Alpha5 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Euro misses wide left with storm #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Euro misses wide left with storm #1 Have you seen past 168hrs? Looking at the map...where can that low off HAT go next? Not further east. and look at that energy in western Hudson's Bay, that should be diving south in a big way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Have you seen past 168hrs? Looking at the map...where can that low off HAT go next? Not further east. and look at that energy in western Hudson's Bay, that should be diving south in a big way. Here's 192 off Raleigh's site.....still plenty of time for favorable adjustments for storm #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 For everyone that is about to slit wrists, tip chairs, river jump, bridge dive..it's a Nina year..things do not get suppressed in LA ninas..watch it come north over the next few days...just remember at one time this was modelled as a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 For everyone that is about to slit wrists, tip chairs, river jump, bridge dive..it's a Nina year..things do not get suppressed in LA ninas..watch it come north over the next few days...just remember at one time this was modelled as a cutter I like where we stand right now...good vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Euro misses wide left with storm #1 your other left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 your other left I was figuring storm #1 is the Wednesday storm which we've known to be a cutter for like a week now. Dunno what Alpha means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 verbatim, euro has a little snow event for the folks in the MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 your other left lol We can't even get misses right in 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I like where we stand right now...good vibes. I'm seeing alot of posts from various people that the -NAO will serve to keep the Dec 5th event south and that confluence will not allow it to come north. If I had a dollar for every time I saw that..I'd have enough to buy you a lifetime of 40's. As we get closer the confluence will lessen and we'll see it come north and probably track off the jersey coast somewhere..just like always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 your other left Whoops Euro misses wide right (Had a long night last night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'm seeing alot of posts from various people that the -NAO will serve to keep the Dec 5th event south and that confluence will not allow it to come north. If I had a dollar for every time I saw that..I'd have enough to buy you a lifetime of 40's. As we get closer the confluence will lessen and we'll see it come north and probably track off the jersey coast somewhere..just like always I totally agree with you here I was thinking that same exact thing regarding the track, I think it tracks closer to us, if not possibly over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'm seeing alot of posts from various people that the -NAO will serve to keep the Dec 5th event south and that confluence will not allow it to come north. If I had a dollar for every time I saw that..I'd have enough to buy you a lifetime of 40's. As we get closer the confluence will lessen and we'll see it come north and probably track off the jersey coast somewhere..just like always I like the non-chair tipping CTBlizz. I do agree that things this season will trend northward as we get closer to events, based on past La Nina experiences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I totally agree with you here I was thinking that same exact thing regarding the track, I think it tracks closer to us, if not possibly over us. If you think that it tracks closer to us than he does, then you aren't thinking the exact smae thing regarding the track. You said maybe over sne, he said Jersey shore....same hting. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I like the non-chair tipping CTBlizz. I do agree that things this season will trend northward as we get closer to events, based on past La Nina experiences. Yeah it happens in almost every single event in a Nina..people in New England drown themselves in bathtubs..while the mid atlantic high five their laptops and then as we get closer to the event the inevitable north trend occurs and we find people took their lives and celebrated with their laptops way way too soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 If you think that it tracks closer to us than he does, then you aren't thinking the exact smae thing regarding the track. You said maybe over sne, he said Jersey shore....same hting. lol Well that was a little extra...just adding that I think it could even go a little further north...basically just stating I don't buy into the whole suppression thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Euro is damn cold by day 10. Maybe setting the stage for a Miller A by day 13 or 14? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I for one REALLY REALLY like the way the 12z euro looks love the way this pattern is shaping up. Didn't think the cold was coming.....looks (knock on wood) like it is and there will be storminess as well....not concerned about extreme suppression..... eventually a storm will go south.....that's ok and normal.....it won't be 10 of them LOL. Got my wa wa pass in hand ....3 trails open today and 2 lifts. dAve it wasn't that busy there at noon. Was in princeton ma at 1050' (base) still ice covering the twigs along the wa wa brook .....cold out there with a decent wind blowin.....cold! p.s further out euro shows MID winter cold with -15c 850's for D9 and D10 in wake of D8 coastal/ snow threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Yeah it happens in almost every single event every winter...people in New England drown themselves in bathtubs..while the mid atlantic high five their laptops and then as we get closer to the event the inevitable north trend occurs and we find people took their lives and celebrated with their laptops way way too soon Pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'm seeing alot of posts from various people that the -NAO will serve to keep the Dec 5th event south and that confluence will not allow it to come north. If I had a dollar for every time I saw that..I'd have enough to buy you a lifetime of 40's. As we get closer the confluence will lessen and we'll see it come north and probably track off the jersey coast somewhere..just like always I wouldn't discredit a suppressed easterly solution though for the 12/4-5 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Euro is damn cold by day 10. Maybe setting the stage for a Miller A by day 13 or 14? lol Shades of 1981 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Euro is damn cold by day 10. Maybe setting the stage for a Miller A by day 13 or 14? lol I live vicariously through Day 10-14 progs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I wouldn't discredit a suppressed easterly solution though for the 12/4-5 storm. No chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Phil agrees suppression is unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'm not going to jump off any cliffs nor will I be raising my arms in victory over any of the model depictions. I'm enjoying them struggle mightily with how things are going to play out. Their massive swings merely point to the fact that we shouldn't get our hopes up until things are within a reasonable window (5 days max is what I'm currently thinking). At least that's the way I'm seeing it right now. 35.8/25, virtually all the snow melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I was showing my 5-year old how much rain we were going to get in the 84z frame of the 12z gfs and she said "but then it will turn to snow and ice". Then I looked at 90z and had to scratch my head and wonder....... From the mouths of babes.... MAZ002-290930- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 317 PM EST SUN NOV 28 2010 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT . .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING 35.7/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 We'll need the update from someone on how the euro ensembles look. I'm guessing plenty of spread...alot north ..some south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 We'll need the update from someone on how the euro ensembles look. I'm guessing plenty of spread...alot north ..some south I'll bet they look better for NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I'll bet they look better for NE. Yeah I'm guessing they do too..this is not a south miss type pattern..totally different than last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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