparations taking place in hong kong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 He is looking even tighter now but seems to be on more of a northward course, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 The IR loop is definitely more N, and unless it "corrects" to the W, the core is going to miss Hong Kong. I was just chatting with James (Typhoon Hunter), who's in Hong Kong and ready to film it, whatever happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 He is definitely strengthening, but the mountains of china will start to interact with him soon I don't know that that's strengthening as much as it is simply the cyclone coming closer to the radar site and therefore showing up better. Could you share a link to that radar view? All I can find is the wide one showing all of China. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 I don't know that that's strengthening as much as it is simply the cyclone coming closer to the radar site and therefore showing up better. Could you share a link to that radar view? All I can find is the wide one showing all of China. Thanks. http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tropics/usagi13/Usagi_21-22Sep13_china.gif Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 1m h/t awesomeness @BMcNoldy long-range radar loop GIF of Typhoon #Usagi as it approaches Hong Kong. http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tropics/usagi13/Usagi_21-22Sep13_china.gif … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 He is looking even tighter now but seems to be on more of a northward course, Minor technicality: Systems have no gender, they should be referred to as 'it'. I learned that the hard way after referring to Sandy as "she" on Twitter. Woman didn't take it too well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tropics/usagi13/Usagi_21-22Sep13_china.gif Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 1m h/t awesomeness @BMcNoldy long-range radar loop GIF of Typhoon #Usagi as it approaches Hong Kong. http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tropics/usagi13/Usagi_21-22Sep13_china.gif … Thanks, yoda-- but do you have the link on the site where Brian's getting the images? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 I don't know that that's strengthening as much as it is simply the cyclone coming closer to the radar site and therefore showing up better. Could you share a link to that radar view? All I can find is the wide one showing all of China. Thanks. Sure http://www.weather.com.cn/html/radar/JC_RADAR_AZ9754_JB.shtml Yea, It think it is a combination of both, but satellite looks much better now as-well - Many of the late 18z CHP models keep it as a Cat 3 now till landfall (as opposed to a Cat 2 consensus earlier) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Sure http://www.weather.com.cn/html/radar/JC_RADAR_AZ9754_JB.shtml Yea, It think it is a combination of both, but satellite looks much better now as-well Thanks, user! Really appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 You can see the double... possibly tripple eyewall structure that Usagi has right now. Thats not a very conducive structure to further wind intensification, as the vorticity is not focused near the center but rather in these outer eyewall bands. This is always a problem for storms that originate with a large outer wind maxima. Once the inner core of its initial RI fades, its VERY difficult for the outer core to contract sufficiently to allow another episode of intensification. This is a problem with many large WPAC typhoons that struggle to recover after their initial RI to super typhoon status. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Watching these radars makes you really appreciate NOAA NEXRAD radars. Of course the ones in China and Taiwan are much better than the one from Martinique. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 You can see the double... possibly tripple eyewall structure that Usagi has right now. Thats not a very conducive structure to further wind intensification, as the vorticity is not focused near the center but rather in these outer eyewall bands. This is always a problem for storms that originate with a large outer wind maxima. Once the inner core of its initial RI fades, its VERY difficult for the outer core to contract sufficiently to allow another episode of intensification. This is a problem with many large WPAC typhoons that struggle to recover after their initial RI to super typhoon status. Yep-- it's the Cinnabun Syndrome. I forgot which one it was, but last year one of these typhoons with twenty concentric eyewalls passed over Okinawa Island, and even though the pressure was in the 930s, I don't think the airport even had a sustained hurricane wind. It was crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Watching these radars makes you really appreciate NOAA NEXRAD radars. Of course the ones in China and Taiwan are much better than the one from Martinique. lol I was thinking the same thing, even there satellite images are pretty bad. You think there meteorologists are using NOAA products vs their own countries? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Yep-- it's the Cinnabun Syndrome. I forgot which one it was, but last year one of these typhoons with twenty concentric eyewalls passed over Okinawa Island, and even though the pressure was in the 930s, I don't think the airport even had a sustained hurricane wind. It was crazy. Typhoon Bopha... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Typhoon Bopha... Nope, that was the Cat 5 that devastated Mindanao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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