Mr Torchey Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Socked in all day down here, it felt great nice little break from the record heat, weekend looks fantastic and next week looks incredible. Perfect springtime weather, a little bit of everything! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Taunton forecasting 79 for BDL next Thursday ... record is 75 How often do you see a NWS day 7 forecast a full 4 degrees higher than the record? That's gotta be rare And probably a bad idea. I don't like forecasting record temperatures more than 48 hours out unless the record is an outlier (i.e. Monday's record high was like 6 or 7F lower than any other nearby dates) or unless the data is overwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Depends what you're tearing up I suppose... Beers, people, clothes...etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Socked in all day down here, it felt great nice little break from the record heat, weekend looks fantastic and next week looks incredible. Perfect springtime weather, a little bit of everything! lol :sun: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 And probably a bad idea. I don't like forecasting record temperatures more than 48 hours out unless the record is an outlier (i.e. Monday's record high was like 6 or 7F lower than any other nearby dates) or unless the data is overwhelming. The extrapolated KFS has 89 for BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 The extrapolated KFS has 89 for BDL. The 6 hour KFS is more unreliable than the 84 hour NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Weeklies still advertise troughing in the east into the first half of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Weeklies still advertise troughing in the east into the first half of April. We can almost lock in a snow event in there somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Weeklies still advertise troughing in the east into the first half of April. Lets hope that they are correct this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 We can almost lock in a snow event in there somewhere. Nah..you can't....it's not -20 temp departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Weeklies still advertise troughing in the east into the first half of April. Brrr...those positive anomolies have me shivering just seeing them.. I don't see how we won't have 2 or 3 hvy snow events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Taunton forecasting 79 for BDL next Thursday ... record is 75 How often do you see a NWS day 7 forecast a full 4 degrees higher than the record? That's gotta be rare Isn't that even frowned upon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Brrr...those positive anomolies have me shivering just seeing them.. I don't see how we won't have 2 or 3 hvy snow events Only takes 2" of slop for your Phail. Nobody said extended cold and that isn't advertised per se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Only takes 2" of slop for your Phail. Nobody said extended cold and that isn't advertised per se. You and esp Will are on the record for a wintry first week of April with accumulating snow in all of SNE.. no backing out now.Lines have been drawn in the snow(i mean sand) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 You and esp Will are on the record for a wintry first week of April with accumulating snow in all of SNE.. no backing out now.Lines have been drawn in the snow(i mean sand) I think at least CNE and NNE will have some more snow. I'll be surprised if they don't. It's obvious SNE is different, but I would not rule it out. I see no reason why higher elevations of SNE can't get a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Days like today and tomorrow are why its gonna be hard to break the 1945 and 1946 type records. There's still a definite shot, but you realize how perfect it has to be to keep out these ugly airmasses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 I think at least CNE and NNE will have some more snow. I'll be surprised if they don't. It's obvious SNE is different, but I would not rule it out. I see no reason why higher elevations of SNE can't get a little more. I just don't get it..All winter you are cautious..telling us to not get excited..that most likely things will go wrong..now in spring..and in Early April you are wild about winter returning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 I just don't get it..All winter you are cautious..telling us to not get excited..that most likely things will go wrong..now in spring..and in Early April you are wild about winter returning We had a winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 I just don't get it..All winter you are cautious..telling us to not get excited..that most likely things will go wrong..now in spring..and in Early April you are wild about winter returning You need to stop spinning. It's getting too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 I just don't get it..All winter you are cautious..telling us to not get excited..that most likely things will go wrong..now in spring..and in Early April you are wild about winter returning they are so desperate, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Kevin doesn't get that near normal temps in the sun, means he can get 6" of snow that night. Lack of climo knowledge FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Kevin doesn't get that near normal temps in the sun, means he can get 6" of snow that night. Lack of climo knowledge FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 they are so desperate, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 You need to stop spinning. It's getting too much. I don't normally get offended..but this is kind of nasty to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 off topic but look at the tornadic storm in michigan thats classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 I just don't get it..All winter you are cautious..telling us to not get excited..that most likely things will go wrong..now in spring..and in Early April you are wild about winter returning That's not the point. 850 temps aren't all that cold. You keep missing the point that troughing in the east can lead to storminess. That in turn could be interesting for higher elevations. Nobody is locking in anything..especially for low spots or the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 off topic but look at the tornadic storm in michigan thats classic It will be here Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Lol at the reverse trolling of Kev and Forky falling for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 The 6 hour KFS is more unreliable than the 84 hour NAM. yeah it's easy to adjust for the KFS bias though: march thru november you subtract 10F on daytime highs and 5F off dews, and cut the # of tstorm damage reports in half November thru February you subtract 4" off the snowfall range, add 3F to daytime temps and subtract 6 hours from snowfall duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 yeah it's easy to adjust for the KFS bias though: march thru november you subtract 10F on daytime highs and 5F off dews, and cut the # of tstorm damage reports in half November thru February you subtract 4" off the snowfall range, add 3F to daytime temps and subtract 6 hours from snowfall duration. lolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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