dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Yes its looking that way early on Low not digging as much over the OV, Could have more of a SWFE look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Congrats SNE next Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Euro has a much weaker overrunning wave...probably our best chance to keep it frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Whoosh, Each model run so far has been consistantly inconsistent, That we know this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Euro has a much weaker overrunning wave...probably our best chance to keep it frozen. Looks like it's going to try to go to town as that trough makes it to the coast. Still a bajillion years away though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 A little to late for anything significant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 from lakes cutter back to the coast in 24hrs...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 AWT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Looks like it's going to try to go to town as that trough makes it to the coast. Still a bajillion years away though. Yeah I'm sure it will be back in BUF by this time tomorrow. Ukie brings the low into and north of the Chicago, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Congrats Vim Toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Friday frisbee day on Kevin's yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 AWT? 12z KFS had a sou'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Then we end Nov with brutal cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Fooking icebox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 That damn sun--ruining a good winter spell. At least that may give me time to size the 20 trees I have lying out back. Signs of a delayed approach to winter: 1) switched to my snows this morning 2) snowblower's getting repaired/tuned up on Monday It doesn't work that way... It's a cumulative effect. One event has far less impact on modulating Ozone residence at high altitudes/latitudes, then does the time-dependent integral of the previous several months. Keep in mind, the AO can be motivated to rise or fall from planetary wave/eddy fluxes -- the relationship to the solar is just one study, where correlation and theoretic evaluation are certainly valid. Ozone is the link - but as just said, you can have -AOs with less discerned "flash" warming, or even warmer ambient conditions. I would venture that the impact on the PV by extra-terrestrial events is currently minimal, because the activity since August as a whole is currently now registering. By the way, modeling currently showing robust warming at all stratospheric levels taking place now through D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 This may be a more interesting Euro run for next week... Good lord with these continuity issue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Its an icebox day 8-10 but its not a good pattern, EURO & GFS went bad for the long range imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Its an icebox day 8-10 but its not a good pattern, EURO & GFS went bad for the long range imo. Well we have been talking about some sort of relaxation with the PAC trying to become a bit more hostile. It may cause it to be a gradient pattern up this way..or perhaps we are maybe a bit too far south. This has been a possibility for days now. Then perhaps after the first week, we go back to a better pattern in terms of winter wx. With models all over the place, I wouldn't read too hard into specific details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Friday frisbee day on Kevin's yard. Under 48 and fog? I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Well at least the Euro was a nice little taste of winter for SNE...it had Scooters weenie overrunning band for Tuesday...then perhaps a little bit as the storm tried to develop over the ocean before pulling northeast. Looks like some uncertainty in the pattern for early December...so much spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 KFS esque @BigJoeBastardi: Going to be hard to cut storm with neg NAO next week. Look for final tracks va capes to off New England. #snowthreattonestates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 KFS esque @BigJoeBastardi: Going to be hard to cut storm with neg NAO next week. Look for final tracks va capes to off New England. #snowthreattonestates Do you get a tingle down there when he sends tweets out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Bustardi: Busting for over 20 years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Do you get a tingle down there when he sends tweets out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 I got a tingle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Do you get a tingle down there when he sends tweets out? Maybe a rise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Under 48 and fog? I'm in It's 51 there today per Wund. Don't think anyone here believes it will be cooler on Friday than today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 To bad Bustardi is not on here, I would nominate him for WOTY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 KFS esque @BigJoeBastardi: Going to be hard to cut storm with neg NAO next week. Look for final tracks va capes to off New England. #snowthreattonestates Totally rediculous statement by Joseph. Take a crayon to a chart or a peak at recent Euro and CMC runs to see how it can happen. He missates the causal relationship. The NAO is just a number; a calculation. It's not some mythical force. It is the RESULT of the atmospheric circulations, not the CAUSE of them. The NAO and mean storm track are certainly correlated, but that's because they both RESULT from the global weather pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Bustardi totally blew last winter-missed every individual event (or non event as most of them were) and the pattern as a whole--enough said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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