Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 19mb in 12 hours even on the GEFS. Impressive. We'll see how this goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The setup is quite the delicate one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 even though the path / trajectory of the system is not the same, ENE's location in this relative to the low and mid-level circulations is somewhat analogous to where NYC and W LI were last week...on the far western sideLike the Blizz though best was west of models I was jackpotted for days, you will do great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 even though the path / trajectory of the system is not the same, ENE's location in this relative to the low and mid-level circulations is somewhat analogous to where NYC and W LI were last week...on the far western side I had that thought last night. Worked out well for them. Of course, I don't see this thing stalling out like last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Will wait this one out until 0z to see how it goes before buying in or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Will wait this one out until 0z to see how it goes before buying in or not Still time to trend to a CT hit.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 12z GGEM wobbles back east ... sparing the entire region except the outer Cape... You ever get the feeling something is trying to toy with people - seems the entire last 48 hour has been pulling strings and nerves; such is life for a system so on the fence. 00z GGEM was a solut 4-6 hour wind and snow event, now this... Just about every run of every guidance type can be argued, evenly, for pros and cons as to why it will or won't take place. Through it all is that nagging paranoia of futility, and an underpinning hideous denial that nothing may happen at all. That's why I think it's best to check out and just look at these charts as an after thought - get involved with other hobbies, and ignore it all. Then, if it comes to pass, it may actually be that much more enjoyable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Indiv. GFS Ensm Members look pretty good. I think the Ukie is out to lunch. 48h 54h 60h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Through it all is that nagging paranoia of futility, and an underpinning hideous denial that nothing may happen at all. That's why I think it's best to check out and just look at these charts as an after thought - get involved with other hobbies, and ignore it all. Then, if it comes to pass, it may actually be that much more enjoyable. Dude you do understand we do this as a hobby for fun win or lose? I mean I played competitive sports my whole life for the fun knowing full well i would lose as much as I won. why would I ignore this?, this is as much fun as we have had in two years, if it misses oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Still time to trend to a CT hit.... SE Ct and SE Mass, Sound familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Indiv. GFS Ensm Members look pretty good. I think the Ukie is out to lunch. 48h f48.gif 54h f54.gif 60h f60.gif Supposedly the mean is close to .5" in NYC, so probably a solid .5" here? That must be from the first wave... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Supposedly the mean is close to .5" in NYC, so probably a solid .5" here? That must be from the first wave... -skisheep Initial wave looks like 1/4-1/3" for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wonder if the euro ticks east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wonder if the euro ticks east. Gut says it won't budge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Dude you do understand we do this as a hobby for fun win or lose? I mean I played competitive sports my whole life for the fun knowing full well i would lose as much as I won. why would I ignore this?, this is as much fun as we have had in two years, if it misses oh well. Not quite - a hobby is an area of interest that doesn't pre-occupy one's time entirely - which given the presence of a lot of individuals on this forum, this is clearly an obsession, and one that also is emotionally rooted. "Hobby" is bargaining term that serves to deny the truth of this tedious time consuming attention to every run of every model, and then allowing one's emotions to be tuned up/guided by every permutation however meaningless or not. That said, I'm actually speaking mostly about my self there - hahaha. I tell you what, it's 48F out there, and the sun is now much more a warming influence as it's creeping back N. Heck, the air even smells like ...warm out there. When that starts happening past ~ the 10th of February ever year, the thought of winter storms gets less interesting, as for me, my attention starts turning to summer stuff. By the way folks, there was an impressive Meteor/asteroid event in Russia that injured 1,000 people - I started a thread for it because it is an important event for science in general (social and physical), but some super-fastidious Moderator decided that it is less relevant - which is over policing and stupid. Be that as it may, folks should be made aware. I can understand if it were run-of-the-mill, but this is more substantial than that and should transcend controls for at least a little while - gee wiz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Initial wave looks like 1/4-1/3" for CT. Nice, how much on the coastal if anything? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Through it all is that nagging paranoia of futility, and an underpinning hideous denial that nothing may happen at all. That's why I think it's best to check out and just look at these charts as an after thought - get involved with other hobbies, and ignore it all. Then, if it comes to pass, it may actually be that much more enjoyable. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Gut says it won't budge. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wonder if the euro ticks east.Unless you've seen it logic dictates it would come west to match ens mean from 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Think the EURO is going to continue to try to make the first wave more of an event, it did it last night and the GFS ignored it, now the GFS caught on to the idea, and I think the EURO will make it more potent, however, also pushes the coastal slightly east at the same time. (disclaimer: this is soley based on my opinion and the trends, it should not be seen as actual insight whatsover, and keep in mind that this poster loves snow ) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 In the 1st weenie band here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Not quite - a hobby is an area of interest that doesn't pre-occupy one's time entirely - which given the presence of a lot of individuals on this forum, this is clearly an obsession, and one that also is emotionally rooted. "Hobby" is bargaining term that serves to deny the truth of this tedious time consuming attention to every run of every model, and then allowing one's emotions to be tuned up/guided by every permutation however meaningless or not. That said, I'm actually speaking mostly about my self there - hahaha. I tell you what, it's 48F out there, and the sun is now much more a warming influence as it's creeping back N. Heck, the air even smells like ...warm out there. Then why are you inside typing away on a wx board? If you want 40's in winter , get outside take your shirt off and let the sun warm and tan your nape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Not quite - a hobby is an area of interest that doesn't pre-occupy one's time entirely - which given the presence of a lot of individuals on this forum, this is clearly an obsession, and one that also is emotionally rooted. "Hobby" is bargaining term that serves to deny the truth of this tedious time consuming attention to every run of every model, and then allowing one's emotions to be tuned up/guided by every permutation however meaningless or not. That said, I'm actually speaking mostly about my self there - hahaha. I tell you what, it's 48F out there, and the sun is now much more a warming influence as it's creeping back N. Heck, the air even smells like ...warm out there. When that starts happening past ~ the 10th of February ever year, the thought of winter storms gets less interesting, as for me, my attention starts turning to summer stuff. By the way folks, there was an impressive Meteor/asteroid event in Russia that injured 1,000 people - I started a thread for it because it is an important event for science in general (socio and physical), by some super-fastidious Moderator decided that it is less relevant - which is over policing and stupid. Be that as it may, folks should be made aware. I can understand if it were run-of-the-mill, but this is more substantial and that and should transcend controls for at least a little while - gee wiz Why do you care what people do with their time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I noticed the big difference in snow melting in the fluff areas versus blue bomb areas. The wet areas are holding it much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Then why are you inside typing away on a wx board? If you want 40's in winter , get outside take your shirt off and let the sun warm and tan your nape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I think it ticks east 75 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I think it ticks east 75 miles Blizz will be getting the rope if that's the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 It looked a little better, but end result isn't any different I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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