HoarfrostHubb Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 It gon snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 To get all/mostly rain in the interior....we'd probably need 1 of 2 things to happen or both...either a pretty weak antecedent airmass and/or a track well west of us. On 11/25/08 we had a pretty strong cold airmass in place but a storm tracked west of us...we did have a period of icing in the interior though, but it wasn't a major issue. Perhaps it was a harbinger of what would occur 16 days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 It gon snow After our mini-torch. Went out back late this afternoon and was surprised to see there was still ice on the beaver pond (It had opened up beyond 20-30 yards from the banks). That there was any remaining was impressive in my mind since I don't cool down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Like I said before...kid I graduated with lives with his parents still and bought this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 After our mini-torch. Went out back late this afternoon and was surprised to see there was still ice on the beaver pond (It had opened up beyond 20-30 yards from the banks). That there was any remaining was impressive in my mind since I don't cool down here. Saw my first ice of the season over in Templeton today. Just a little skim on a small pond in a shady area (but it was at 3:30pm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Chris, that totally makes sense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Jb says this will be east coast snowstorm with va capes to New England track. Impossible to cut with strong nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Jb says this will be east coast snowstorm with va capes to New England track. Impossible to cut with strong nao If JB was right with any of his calls i would average 100" per winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Jb says this will be east coast snowstorm with va capes to New England track. Impossible to cut with strong nao For once I agree with him, Archambaullt phase change event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Like I said before...kid I graduated with lives with his parents still and bought this Small weenie syndrome? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 For once I agree with him, Archambeault phase change event. Eh, that doesn't mean it has to be a coastal track...the Archambault Relationship just means much increased chance of a high precipiation event for the northeast. Whether it tracks over 40/70 or ALB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 It seems like Cape Cod, MA is screwed with this storm, unless it goes southeast of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 The Archambault phase change event from a +NAO to a -NAO means greatly increased preciptiation, but they can often be wet/mix and not all white. An established -NAO relaxing tends to be the ones that are more white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 It seems like Cape Cod, MA is screwed with this storm, unless it goes southeast of the BM. Bold statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Eh, that doesn't mean it has to be a coastal track...the Archambault Relationship just means much increased chance of a high precipiation event for the northeast. Whether it tracks over 40/70 or ALB. Eh Iknow that, but in this case I feel, could be wrong, but the delta is higher than normal forcing either secondary cyclogenesis or in fact forcing 8 and 7H to hug the coast and cut the canal or east. North of Pike special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 It seems like Cape Cod, MA is screwed with this storm, unless it goes southeast of the BM. It's awfully tough to get snow down there this time of year....and you can put BOS in the category too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 The Archambault phase change event from a +NAO to a -NAO means greatly increased preciptiation, but they can often be wet/mix and not all white. An established -NAO relaxing tends to be the ones that are more white. Not really, her papers do not indicate precip type only increased amounts, taken literally she has shown phase changes of an abrupt manner tend to be be accompanied by anomalous precip events in the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Jb says this will be east coast snowstorm with va capes to New England track. Impossible to cut with strong nao Bustardi must be going by the KFS ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I'm travelling for Thanksgiving and checking in to see what's going on for when I return next week. On my way out we past this place in Indiana and I just had to share. Sorry for the power lines...it was the best angle I could get at the time. I hope everyone has a great Thanksgiving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 00z GFS is a lot of rain after a front end thump for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Euro looks really weak with the s/w through 108. Probably more suppressed than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Amazing the difference between the gfs and euro. 144 and no precip N of mason Dixon Line, No surface lp reflection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Almost a total whiff out to sea. The front s/w is so pathetic, that I wish it disappeared because the one behind it is really awesome looking...it would be a classic Miller B New England bomb if the front runner didn't destrcutively interfere with it which is what will happen this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Uh...it's still 6 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Uh...it's still 6 days out... Yes, that is why there are less than 20 users in this thread right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Yes, that is why there are less than 20 users in this thread right now. But I'll take the inch it gives me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 That 2nd s/w is really impressive....I doubt its possible for to ever become the main player, but if it did, then we'd be talking MECS here. As it is, we'll probably see the first one become a bit bigger tomorrow. I can't imagine it ends up this suppressed, but given the time frame and the Euro superiority, its possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Jb honking for a major snowstorm for east next Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Jb honking for a major snowstorm for east next Friday What did he say verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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