Ginx snewx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Your all important July 4th at 7PM forecast as shown by the Euro model last night. 2m temps in the 70's and 80's with a fresh sea breeze for the coast. Great night and day for outside activities and fireworks as shown by the euro last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 This thread/forecast will end up being one of the best yet for KFS. That ball is high...it is far...it is GONE!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 July 4th won't be that much above at all and it was warm all along..the period that is. Looks like a win for the regular models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 July 4th won't be that much above at all and it was warm all along..the period that is. Looks like a win for the regular models. Can I ask a serious question? How come you will never offer me any credit? Honestly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Can I ask a serious question? How come you will never hit on me? Honestly? I don't go that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 Sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 July 4th won't be that much above at all and it was warm all along..the period that is. Looks like a win for the regular models. If we do get 4 or 5 days above 90 in this upcoming stretch AOA 90 that would make it 7 or 8 days out of the last 14 to attain that threshold. I know cold monger guys like Mr. Ginx and MRG will dissent but to me that is a fairly impressive outcome for these parts . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 If we do get 4 or 5 days above 90 in this upcoming stretch AOA 90 that would make it 7 or 8 days out of the last 14 to attain that threshold. I know cold monger guys like Mr. Ginx and MRG will dissent but to me that is a fairly impressive outcome for these parts . Are you saying 8 out of the last 14 where above 90? I didn't quite follow you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Sigh What do you deserve credit for? It's not like everyone said much colder than normal. Your thread title is warm to above and that's how it seems to play out. My only fault was that this week will probably be a little warmer than I thought, but it's not like I thought -2 and we end up +2. We are talking maybe a degree difference or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Are you saying 8 out of the last 14 where above 90? I didn't quite follow you. BDL, BAF and CEF if we get 4 or more in the upcoming week ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 BDL, BAF and CEF if we get 4 or more in the upcoming week ? If we grab 4, yeah that's obviously a warm period no doubt. I don't think it changes July though. It looks warm to me, with the highest anomalies possible out your way. But I think July 2010 and July 2011 probably won't be walking through the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 lol Apparently Vermont now has quite a long western border with Canada in the northern portion of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 If we do get 4 or 5 days above 90 in this upcoming stretch AOA 90 that would make it 7 or 8 days out of the last 14 to attain that threshold. I know cold monger guys like Mr. Ginx and MRG will dissent but to me that is a fairly impressive outcome for these parts . LOL cold monger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I do get a kick out of perception. Living in the BDL BAF CEF area where heat is more prone to happen and stay sultry all night is much different than the non urban areas which radiate well, get sea breezes and have only a handful of days on average every summer which can be viewed as oppressive. Do I like cooler weather yes, but I am fully aware that summer gets hot. Scooby Do there is a reason all the Springfield folks invade SRI every summer, I am fully aware of your climo but your area is not representative of all of us. In fact this month I have had 18 days below normal and yes it was great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Goa low torchin conus again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I do get a kick out of perception. Living in the BDL BAF CEF area where heat is more prone to happen and stay sultry all night is much different than the non urban areas which radiate well, get sea breezes and have only a handful of days on average every summer which can be viewed as oppressive. Do I like cooler weather yes, but I am fully aware that summer gets hot. Scooby Do there is a reason all the Springfield folks invade SRI every summer, I am fully aware of your climo but your area is not representative of all of us. In fact this month I have had 18 days below normal and yes it was great. Invasion ? Seems a bit of a stretch. OTOH my parents rented a cottage at Matunuck during the early 60's. Not a bad area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Invasion ? Seems a bit of a stretch. OTOH my parents rented a cottage at Matunuck during the early 60's. Not a bad area. Well when you lived in a town whose non summer pop is 10 k and it swells to as much as 100 k on a summer weekend and a majority are Mass residents, yea that was an invasion. Well appreciated by the local economy , me included, also loved your female representatives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 2 typhoons in the Pacific that are NOT recurring. Instead moving west. Someone tell JB and his typhoon followers it's gonna be hot with no troffiness in the northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 2 typhoons in the Pacific that are NOT recurring. Instead moving west. Someone tell JB and his typhoon followers it's gonna be hot with no troffiness in the northeast Gonna have to check with Mr. Ginx on that. He's the man on recurving typhoons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 7/4 looks pretty awesome on the Euro today...nice wx with southerly flow. Coastline would probably remain a bit cooler with 80s inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 7/4 looks pretty awesome on the Euro today...nice wx with southerly flow. Coastline would probably remain a bit cooler with 80s inland. How about after that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 How about after that? It tries to bring a heat dome in for a couple of days between Jul 6-8 and then it has a monster trough digging in by July 9th....but that is all over a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 It tries to bring a heat dome in for a couple of days between Jul 6-8 and then it has a monster trough digging in by July 9th....but that is all over a week out. With the typhoons moving west that doesn't seem correct..thanks though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 a monster NE trof is a permanent feature on the day 10 euro... the day 10 forecast from 10 days ago showed a big trof and cooler temps for the ne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 2 typhoons in the Pacific that are NOT recurring. Instead moving west. Someone tell JB and his typhoon followers it's gonna be hot with no troffiness in the northeast One of the two is down by New Guinea - didn't think S.Hem storms are part of the recurve theory. The other one never grew enough to affect much. One brief moment as a strong TS then weak most of the rest of its life. Did run almost due west, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 It tries to bring a heat dome in for a couple of days between Jul 6-8 and then it has a monster trough digging in by July 9th....but that is all over a week out. EC ens look similar with that trough in the extended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 EC ens look similar with that trough in the extended. They really like a trough developing after next weekend. Also have a nice kink in the isobars noted to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 They really like a trough developing after next weekend. Also have a nice kink in the isobars noted to our south. The 12z ECM also cooled down next week whereas earlier runs kept NYC around 20C 850s. The front that breaks this weekend's heat definitely looks a bit more pronounced with a stronger trough on Monday and Tuesday. NWS lowered my forecast from 90F every day to mostly 80s next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 The 12z ECM also cooled down next week whereas earlier runs kept NYC around 20C 850s. The front that breaks this weekend's heat definitely looks a bit more pronounced with a stronger trough on Monday and Tuesday. NWS lowered my forecast from 90F every day to mostly 80s next week. 12z euro has very hot weather in NYC area late next week for 2-3 days before a gigantic trough comes in next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 12z euro has very hot weather in NYC area late next week for 2-3 days before a gigantic trough comes in next weekend. To be fair the euro ten day has been abysmal at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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