MaineJayhawk Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 No consistency. Wouldn't surprise if 18z showed Snowmageddon II Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 ohz noz, a mad model run...let's cancel winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 No consistency. Wouldn't surprise if 18z showed Snowmageddon II Consistent with the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Consistent with the 06z run. And all day yesterday it was showing a retro system snow marathon. Two putrid runs at a week out aren't convincing me that a 12/5ish threat is toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 So there is lots of talk about the PNA, NAO and AO and potential effects on our upcoming pattern. I have not heard much mention about the Polar Vortex. Where is it parked right now and what is it's strength? I know there is some relation between it and the NAO but is the PV substantially weaker this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Nate would like this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Love how it goes from suppression to inside runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Nate would like this run. lol ... yeah, heavy heavy ball spiking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 12/9 FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Why is everyone worried about suppression in a LA nina/ LOL..it never happens after last year, with golf and shorts in labrador while the MA was buried simulataneously.... anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'm going to be annoyed if the 12/4-12/5 system is suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 12z GGEM ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'm going to be annoyed if the 12/4-12/5 system is suppressed. LOL..Why would it be? We're fine..It's not gonna be a big one. A nice 3-6 inch type deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 LOL..Why would it be? We're fine..It's not gonna be a big one. A nice 3-6 inch type deal Well relying on some to retrograde and hit us good isn't really what I want to be doing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Well relying on some to retrograde and hit us good isn't really what I want to be doing lol lol... if it won't snow from the west, why not hope it comes from the east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 Swan Divers please step forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 That's right where we want the GFS at this timeframe..in it's usual SE bias mode You've been saying that since last Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Well relying on some to retrograde and hit us good isn't really what I want to be doing lol Huh? We're talking about the system that scoots out underneath us as the primary dies over the lakes..not something that retorgrades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Just caught a word from Huff that Jack (from Storm Vista) has died. He got this through Matt Lanza via FB. Also in OT now. OMFG.....WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 It would be kind of amazing to think that given the Moderate/Strong Nina and the -NAO that this ends up hitting the Mid-Atl and not us. Swift kick in the balls for sure. I'd absolutely, positively lose it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 LOL http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/1493-jbs-wild-start-to-december/page__view__findpost__p__43724 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 The 12z gfs is good for cold up to day 10, after that it's like trying to hit the lottery, expect rapid run to run shifts. The general idea is that it should be colder and more stormier than usual this December. I'm not thinking arctic cold but enough to get snow going (maybe) although I have a very negative outlook on that idea given how this season is projected to go. It doesn't matter how good the Atlantic is with the negative NAO, if the Pacific is horrible, than we won't get anything going. A good example of the NAO not meaning a thing is the midweek system. It's supposed to warm up to the upper 50s and 60 for Tuesday and Wednesday with rain while the NAO is near -3. Unfortunately this La Nina is going to slaughter folks below 42-43N, and once the NAO flips positive in January, expect to see daily temperatures in the 50s, if not 60s. LOL http://www.americanw...dpost__p__43724 Luckily I'm at 43.4N This guy sounds like CT Torch did in August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Last year those who subscribed to the ecmwf would give us a blow-by-blow description of the daily run at about 1pm. I don't see any of that this year. What happened , did ecmwf crack down...some sort of copyright violation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Last year those who subscribed to the ecmwf would give us a blow-by-blow description of the daily run at about 1pm. I don't see any of that this year. What happened , did ecmwf crack down...some sort of copyright violation? There really is no need to dissect every single model run when looking at things 180+ hours down the road. When we start getting threats that are imminent than we'll start to see more detailed analysis of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 12Z Euro is suppressed. Not a lick of precip north of KDOV through 168 hours.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Last year those who subscribed to the ecmwf would give us a blow-by-blow description of the daily run at about 1pm. I don't see any of that this year. What happened , did ecmwf crack down...some sort of copyright violation? Here's the blow-by-blow of the 12z Euro Sun Rain Sun Disappointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 12Z Euro is suppressed. Not a lick of precip north of KDOV through 168 hours.... Well, I guess there's always ice skating and ice fishing to keep us busy 'til Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Well, I guess there's always ice skating and ice fishing to keep us busy 'til Christmas. Pond skating for you and puddle skating for me...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'd absolutely, positively lose it. its still 2010 have to wait for calendar to turn, remember? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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