Feb 24th threat. Signal has been there for a while now

[weathafella]

Crusher en route!

[CoastalWx]

As much as it's bashed, to see the GFS pull this is a confidence booster. That's how you view guidance this far out. SREFs did this too.

[HoarfrostHubb]

 All systems are a go for another substantial snowfall for Boston area..heaviest snow Sunday Morning

 

Trend is our friend...for most of us..

 

Good to see Harvey confident for the BOS folks. He usually doesn't bark much until he's sure. The trend of having that CCB/deformation really pop before exiting stage right is very good for the E MA coastal folk.

 

No surprise, but he also tweeted this:

Harvey Leonard‏@HarveyWCVB

Some rain or mix may get involved for a while Sat. Nt, esp. So. Coast & Cape, and possibly East Coast of MA up to Boston

[Clinch Leatherwood]

As much as it's bashed, to see the GFS pull this is a confidence booster. That's how you view guidance this far out. SREFs did this too.

 

RGEM was setting up the colder snow bomb solution too.  3 for 3

[ChrisM]

Man we'd be right on the line here on the GFS it looks like.  A 20 mile shift either way would mean so much here..

 

 

Does anyone think this has any chance to cool off in the 950-700mb layers with this same track?

[HoarfrostHubb]

BOX waiting until 4PM to put out a map?

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

Boom, looks like we're making a run for the record.

[CoastalWx]

I do expect mix for now in BOS during some of this..unless this nukes near the BM and rapidly backs winds NE.

[Brian5671]

I can't read that on phone. Is that around 20 for n Ct?

yup

[weathafella]

I do expect mix for now in BOS during some of this..unless this nukes near the BM and rapidly backs winds NE.

BOS will net 6-12 at least IMHO.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

BOX waiting until 4PM to put out a map?

I could see them even waiting until 4am since we are still 48 hours out.

[CT Rain]

Ugh GFS is virtually all sleet/rain here in CT. Maybe some weenie snows at the end.

 

Agreed that it appears we're heading toward a C/E Mass special. I'd rather be in Taunton than Bradley for this one lol.

[CoastalWx]

BOS will net 6-12 at least IMHO.

 

If this somehow goes apesh*t, then it's possible they are a 33F SN during the "warmest" part. It's real tricky in the lowest 1000ft. If the euro can come in stronger and slightly cooler..it may do just that. Very close call right along the water here.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I could see them even waiting until 4am since we are still 48 hours out.

Yeah... I could see that. But a few weeks ago they put out an absurd map 4+ days out that failed

[MJHUB]

Does PVD end up to far West for good snows on the back end?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Ugh GFS is virtually all sleet/rain here in CT. Maybe some weenie snows at the end.

 

Agreed that it appears we're heading toward a C/E Mass special. I'd rather be in Taunton than Bradley for this one lol.

Or ORH

[moneypitmike]

The map is mm equivalent of liquid that falls as snow.

20"-25" shade is 1" of precip or about 10"-12" of snow.

Boston, is in the 40mm shade, which is about 1.5" of liquid as snow.

 

LOL.  Sun's shining brightly in my eyes. 

 

This is rapidly becoming a 'typical for the year' central/eastern MA deal leaving GC and NNE getting the crumbs.  The remoras to the sharks as it were.

[dryslot]

LOL.  Sun's shining brightly in my eyes. 

 

This is rapidly becoming a 'typical for the year' central/eastern MA deal leaving GC and NNE getting the crumbs.  The remoras to the sharks as it were.

 

The beat goes on

[Baroclinic Zone]

Deinition of snow BOMB

60 02/24 00Z 33 32 78 10 0.08 0.00 540 553 0.1 -20.3 1016 100 -SN 000OVC386 0.7 1.2

63 02/24 03Z 33 33 68 13 0.21 0.00 541 552 -1.2 -18.2 1012 100 RA 003OVC383 0.0 2.1

66 02/24 06Z 35 34 61 17 0.45 0.01 541 548 -0.8 -20.4 1007 100 RA 007OVC223 0.0 3.0

69 02/24 09Z 34 34 52 21 0.44 0.04 541 541 -0.7 -22.4 1000 100 TSSN 001OVC209 4.2 1.0

72 02/24 12Z 33 33 17 20 0.49 0.03 538 536 -3.5 -24.2 998 100 TSSN 000OVC209 5.1 0.6

75 02/24 15Z 32 31 353 24 0.56 0.00 533 534 -4.6 -24.2 1001 100 SN 000OVC213 5.6 0.2

78 02/24 18Z 31 29 350 18 0.32 0.00 533 536 -2.8 -24.6 1004 100 -SN 001OVC073 3.2 1.3

81 02/24 21Z 31 29 344 13 0.04 0.00 531 539 -4.3 -25.7 1009 100 -SN 003OVC086 0.4 3.2

[Ginx snewx]

Ugh GFS is virtually all sleet/rain here in CT. Maybe some weenie snows at the end.

 

Agreed that it appears we're heading toward a C/E Mass special. I'd rather be in Taunton than Bradley for this one lol.

Uh ryan

[Zeus]

I do expect mix for now in BOS during some of this..unless this nukes near the BM and rapidly backs winds NE.

 

I agree; we mix at some point but I think it's earlier in the full period of precipitation, and that's about as good as we can hope for.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Deinition of snow BOMB  60 02/24 00Z   33     32      78      10    0.08  0.00    540    553    0.1 -20.3 1016 100 -SN   000OVC386    0.7    1.2  63 02/24 03Z   33     33      68      13    0.21  0.00    541    552   -1.2 -18.2 1012 100 RA    003OVC383    0.0    2.1  66 02/24 06Z   35     34      61      17    0.45  0.01    541    548   -0.8 -20.4 1007 100 RA    007OVC223    0.0    3.0  69 02/24 09Z   34     34      52      21    0.44  0.04    541    541   -0.7 -22.4 1000 100 TSSN  001OVC209    4.2    1.0  72 02/24 12Z   33     33      17      20    0.49  0.03    538    536   -3.5 -24.2  998 100 TSSN  000OVC209    5.1    0.6  75 02/24 15Z   32     31     353      24    0.56  0.00    533    534   -4.6 -24.2 1001 100 SN    000OVC213    5.6    0.2  78 02/24 18Z   31     29     350      18    0.32  0.00    533    536   -2.8 -24.6 1004 100 -SN   001OVC073    3.2    1.3  81 02/24 21Z   31     29     344      13    0.04  0.00    531    539   -4.3 -25.7 1009 100 -SN   003OVC086    0.4    3.2

TSSN!    Where is that? TAN?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

LOL.  Sun's shining brightly in my eyes. 

 

This is rapidly becoming a 'typical for the year' central/eastern MA deal leaving GC and NNE getting the crumbs.  The remoras to the sharks as it were.

 

At least we hold our snow pack. lol

 

I have a friend from Charlemont who has been here most of his life and he always says NW MA gets plenty of snow just never all at once. 

 

Same can probably be said of S VT.

[Ginx snewx]

Color me stupid or what but I like my analogy especially after these two runs and all the instability around.

[CT Rain]

Uh ryan

 

meh... looks pretty mild to me on the maps for a lot of CT.

 

Again... I'd rather be in Taunton than BDL. 

[ChrisM]

Ryan...I didn't think the GFS was that bad.  Was it?

[Ginx snewx]

meh... looks pretty mild to me on the maps for a lot of CT.

 

Again... I'd rather be in Taunton than BDL. 

Soundings indicate isothermal snow bomb with DP depressions, your warmest layer near the surface  is .9 but you are the pro.

[CT Rain]

Ryan...I didn't think the GFS was that bad.  Was it?

 

May squeek by along the Mass border with it. It's close.

 

I'd like to see the Euro go colder... that would make me much more excited.

[SC48]

I do expect mix for now in BOS during some of this..unless this nukes near the BM and rapidly backs winds NE.

It's starting to look that way now.  More colder solutions seem to be in the making and if the taint makes it up to Logan International, it will be very short lived.

[moneypitmike]

Legitimately feeling badly for the folks in the Berks and southern VT.  Tough year for them as the biggies have been just out of reach.  I'd gladly take rain on this and pass the frozen stuff up to you folks.

 

Thanks--but keep it.  Everyone should have a time of fun.

At least we hold our snow pack. lol

 

I have a friend from Charlemont who has been here most of his life and he always says NW MA gets plenty of snow just never all at once. 

 

Same can probably be said of S VT.

 

That's cold comfort, Chris.  We're used to amasssing and keeping.  I have 8-12" at the Pit. I doubt it'll happen like this, but  If this keeps drifting I'd emerge from the weekend with 12-16".  Alas.