dabize Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Very light snow now in Sudbury, MA, elev. 200' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Light rain\snow mix.....35.5\30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Well Phil definitely called it...and its not a shock. Enough southerly flow in the BL to turn those fairly close to CT shore over to rain...and perhaps up into central and N CT...but we'll have to see on that. It will probably go back to snow though in latter stages if that lift from the west comes in later on early tomorrow morning. Will so BL temps are forecast to stay bit cooler over by me......compared to elevations higher but further SW in ct (i.e that 650' ob)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Will so BL temps are forecast to stay bit cooler over by me......compared to elevations higher but further SW in ct (i.e that 650' ob)? Yes, yours 925-950mb temps are about a degree colder than a place like OXC in SW CT so you'll have a better chance of snowing than there over the next 6-10 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 i agree. this is nowcasting at its very best. Watching the radar loop, you can see if the delmarva packet hold together, there will be a sneak attack in the early am. it certainly seems to be vectoring this way. below The big question will be what happens with the developing comma head overnight. Does it get us towards 12z? We have a shot of getting stroked pretty good down here, then we have questions of temps too. It's in focus now though. We get this first puff of moisture, then wait for the low to blossom later. It's the developing comma head that may stroke the cape towards 12z and parts of EMA, the rest of this stuff is NBD as Phil said. It could turn out to just miss and be NBD, or someone may get under some intense precip for 3-4 hours and get a quick 3-6".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 shocked to see lt. sn. starting here. Definitely flakes and not drops. Probably not sticking around considering 35.3/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 rain/snow mix 32.4 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 weatherbug radar shows the slightly warmer ct valley very nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 32º and snow. Not too excited, but curious to see what becomes of the precip off the coast to our south. Current NWS forecast is 2" at best, but we could bust twice that with a little luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I live the classic comments with nowcasting and such. Also messenger coming in with the hour by hour ruc heart attacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 down to 34.5 now...over a 2 degree drop in the past hour. Very light slush on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 don't think 150' more is gonna matter much now. think your gonna need 800' + Yeah, I couldn't get enough elevation on my weenie drive for it to make appreciable difference. Snowpack was definitely healthier in the 400'+ elevations in the shaded reservoir area, but the storm didn't change much, still a nasty cold rain..the precip intensity also backed off which meant it reverted to -RN pretty quickly. We're down to 35.6F so there'd be some hope if heavier returns got over the area, but I'd think you'd need close to 1000' to get a chance at accumulating. I'd have to drive too far to get to that elevation, and it wouldn't be worth it considering the marginal nature of this event after all the monster snowstorms we've been crushed with. Starting to see the snow loosen from tree stumps with the warmer temps and rain, very sad. Pack is really breaking up down here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I live the classic comments with nowcasting and such. Also messenger coming in with the hour by hour ruc heart attacks LOL...RUC has come around to the NAM. RGEM is still NBD, GFS has a huge dryslot right where the NAM and now the RUC probably have the most QPF...good modeling overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Steady light snow now..near 1 mile vis, accumulating roadway now. Temp now below freezing at 31.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Will, how long does the hill top-circle-jerki last... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 LOL...RUC has come around to the NAM. RGEM is still NBD, GFS has a huge dryslot right where the NAM and now the RUC probably have the most QPF...good modeling overall. lol pretty steady snow falling here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I live the classic comments with nowcasting and such. Also messenger coming in with the hour by hour ruc heart attacks lol, a classic sign that this event is destined to fail. Anyways it's 37/30 and about 50/50 slush snow/rain downtown in boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 LOL...RUC has come around to the NAM. RGEM is still NBD, GFS has a huge dryslot right where the NAM and now the RUC probably have the most QPF...good modeling overall. Its been all around terrible.. ride the climo train; warm bl and light snow = nearly nothing in a lot of locations possible. Anywhere that starts as snow has a good shot at 2-3" in sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Will, how long does the hill top-circle-jerki last... Pretty much the whole event...you'll keep cooling a bit as dynamics cool it top-down, but you might be stuck at 32-33 for awhile while hill tops are 30-31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 LOL...RUC has come around to the NAM. RGEM is still NBD, GFS has a huge dryslot right where the NAM and now the RUC probably have the most QPF...good modeling overall. It should be pretty much what we thought all along maybe 2-3..perhaps spot 4 " in some of the higher terrain. Perhaps an inch..maybe 2 in the CP. That heavier stuff is moving ene off the Delmarva. Unless, somehow this explodes over sne in the predawn, but I don't really see that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 SN- still stuck at 32, maybe 0.75 inch or so ottawa has cooled off bigtime in the last couple hours, dropped 9 degrees in 3 hours, down to 23 now on a SSW to NNW wind shift cold air approaching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Yeah, I couldn't get enough elevation on my weenie drive for it to make appreciable difference. Snowpack was definitely healthier in the 400'+ elevations in the shaded reservoir area, but the storm didn't change much, still a nasty cold rain..the precip intensity also backed off which meant it reverted to -RN pretty quickly. We're down to 35.6F so there'd be some hope if heavier returns got over the area, but I'd think you'd need close to 1000' to get a chance at accumulating. I'd have to drive too far to get to that elevation, and it wouldn't be worth it considering the marginal nature of this event after all the monster snowstorms we've been crushed with. Starting to see the snow loosen from tree stumps with the warmer temps and rain, very sad. Pack is really breaking up down here.. Hey, the Sawmill to 684 to 84E to 121S- take Hawley Road up to the top - its still there......... Now THATS a weenie drive. I used to do them all the time when there was a sharp R/S line nearby. I can see why you'd pass on this one, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Will, how long does the hill top-circle-jerki last... Till kevin admits defeat.. ski mrg quits skiing.. and jerry stops taking walks... In other words.. forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm glad that the good stuff is missing. The heavier it comes down, the more it will cool there...so I don't think you want light crap. Looks like NW RI is getting hit pretty good. Probably moderate snow in Burrillville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm glad that the good stuff is missing. I'm hoping it comes up later. I meant that it is slowly shifting ene with time. It's possible it might try to blossom later overhead, but the earlier RUC runs may be a little too aggressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Slop fest in Brookline. I ate too much pub cheese tonight. I knew when I was buying it....should have listened to the little voice telling me..."this is 900 calories that you don't need..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Probably a nice paste on MQE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 It should be pretty much what we thought all along maybe 2-3..perhaps spot 4 " in some of the higher terrain. Perhaps an inch..maybe 2 in the CP. That heavier stuff is moving ene off the Delmarva. Unless, somehow this explodes over sne in the predawn, but I don't really see that right now. The stuff off the delmarva was pretty much a miss/weakens per the RUC/NAM as it moves NE and maybe scrapes through. It was the main energy coming in from the west that develops the comma head type signature that did the damage late tonight. GFS has none of it, RGEM misses SE. May be a NAM/RUC fantasy we'll know soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I knew that you'd say that, but I'd rather not risk a mini December 1996. I'm out.....event is what we thought it was....enjoy the 3" jackot. Well I guess if you don't want to stare at a 6" jackpot W of you while you get 3.5" or something, but if you are all about just adding onto totals at this point to try and get a prolific winter total, then you'd want the heavier stuff. If you are somehow trying to get a higher total than ORH or something, then I guess you don't want it. But you are probably cooked anyway in that department given you are about neck and neck with the elevation fetish portion of the winter still to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Hey, the Sawmill to 684 to 84E to 121S- take Hawley Road up to the top - its still there......... Now THATS a weenie drive. I used to do them all the time when there was a sharp R/S line nearby. I can see why you'd pass on this one, though Do you know how high that spot is? That's pretty far from me, probably 45 minutes or so each way. The 2/25 Snowicane last year had the ultimate R/S line...33F and pouring snow here while HPN reported rain for the entire day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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