weathafella Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I asked b/c I saw that on twitter and I'm on my phone and its harder to browse around for me to look myself. I believe for the 0z suite the answer is yes and it's later (Tuesday night/Wednesday) on the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I believe for the 0z suite the answer is yes and it's later (Tuesday night/Wednesday) on the 6z run. Pretty soon this will be pushed back to March. Horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Euro gives some snow to areas pike south on Thursday night with that first wave. Hopefully the ens offer the idea that is real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Euro gives some snow to areas pike south on Thursday night with that first wave. Hopefully the ens offer the idea that is real Actually, it has light snow inside 495 in MA only after midnight Thursday night. Probably no accum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Pretty soon this will be pushed back to March. Horrible NWS forecasters at BTV are picking up on this subtle push-back to a later and later date... good disco from those guys this morning on the situation... in talking with a few of them via email, they appear ready to poke their eyes out due to how boring this winter has been: ECMWF AND GFS MODELS SHOW A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH FAIR AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED. EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT GFS MODEL HAS A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN INDIANA...WHILE THE ECMWF MODEL HAS THIS FEATURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAIN STATES...KANSAS AND NEBRASKA. THE ECMWF MODEL KEEPS OUR REGION UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...WHILE THE GFS MODEL HAS AN UPPER RIDGE OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. GFS MODEL GENERATES A SURFACE LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN MOVE THIS LOW NORTHEAST AND DEEPENS IT AS IT APPROACHES CAPE COD EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. ECMWF MODEL TRIES TO DEVELOP A WEAKER LOW ALONG THE GULF COAST BY EARLY MONDAY. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS HAVE FOR THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS BEEN TRYING TO BRING A LOW PRESSURE AREA NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND APPROACHING SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...BUT EACH NEW MODEL RUN KEEPS PUSHING THIS OFF UNTIL LATER. FEEL THIS IS LIKELY THE CASE THIS TIME AS WELL. 00Z GFS MODEL RUN KEEPS SUNDAY NIGHT DRY OVER THE REGION...SO HAVE REMOVED THE CHANCE OF SNOW THAT THE PREVIOUS FORECAST HAD FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. HOWEVER...HAVE KEPT IN A LOW CHANCE FOR SNOW ON MONDAY...TO BETTER MESH WITH THE SURROUNDING FORECAST OFFICES. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR MONDAY...AND I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF IT REMAINS DRY ON MONDAY AS WELL...ESPECIALLY THE WAY THIS WINTER HAS GONE SO FAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 That's a stretch. This run barely works because of an impulse diving down from northern Canada on the backside of the trough departing the Northeast that helps lower heights ahead of the big closed low. Huh? Compared to 12z it is. And euro op and ensembles have no snow for SNE except near the Cape. Lost storm two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Euro has a nice inverted trough signal south of pike Thursday..maybe good for a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 BOX seeing it as well INCLUDING THE OPNL GFS AND ECMWF SUGGESTS THAT THERE IS AT LEAST SOME AVAILABLE MOISTURE WITH THE H85 AND H87 FRONT/WAVE PASSAGE THAT WEAK CONVERGENCE AT THESE LEVELS COULD PRODUCE SOME LIGHT PRECIP OVER EXTREME SRN PORTIONS OF THE FA. THE TIMING WOULD BE AS THE LOW MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH LATE THU NIGHT. COLUMN TEMPS SUPPORT MOSTLY RAIN TO START...TRANSITIONING TO SNOW ONCE THE COLUMN COOLS IN THE LLVLS OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE TO SUGGEST AT LEAST SOME POPS OVER SRN PORTIONS OF THE FA /PARTICULARLY S OF THE MA PIKE/ WHILE NRN REGIONS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY DRY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I will truly enjoy my 0.5" that will fall today as it may be the only snow i see in the next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Looks like the GFS and NAM were at least somewhat close to bringing a couple of inches to SNE on the overnight runs for Thursday. I wouldn't trust them til tomorrow though lol. euro bring anything close for that time frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Looks like the GFS and NAM were at least somewhat close to bringing a couple of inches to SNE on the overnight runs for Thursday. I wouldn't trust them til tomorrow though lol. euro bring anything close for that time frame? Yes. It was light and temps are borderline to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 snoozefest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 This winter is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 What winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 The one in Alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 This winter is ridiculous. The biggest snowstorm outside of October was in SE Massachusetts hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 The one in Alaska. Thats the one thats ridiculous the other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 This winter is ridiculous. brutal. it feels and smells like an early april morning out there with fresehening S winds and a "chilly" feel. i went out at 5 to get coffee...didn't even need a coat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 brutal. it feels and smells like an early april morning out there with fresehening S winds and a "chilly" feel. i went out at 5 to get coffee...didn't even need a coat. Snow sky though. Kits street hockey games every afternoon, canal road still full of bikers, runners and roller bladers, still golfers sneaking onto White Cliff, my lawn is still mostly green...what a winter. On one hand we got 3 great days of snow fun this year, one pre-xmas and 2 others after the storm a bit ago. Is what it is, roads are clear, cars are staying clean...if this is how it's going to be oh well. You know this winter is bad when even MRG gave up and went to Antartica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Start working on your short games everyone. Someone said it earlier, but winter ended on November 1. The quicker we can get rid of these cold temps, the faster we can be playing golf again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 What winter? Man I hope the coastal plain can get a good storm one of these days. I think you guys will get your due. Its been a poor winter up here but we've had our periods of quality "winter" just like this past 5 day stretch. No big storms per se, but folks wonder why I was getting all excited the other day when the GFS had trace amounts of precipitation and shortwaves moving through every 24 hours. I was just wandering around in snow up to my armpits in the woods on the east side of the Spine, trying not to fall in treewells. Another 1.5" up there last night, with 20" in the last 5 days, and flakes continue to fall... sometimes light, sometimes heavy, like its been doing since Thursday. Unfortunately up here we can't even avoid the rain, and it'll rain tonight, crust up the fluff, and insulate it for the next front to move over the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Snow sky though. Kits street hockey games every afternoon, canal road still full of bikers, runners and roller bladers, still golfers sneaking onto White Cliff, my lawn is still mostly green...what a winter. On one hand we got 3 great days of snow fun this year, one pre-xmas and 2 others after the storm a bit ago. Is what it is, roads are clear, cars are staying clean...if this is how it's going to be oh well. You know this winter is bad when even MRG gave up and went to Antartica. hopefully something happens in the next few weeks. was good to get that storm last week but i want more than just that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Start working on your short games everyone. Someone said it earlier, but winter ended on November 1. The quicker we can get rid of these cold temps, the faster we can be playing golf again. Lulz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 hopefully something happens in the next few weeks. was good to get that storm last week but i want more than just that. Pathetic but if we can get one more good event I'll be happy. If we manage another 6-12" here I don't think we're all that far off from climo. It's just so weird to not see any ice. Hurting the tackle stores and the guys that like to ice fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Man I hope the coastal plain can get a good storm one of these days. I think you guys will get your due. Its been a poor winter up here but we've had our periods of quality "winter" just like this past 5 day stretch. No big storms per se, but folks wonder why I was getting all excited the other day when the GFS had trace amounts of precipitation and shortwaves moving through every 24 hours. I was just wandering around in snow up to my armpits in the woods on the east side of the Spine, trying not to fall in treewells. Another 1.5" up there last night, with 20" in the last 5 days, and flakes continue to fall... sometimes light, sometimes heavy, like its been doing since Thursday. Unfortunately up here we can't even avoid the rain, and it'll rain tonight, crust up the fluff, and insulate it for the next front to move over the mountains. Winter recreation is pretty much non existent locally here, I have had to trailer to get any riding in which is an inconvenience but thats the way it goes, Hopefully we can turn it around this month at some point or it will be a loss cause soon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 What's stopping that disturbance from coming n on Thursday? Nam keeping it south a good bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I will truly enjoy my 0.5" that will fall today as it may be the only snow i see in the next 10 days months FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 What's stopping that disturbance from coming n on Thursday? Nam keeping it south a good bit Systems only move north if we are going to get rain out of 'em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Surprised Scooter and Phil aren;t talking about light snow threat Thurs nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 What's stopping that disturbance from coming n on Thursday? Nam keeping it south a good bit It's the system rolling through before it. It does not allow the system to amplify enough until it's well offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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