CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 This is next weekend, correct? Hopefully they usher in some decent TS Yep, next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Plans to be in Newport, RI Monday through Thursday. Looks like 30% chance of showers, but what are we really talking about here? Just really scattered stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Yep they do. I think your best hope is front just to north and maybe clouds or something like that. It's not the most humid airmass I think. Still think high 70s and low 80s for most of your race. Think it's near or over 90 by noontime there with dew 65-70 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 This could potentially be a great pattern, however, verbatim I think the ridge on the GFS is just a tad too strong so the better severe threats on there would be extreme northern New England into Canada. Not saying this is going to happen but just saying what would happen if the pattern verified exactly like so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Plans to be in Newport, RI Monday through Thursday. Looks like 30% chance of showers, but what are we really talking about here? Just really scattered stuff? Newport is an awesome spot. Tons of bars and restaurants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Think it's near or over 90 by noontime there with dew 65-70 ish Eh, even if it were that warm...you are done with a crown of weenies over your head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Newport is an awesome spot. Tons of bars and restaurants. Yeah, but will it be raining? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 Yeah, but will it be raining? Where are you staying in the 'port? (roughly, no need for specifics). I have family that lives on the island that the Newport Bridge goes to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 Yeah, but will it be raining? Well Monday aftn through Tuesday aftn may be tough. I think Wesnwsdau and Thursday may be ok for you but you always have to watch out for onshore flow this time of year. You'll have fun regardless. You visiting or have fam there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 You guys had sams summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 You guys had sams summer? This is not the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 19, 2012 Author Share Posted May 19, 2012 This could potentially be a great pattern, however, verbatim I think the ridge on the GFS is just a tad too strong so the better severe threats on there would be extreme northern New England into Canada. Not saying this is going to happen but just saying what would happen if the pattern verified exactly like so. It's probably better being too far N at this timeframe, given the way the models beat down heat ridges and direct them SW as we get closer to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 It's probably better being too far N at this timeframe, given the way the models beat down heat ridges and direct them SW as we get closer to them. Yeah good point. That pattern also looks good to get an EML to advect into our close to our region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 This is not the banter thread. You don't realize how confusing it is on mobile, the titles are nondescript. Thanks for the callous response though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 19, 2012 Author Share Posted May 19, 2012 That pattern also looks good to get an EML to advect into our close to our region if we're extremely lucky. There should be at least a few shots at something interesting, even if it's just a nice cfp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 if we're extremely lucky. There should be at least a few shots at something interesting, even if it's just a nice cfp. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 Agreed. There's almost always EML outbreaks with that type of pattern. But will there be lift for initiation and enough shear for severe weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 There's almost always EML outbreaks with that type of pattern. But will there be lift for initiation and enough shear for severe weather? As long as we are near the top of the ridge there should be more than sufficient shear. As far as lift is concerned...a cold front has to work east eventually (Just hopefully it coincides with an EML...sometimes we get EML's but by the time a source of lift comes through the EML is gone) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 1995 is the king of derechoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 As long as we are near the top of the ridge there should be more than sufficient shear. As far as lift is concerned...a cold front has to work east eventually (Just hopefully it coincides with an EML...sometimes we get EML's but by the time a source of lift comes through the EML is gone) Yeah. I'd rather have split flow in the west. The highly amplified longwave pattern being depicted doesn't allow much potential for decent canadian shortwaves to move across the northern tier of the US. June 1st, 2011, May 31st, 1985, and May 31st, 1998 had that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 1995 is the king of derechoes. Were you in BUF for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 Euro and euro ens..continue banging the torch drum..with maybe a slight cooldown the Tuesday after Mem day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 Euro and euro ens..continue banging the torch drum..with maybe a slight cooldown the Tuesday after Mem day huh?http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfens850mbTSLPUS_loop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 huh? http://raleighwx.ame...SLPUS_loop.html LOL..thank you for confirming my post.. 90's all next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 LOL..thank you for confirming my post.. 90's all next weekend Wanna make a bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 Wanna make a bet? In your cove sheltered by long male hair I'm sure it'll only make upper 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 In your cove sheltered by long male hair I'm sure it'll only make upper 80's 83. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 day 3 of perfection. inland slightly sizzles the next two days. Fire and brimstone on track. Ginxy selling another week of doom and gloom, if it was like this week sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 day 3 of perfection. inland slightly sizzles the next two days. Fire and brimstone on track. Ginxy selling another week of doom and gloom, if it was like this week sign me up. Yeah, this week was great with some frost and overnight lows repeatedly in the 30's also some decent rains. Hopefully we'll maintain that Spring weather with no high heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 19, 2012 Share Posted May 19, 2012 Yeah, this week was great with some frost and overnight lows repeatedly in the 30's also some decent rains. Hopefully we'll maintain that Spring weather with no high heat. sounds like wrist slitting weather up there Pete>nothing but sun here the last 3 days lows around 50. You might be one of the warmest locations in SNE today and tomorrow! Enjoy my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.