CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Maybe we get a similar pattern Could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Ken Burns Dust Bowl documentary on PBS right now. Seems very similar to that "Black Blizzard" special on the History Channel a couple of years ago. Some of the same stories and people interviewed. Wish they had a little bit of a meteorological explanation of the conditions that contributed to the dust storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 GFS DAY 7 isn't pumping up the ridge as much after the cold blast, better pattern here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Looks like it will be a SWFE on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Flight back sunday looking interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 I hope the -NAO materializes, otherwise there seems to be quite a bit of PAC flow for the time being. Close to walking the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 I hope the -NAO materializes, otherwise there seems to be quite a bit of PAC flow for the time being. Close to walking the line. There goes Scooter with his caution flags. I think even without a -NAO we still have a somewhat wintry appeal with cold spilling off the Pole and heading toward the U.S. border. Maybe a SWFE kind of pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 I hope the -NAO materializes, otherwise there seems to be quite a bit of PAC flow for the time being. Close to walking the line. toronto blizzard is gonna love this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 There goes Scooter with his caution flags. I think even without a -NAO we still have a somewhat wintry appeal with cold spilling off the Pole and heading toward the U.S. border. Maybe a SWFE kind of pattern? Yeah perhaps. I'm not terribly impressed with the GEFS, but we'll see as we get closer. The whole thing collapses towards the end. I mean it offers the chances of some wintry precip..I'm not denying that...but If we lose the -NAO or the Aleutian ridge...I hope the other takes over. It's still early in the season whereas this pattern 3 weeks later would be more favorable. Luckily I think the global scale stuff supports less of a breakdown and the EC sort of supports that so the beginning of December offers the chances of maybe 1 or 2 events into this first week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Its definitely a gradient pattern. It may be good for the NNE ski areas imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 toronto blizzard is gonna love this He'll probably read too deeply into it. Stuff to watch going forward does not equate to December cancel, but some think that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 I'm beginning to think we should start seeing "dry begets dry" statements getting posted. At least that should make the leaf removal easy today. Nice to see the snow references for the weekend. 27/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 19, 2012 Author Share Posted November 19, 2012 21.3F. Huge frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Euro and ens colder and furthur south with 28-29 event..AWT..When nao is neg..trend south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Bottomed out at 17F this morning. House is at 74F. Woodstove ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Euro and ens colder and furthur south with 28-29 event..AWT..When nao is neg..trend south Nah, still pretty mild. I think it may be something where areas may start as a mix though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Nah, still pretty mild. I think it may be something where areas may start as a mix though. Buuuuuuuttttt, I will say it has the chance of sneaking Scooterly south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Buuuuuuuttttt, I will say it has the chance of sneaking Scooterly south. It's coming! The fact that we are where we are on 11/19 is amazing considering the past year or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Buuuuuuuttttt, I will say it has the chance of sneaking Scooterly south. Certainly there is a 50-50 low which is trying to take this more southerly. Let's hope it pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Nice upslope event progged next weekend following the FROPA... I know you'll all be very interested in how that trends, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 It's coming! The fact that we are where we are on 11/19 is amazing considering the past year or 2. And then there is the 06z GFS, although we know how that behaves beyond a week out. I'd probably lean against that drastic of a solution, but something more wintry for at least the interior is not impossible. It's interesting beyond into the 11-15 day models break down the Aleutian ridge, but I think the tropics would argue for more PNA ridging of they are correct. Still a decent looking -NAO. We are also seeing the subtropical jet get active. One can see this by looking at a satellite image and checking out the cirrus heading into Baja California. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 So still looks cold in the long range scooter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Nah, still pretty mild. I think it may be something where areas may start as a mix though. Impossible, climo favors all snow events, it does not rain or mix this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 So still looks cold in the long range scooter? Well a little below anyways, it isn't an icebox pattern..but would allow for some sort of storminess....just for MPM QPF fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Impossible, climo favors all snow events, it does not rain or mix this time of year. next 4-6 weeks all the way to january 1st...bdr has not seen a all snow event in december ever... You do understand he was talking about the euro ens......please read lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Another land-sea circulation last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 So still looks cold in the long range scooter? x21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 x21 I need Eric's cannon shooting out weenies image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 No i disagreed with ur climo argues against it post...with is foolish statement because of whar has happen in december since 2000... what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 35 and sunny, another beautiful day on tap, dry begets dry! Mid to upper 50s later this week, a very mild Thanksgiving holiday indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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