snywx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Your obs are ones I'm always interested in..because our wx tends to follow the same pattern during precip events...when you flip to ip/zr it always means it's not more than a few hours here....very good sign that all the hills are snow from the start Yeah thats why I threw it in here.. Our wx is very similar just separated by a few hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Snow flurries - 35/28 Upton's snow map is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 What is it giving us, like 2-4".. Like Scott said it gets a little funky past 6 or so hours. It did well on the morning of 1/12 with predicting the placement/rates with my deform band, but that was in the 3-6hr range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Winds have now gone ne something else I was not expecting. (this early) NE at BDR to. still going to be tough to get anything but rain here...snowpack continues to drop....oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 In the gym listening to pandora. We have dr no... I think we now have dr feelgood too....henceforth the ruc is tO be known as dr feelgood particularly if it's right tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I think a final call IMBY of 2-4'' is fair...5'' isn't happening. Should be enough to replenish most of what we lost over the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Okay, is that an illusion or is the radar filling in more than missguidance - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Okay, is that an illusion or is the radar filling in more than missguidance - Both...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 it's funny that models aren't really that trusted this year even 6-10 hours out. rev and the gang run the HRRR from the bus.....and were taking a ride weenies in hand.....chuckem ......far and wide....if u see us hide and duck.....the meanies will smack u in da face wit da weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Okay, is that an illusion or is the radar filling in more than missguidance - 0z ruc still hitting it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 The 0z RUC is bringing measurable precip into SNE, LI, and NJ by 3hr, much quicker than the 23z RUC. I know it's the RUC, but it's only 3 hours out, so could it be on to something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 still going to be tough to get anything but rain here...snowpack continues to drop....oh well. Nah, it will snow tonight into tomorrow morning, question is, does it come down hard enough to cool 2m temps enough to stick. Even I am suprised its frozen as close as Shelton, certainly a good sign. As far as snowpack, 17 at BDR, not bad, continous snowpack since 12/26 a very, very, very rare occurence on the ct coast for sure, and its certainly going nowhere over the next 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Central pa thread encouraging snowing and sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Some weenie flakage in the brass city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 a few flakes started here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 0z ruc still hitting it Says 20-25dbz should be moving in to kevin in the next hour or two and heavier down in delmarva moving ne to nne toward us. RUC sure does think it's right... not backing down each hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 The RUC isn't going to be wrong at this range with at least the initial pulse, no way. I just looked quickly, RUC is slower in the southern range with the s/w but more notably slower with the northern s/w at six hours. It would appear that possibly a collosal bust occured even inside of 6-12 hours with the handling of those features which if it is the case only solidifies my opinion that something is very wrong with the data at NCEP. An idiot with a crayon and a transparent piece of paper could draw straight lines based on three hours of water vapor and do a better job of pinning down s/w positions than the models right now at 6 hours. EDIT re bust...I mean at 500. In reality the composite is much worse than the bite in terms of QPF the RUC is driving.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 0z ruc still hitting it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Says 20-25dbz should be moving in to kevin in the next hour or two and heavier down in delmarva moving ne to nne toward us. RUC sure does think it's right... not backing down each hour. well if we could get the radar trends to fill in up thru ACY then Ne/NNE To HVN after midnite.....we are in bizness. http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USVA0731&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 forget that was looking in reverse...stupid animations. Reasonable lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 It's snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 33.8/28//very light snow..hopefully a sign of good things for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 33.8/28//very light snow..hopefully a sign of good things for everyone yes....should be fun to wake up and see what the snow fairly left anywhere from a dustin to 6+.....gun to head i say 3 for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 SREFs are not impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 SREFs are not impressed. Who cares..toss em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Looks like the RUC had a much better idea than the NAM in terms of the aerial coverage of precip but is probably overdone by 5-10dbz in terms of actual "truth" in flakes...at least right now/through 6 It's 700mb maps really point to the solution the NAM is firing out which is eastern areas get the business later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 WTF. RUC is robust and SE of models. verbatim I'd get a few inches as temps in the soundings cool nicely. Not sure I buy it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Steady light snow..Started as tiny weenie flakes..now some decent sized flakes coming down 33.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 WTF. RUC is robust and SE of models. verbatim I'd get a few inches as temps in the soundings cool nicely. Not sure I buy it.. Kind of a big bust for the models. But that's par for the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Will..you snowing yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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