Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 euro out to 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 HM was pretty bullish on the January 10th period as were some others....Not sure that is still a tenable period though still 3 weeks away That time period fit the earlier D+11 analogs. I haven't looked closely at them lately. Too much other stuff to do like writing cards. I don't like the pattern I see for early Jan but as you say it's really early to make definitive calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 not to be a butt but we have a winter thread as well.. this one is technically about the non events coming up Youre such a butt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 these go back to 89..so not helpful for most of the 80s.....gymengineer has a bunch of newspaper articles....but I don't really know of anything that summarizes those winters other than memory and data and the KU book http://www.nws.noaa....index2011.shtml Thanks! It is interesting that the ones that have precip with the storm are rainstorms. I think they illustrate how crappy and thread the needle the pattern is. Yup. Just not enough cold air around to make this an easy snowfall, even with a weak/surpressed system. euro out to 42 Euro! Euro! Euro!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Youre such a butt sne and the ma have switched roles i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Euro is pretty similar with THU night, though not as wet...0.5 - 0.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 sne and the ma have switched roles i think Nah. You set yourself up. I hope other posts are removed, and/or put in their proper locations too other than just mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Nah. You set yourself up. I hope other posts are removed, and/or put in their proper locations too other than just mine. wasnt talking about that really.. just in general. they're all down on the storm while we're all weenieing it up etc. i brought your post back--didnt remove it. but we've got play by play to do so we should probably stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 The high is starting to do its work on Saturday...looks like low to mid 40s in the afternoon and early evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 wasnt talking about that really.. just in general. they're all down on the storm while we're all weenieing it up etc. i brought your post back--didnt remove it. but we've got play by play to do so we should probably stop. yes, sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 pretty much every GFS ensemble member has the MJO stalling in phase 5 for another 2 weeks or longer.... If we can't get that thing to crank back up and start moving to the favorable phases then it will be a long winter indeed regardless of what the immediate chances are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 euro holds but it is warmer...at 120 hrs...low over north GA and a secondary forming southeast of Hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 hr 120 looking good for dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Frederick/MRB/Ji special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 The high is starting to do its work on Saturday...looks like low to mid 40s in the afternoon and early evening 850s are okay at 96... 0c line is in C VA down to near RIC... -2c is just south of DC near EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 hr 120 looking good for dc do tell???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 850s are okay at 96... 0c line is in C VA down to near RIC... -2c is just south of DC near EZF im already at 132 hrs dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 im already at 132 hrs dude all rain for I95 Matt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Frederick/MRB/Ji special till 0z when it's a little warmer and 12z when it's a little warmer than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 im already at 132 hrs dude I know... you mentioned the temps on Sat... so I thought i would mention the 850s as well. I know you get it faster than me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 do tell???? looks like a smidge more precip in the panel before 850s warm but it could just be faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 looks like a front end thump low is over charlotte at 126 warmth is racing north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 ok....juicy but EVERYONE goes to rain in the afternoon so it is a matter of nailing the timing of the changeover...looks very low impact in the cities....maybe something decent on the front end in Loudoun/Frederick/Elevation etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 till 0z when it's a little warmer and 12z when it's a little warmer than that you've noticed that pattern this year too, ehh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 till 0z when it's a little warmer and 12z when it's a little warmer than that If this year's trends hold. Still the euro holding might get Jason to want an article tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 If this year's trends hold. Still the euro holding might get Jason to want an article tomorrow. Wes what would it take for the HP to hold in instead of sliding east. Is that even a possibility?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 cold at the surface 32-33 but mid levels do warm up at the height of the storm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 all rain for I95 Matt? no..but mostly...verbatim, would probably start as some snow/sleet at 34-37 degrees for a few hours and then change over...minor or no accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 till 0z when it's a little warmer and 12z when it's a little warmer than that Bingo. Although you are insufferable when you're either going to miss a storm here or be in a better location, you are 100% right on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 you've noticed that pattern this year too, ehh? 5 days out in a bad pattern.. not sure why we're even talking snow lines etc. that stuff has been frowned upon by many in the past. i guess people are getting desperate. it's gonna rain.. at least it looks worse up north too i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.