EastCoast NPZ Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 And they probably stood there and took more pictures. I sure hope there are more pictures of her, and I hope someone posts them here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 6, 2012 Author Share Posted August 6, 2012 Day 5 severe area highlighted for us! A nice vort. max will be rolling into NY+PA, but I'm concerned about pre-frontal clouds and rain as well as weaker mid-level lapse rates. I am excited about the potential for some veering low-level winds and a good amount of speed shear. These along with the upper-level dynamics via the vort. max and right entrance region of a jet streak could make Friday interesting. 06z GFS digs the vort. max down even further... not sure if I trust that, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 I don't usually like closed 500 lows but it worked on June 1. That's a fun looking setup for Aug if it comes together right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 I'm a doctor and I think you just contracted swine flu and should go home early. Brief shower here to make it more muggy We were in a staff meeting this morning when the AC kicked on. I was this close to heading out and working from home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 A nice vort. max will be rolling into NY+PA, but I'm concerned about pre-frontal clouds and rain as well as weaker mid-level lapse rates. I am excited about the potential for some veering low-level winds and a good amount of speed shear. These along with the upper-level dynamics via the vort. max and right entrance region of a jet streak could make Friday interesting. 06z GFS digs the vort. max down even further... not sure if I trust that, though. Cautious optimism seems the way to go for now I suppose. I don't usually like closed 500 lows but it worked on June 1. That's a fun looking setup for Aug if it comes together right. Woo storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 https://twitter.com/...0/photo/1/large No way that was in Ocean City, MD. I'm down here for the week, and all the storms missed us by a wide margin yesterday. Plus, I don't think there's anywhere in OC with that much open space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Derecho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 No way that was in Ocean City, MD. I'm down here for the week, and all the storms missed us by a wide margin yesterday. Plus, I don't think there's anywhere in OC with that much open space. Maybe Chincoteague or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Maybe Chincoteague or something? No, that would be further south and the storms went north of OC. The area pictured though I doubt may be Ocean City if it was would be north of the boardwalk past 100th as thats where the open space would be pictured. That would be the only way, and there were a few strikes noticeable yesterday away from some of the storms, so it is possible. I'd think more of a Delaware beach would receive something like this as they were in the center of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 No way that was in Ocean City, MD. I'm down here for the week, and all the storms missed us by a wide margin yesterday. Plus, I don't think there's anywhere in OC with that much open space. i wasnt even 100% sure it's real but i dunno anything about the coastal areas around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 12z euro is a little slower for Friday which is good I think. Actually, it looks fairly ideal based on what I have access to. Our area into PA might be main zone on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 add another 90+ to the list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 6, 2012 Author Share Posted August 6, 2012 add another 90+ to the list I think DCA has over-performed all of the last five days. MOS sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 The ratio of positive to negative departures since mid-June is incredible. Late low at DCA with the shower, so the best we can do is tie the record high min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 12z euro is a little slower for Friday which is good I think. Actually, it looks fairly ideal based on what I have access to. Our area into PA might be main zone on this run. Good - time to break this period of boringness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 The ratio of positive to negative departures since mid-June is incredible. Late low at DCA with the shower, so the best we can do is tie the record high min. IMO, it's actually pretty disconcerting how many positive departures there have been. Insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 IMO, it's actually pretty disconcerting how many positive departures there have been. Insanity. 49 days since June 19th. 4 negative departures at DCA, 6 at IAD, and 7 at BWI. (subject to rounding, some of the 0s may be -0.5s) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 LWX already mentioning Friday .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND CUTOFF OVER THE GREAT LAKES STATES/OHIO VALLEY BY FRIDAY AND MOVE VERY SLOWLY TOWARD TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. SPOKES OF ENERGY WILL ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND COMBINE WITH AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS TO PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. MODELS INDICATE A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO SWEEP IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL ADD FORCING AND LIFT TO A POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IT IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT STORM MODES AT DAY 5 BUT GIVEN THE PATTERN SETUP PROGGED BY THE GFS/ECMWF...LINE SEGMENTS/QLCS MODES COULD BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 93 at DCA today. Excellent cool down. Anyone else have a bunch of green acorns down? Seems early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 As bad as this summer has been, I'm very glad I don't live in Phoenix............and it's not just the fact that they're getting 112 degree days, even worse is their night time lows around 90. Talk about oppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 some shots of the storms that formed near va beach heading south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 6, 2012 Author Share Posted August 6, 2012 good stuff, midlo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 great shots! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 93 at DCA today. Excellent cool down. Anyone else have a bunch of green acorns down? Seems early. When does it ever not hit 90 at DCA anymore? Let's just starting noting those days and we'll just assume it's at least 90 every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 We got an acorn bombardment today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 tonight's sunset was pretty nice: That is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 Having a dip in the Jet looks nice for once. Looks to be keeping us out of the Heatwave for a minute. Today was still muggy and a high of 90 in Manassas Va. On the other hand, Fri August 10 looks like there could be some Strong to Severe Thunderstorms in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 tomorrow we'll get nam and sref in play for friday. vort looks a bit fast for my liking at the end of the run for now but it's short range la la land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 gfs +1 i think the 6-hr qpf field at 0z shows the work of a supercell over my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 gfs +1 i think the 6-hr qpf field at 0z shows the work of a supercell over my house Producing a tornado of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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