CT Rain Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yeah you're right. I am wrong and I am sorry. Hopefully a few folks have a good storm lol I think most of us down here see a good storm. I think it will be an exciting day. There are a few parameters not in place that will preclude sig severe IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 lol I think most of us down here see a good storm. I think it will be an exciting day. There are a few parameters not in place that will preclude sig severe IMO. Timeframe? Maybe like 1:00-4:00 for CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Timeframe? Maybe like 1:00-4:00 for CT? Yeah that sounds good. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw some storms fire as early as noon. Early show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yeah that sounds good. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw some storms fire as early as noon. Early show. It seems like most of the severe, damaging storms always happen early-middle afternoon to as late as 5:00. You get those 1-3:00 storms..they always seem to do the most damage. Wonder if it's just due to peak heating or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 The storm approaching Montreal right now seriously looks tornadic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 It seems like most of the severe, damaging storms always happen early-middle afternoon to as late as 5:00. You get those 1-3:00 storms..they always seem to do the most damage. Wonder if it's just due to peak heating or something? Yeah it helps to get storms in during peak heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 The storm approaching Montreal right now seriously looks tornadic. I haven't seen much strong low level rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yeah you're right. I am wrong and I am sorry. Hopefully a few folks have a good storm ed so hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 I haven't seen much strong low level rotation. Haven't looked at velocities yet (don't have GRlevel on this computer), but in any case it's a fairly impressive cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 supercells developing over the dacks, one was just south of montreal, another starting to show signs of rotation near saranac lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Just came down from the summit of Mansfield on the 4-wheeler... damn that was some impressive lightning nearby and to the south. Always interesting when the lightning strikes go below you and it sounds like the thunder comes from the valley floor up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 supercells developing over the dacks, one was just south of montreal, another starting to show signs of rotation near saranac lake. The ASOS in SLK gusted to 43 and has had 0.95" of rain in the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Those storms to the north are booking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 I also put a Ginx factor of 7 for some flooding tomorrow evening along parts of the south coast. I wonder if I even see anything. I could see myself on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 At 04:50 PM, a watcher has noticed a funnel cloud over the lake St-Louis that is moving east at 70 km/h. The thunderstorm is approaching the Richelieu Valley, mostly the St-Jean Marieville area.Gusts of 100 km/h or more and possibly hail of 2 cm or more and frequent lightning are associated with this thunderstorm system. Please take immediate safety precautions and listen for subsequent warnings. This warning is in effect from 5:00 PM to 7:00 PM EDT. EC Warning (although it is old by now...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Looking east from just below 4K feet as a storm moves in, curling over the summit from the west (behind me)... time to get off the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Scudderific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nate Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 I also put a Ginx factor of 7 for some flooding tomorrow evening along parts of the south coast. I wonder if I even see anything. I could see myself on the line. I'm thinking the same thing here, though it looks like I may have a better chance than you, but the way this year has been going, I can see two storms on either side...one in Sharon, one in Avon that merge over Brockton and totally miss me. The stuff yesterday missed me by a mile or so with just a few big drops here, while Brockton/W. Bridgewater at least got something. Last year, it seemed every tstorm/hvy rain targeted my house. Exact opposite this year. I don't care too much for severe weather, but I love torrential rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Wiz and I are talking about maybe getting something in here later, if those storms sustain it could get nasty here around 11 or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Hard to determine from rad trends what's happening here. Could be some shadowing going on where the beams are being obscured by topography? Looks like weakening activity otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 I wonder if that stuff might just spill off the ME/NH coasts later on and caused the wind at BOS and eastern zones to bang out of the NE for a while later on tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 I think you might want to monitor events around Lake Ontario in 3-4 hours to see if a squall line or even derecho is forming. For southern New England, I think that might be the more active threat, the heavy storms further north will pull this developing feature along. Strong cells are forming near Lake Huron at present time and with the extreme heat across the lower lakes region, once anything severe gets rolling it could roll all night. Not saying derecho for certain, more probability of a squall line. Rough timing would be 0300h EDT for western MA, 0500-0600h for BOS to eastern CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 New cells firing just NE of Herkimer in NY and looking at hi res sat loop this is situated along what is either an outflow boundary ...but it may actually be the opposing side of a gravity wave. either way, that could be watchable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Looks like I'll be warned soon. Hopefully it delivers at least some +RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 I'm thinking the same thing here, though it looks like I may have a better chance than you, but the way this year has been going, I can see two storms on either side...one in Sharon, one in Avon that merge over Brockton and totally miss me. The stuff yesterday missed me by a mile or so with just a few big drops here, while Brockton/W. Bridgewater at least got something. Last year, it seemed every tstorm/hvy rain targeted my house. Exact opposite this year. I don't care too much for severe weather, but I love torrential rain. You guys are a good spot for tstms naturally. I can't quite figure out why, other than a natural seabreeze convergence zone from the south coast. Anyways, it look good down that way tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Wiz and I are talking about maybe getting something in here later, if those storms sustain it could get nasty here around 11 or so Think there's too much CIN..Mid levels are awfully warm right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 That one cell N of Glenn's Falls is turned a bit more right in the last half hour - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yeah that line means business. That may visit Brian and that area in about 3-4 hrs. Of course I miss another Lakes Region special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 18Z GFS lights up a good chunk of SNE tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 That one cell N of Glenn's Falls is turned a bit more right in the last half hour - Damaging winds on that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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