CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Well if guidance is going to bust on precip...let's hope it busts on temps too. I'm still a little worried of a split for ctrl and ern areas. Composite weenie radar is a lot more impressive then single site. If radar continues to look good and develop better echoes in the next 3-4 hours, then we should know for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm still a little worried of a split for ctrl and ern areas. Composite weenie radar is a lot more impressive then single site. If radar continues to look good and develop better echoes in the next 3-4 hours, then we should know for sure. I'm curious to see the 00z RUC as well...splitting is definitely a possibility, but I think it's looking better for much of southern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Most news stations dont have this starting until 7am? Them FTL, RUC FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 34.3/28 here..soon as this virga reaches the ground should cool to 31-32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Most news stations dont have this starting until 7am? Them FTL, RUC FTW? Gulf waves are always sneaky. I hope this is one of those times, but we'll see in the next 4 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm still a little worried of a split for ctrl and ern areas. Composite weenie radar is a lot more impressive then single site. If radar continues to look good and develop better echoes in the next 3-4 hours, then we should know for sure. A lot guidance clipped the cape with the offshore low...but basically 90% of the qpf was being wasted in too warm a column. If it comes further west it might help out some interior areas where things are colder...but for MBY and most south of I-90 guidance will have to have been way too warm for it to matter much I think. Even the euro looked like .3 or. 4 down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I remember that storm where it was supposed to be mostly dry then the cape got destroyed and even I got some snow I think....when was that and when did models catch on? ...just curious, not comparing this one at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I remember that storm where it was supposed to be mostly dry then the cape got destroyed and even I got some snow I think....when was that and when did models catch on? ...just curious, not comparing this one at all. What year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I remember that storm where it was supposed to be mostly dry then the cape got destroyed and even I got some snow I think....when was that and when did models catch on? ...just curious, not comparing this one at all. Back on 12/20 and 12/21. Models failed horribly right up to the event, but that was a retrograding low. Models always have a tough time handling those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Here's GYXs snow map. Pedestrian event, but good for snowpack maintenance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I remember that storm where it was supposed to be mostly dry then the cape got destroyed and even I got some snow I think....when was that and when did models catch on? ...just curious, not comparing this one at all. Retro storm earlier this year. All models failed right up until the event RUC was OK but a little too aggressive with bringing the low NW. NAM had a couple weenie runs that gave some hope but it mostly failed too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Back on 12/20 and 12/21. Models failed horribly right up to the event, but that was a retrograding low. Models always have a tough tome handling those. Thanks, thats it. I have .7" in my records for those dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Radar really juicing up. Have a few flakes falling again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm curious to see the 00z RUC as well...splitting is definitely a possibility, but I think it's looking better for much of southern New England. It's usually the 0z and 12z that snap back into a more firm solution. Like Scott says composite doesn't tell the story. Curious though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Sprinkles 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Lgt Snow here... Temp of 33.8* Figured you guys in NW CT & W MA would want to know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Lgt Snow here... Temp of 33.8* Your obs are ones I'm always interested in..because our wx tends to follow the same pattern during precip events...when you flip to ip/zr it always means it's not more than a few hours here....very good sign that all the hills are snow from the start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 HRRR going apesh*t tomorrow at 10z. Again, it's been cracked out after 6hrs, but it is pretty stubborn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 HRRR going apesh*t tomorrow at 10z. Again, it's been cracked out after 6hrs, but it is pretty stubborn. I wonder if it's hitting on some intense squalls tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 33.4\29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2011 Author Share Posted February 8, 2011 Your obs are ones I'm always interested in..because our wx tends to follow the same pattern during precip events...when you flip to ip/zr it always means it's not more than a few hours here....very good sign that all the hills are snow from the start Your kids are going to forget what their teachers look like... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I wonder if it's hitting on some intense squalls tomorrow? Nah, this is widespread synoptic stuff on that model. LOL, it's either gonna score big or look like trash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Nah, this is widespread synoptic stuff on that model. LOL, it's either gonna score big or look like trash. For purposes, what is it showing verbatim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Your kids are going to forget what their teachers look like... It's gotten to the point where they get up everyday whether it's sunny or snowing asking me if there's school. Seriously. They haven't had a full week of school since the week before Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Nah, this is widespread synoptic stuff on that model. LOL, it's either gonna score big or look like trash. What is it giving us, like 2-4".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Winds have now gone ne something else I was not expecting. (this early) NE at BDR to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 For purposes, what is it showing verbatim? What is it giving us, like 2-4".. Yeah 2-4, perhaps a hair more if you believe the simulated radar and qpf. I'm just skeptical right now until I see more proof, but it's not far fetched for higher terrain to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 What is it giving us, like 2-4".. Yea about 2-4" With mod/hvy precip still over the area at hr 12 on the 23z ruc so likely more to come after that - if I had to extrapolate the RUC (LOL ) I'd say 3-6" up by you, but less down in the CP due to BL temps that don't drop enough until a few hours into the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Yea about 2-4" With mod/hvy precip still over the area at hr 12 on the 23z ruc so likely more to come after that - if I had to extrapolate the RUC (LOL ) I'd say 3-6" up by you, but less down in the CP due to BL temps that don't drop enough until a few hours into the snow. I'm on the cp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm on the cp. Sorry - metro boston and south is a bit too warm to accumulate, it's fine for temps out around 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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