Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 As we thought...no snow for MRG tomorow night..other than some flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 As we thought...no snow for MRG tomorow night..other than some flurries It is mildly (no pun intended) disappointing to see that dropped from the forecast. But not as disappointing to see the 06z gfs. lol What's interesting is that I don't think there has been any model run in this run of wild swings that has targeted western areas of SNE with anything. It would be ironic if we're the ones that ultimately see any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 It is mildly (no pun intended) disappointing to see that dropped from the forecast. But not as disappointing to see the 06z gfs. lol What's interesting is that I don't think there has been any model run in this run of wild swings that has targeted western areas of SNE with anything. It would be ironic if we're the ones that ultimately see any snow. Well one of the biggest mistakes anyone can make is even looking at the 6z and 18z GFS..there's no need or poin to even look at that model until we're under 3 days before an event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 The only places that really had a shot to see some snow showers/flurries tomorrow night I think are NE MA and SW NH...anywhere further west all the moisture is already gone and things are dried out aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Well one of the biggest mistakes anyone can make is even looking at the 6z and 18z GFS..there's no need or poin to even look at that model until we're under 3 days before an event Unless it's the only new model you've got. The threat thread is dead this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Well one of the biggest mistakes anyone can make is even looking at the 6z and 18z GFS..there's no need or poin to even look at that model until we're under 3 days before an event Exactly! Such a waste of time to even think at looking IMO. The only time I ever really look at is is to just see if it shows any consistencies within the pattern and that's it, nothing more. Like you said though, once inside 2-3 days of an event I generally begin to look at it more, and the same goes in the summer with convection as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 It is mildly (no pun intended) disappointing to see that dropped from the forecast. But not as disappointing to see the 06z gfs. lol What's interesting is that I don't think there has been any model run in this run of wild swings that has targeted western areas of SNE with anything. It would be ironic if we're the ones that ultimately see any snow. Exactly, Mike! I'm very happy that there are some threats on the table, and that we're not yet in the bullseye. From what everybody is saying here, the storm probably isn't going to be as surpressed as progged, and like Blizz says, "North trend!" I think we'll do fine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Exactly, Mike! I'm very happy that there are some threats on the table, and that we're not yet in the bullseye. From what everybody is saying here, the storm probably isn't going to be as surpressed as progged, and like Blizz says, "North trend!" I think we'll do fine! As we thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 As we thought. I think everyone has bailed on the threat thread. They've had to hit their head against the wall too many times with all the swings, I think they may be avoiding it unless there's a storm slated for 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I think everyone has bailed on the threat thread. They've had to hit their head against the wall too many times with all the swings, I think they may be avoiding it unless there's a storm slated for 48 hours. Nah, It's just the main players were up late and the 00z models were unremarkable. There will be lots of permutations in the next 4-5 cycles but things will come into better focus as Thursday comes to a close. Something will pop next week and I am sticking with my Monday night call. More snow, of a more considerable amount, is close at hand. Even if the models briefly lose the threat all together. The Dec 4-6 period has been flagged on and off for quite some time and, in the end it will bear fruit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Nah, It's just the main players were up late and the 00z models were unremarkable. There will be lots of permutations in the next 4-5 cycles but things will come into better focus as Thursday comes to a close. Something will pop next week and I am sticking with my Monday night call. More snow, of a more considerable amount, is close at hand. Even if the models briefly lose the threat all together. The Dec 4-6 period has been flagged on and off for quite some time and, in the end it will bear fruit. There is going to be a storm, The question is which vort or vorts is it going to be the one that produces them, It will shake out by 12z thurs to some extent to where we will start to get some consistency on the models....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Nah, It's just the main players were up late and the 00z models were unremarkable. There will be lots of permutations in the next 4-5 cycles but things will come into better focus as Thursday comes to a close. Something will pop next week and I am sticking with my Monday night call. More snow, of a more considerable amount, is close at hand. Even if the models briefly lose the threat all together. The Dec 4-6 period has been flagged on and off for quite some time and, in the end it will bear fruit. (circle of trust) Agreed. Looking at the wild model swings and taking them at face value will only drive one insane. Come Thursday we'll have a better idea of what is likely to go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 What is this "Forum Led By Storm Mode Moderator" thing at the bottom of the members list on the New England sub forum page? I never noticed that before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Pretty chilly outside and the sky has that snow look to it. Walked over to the library so I could print something out. It's only about a 10 minute walk but in this weather it feels like forever. The walk back is going to suck b/c it's so warm and toasty in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 36 here at 2k and we've had a few renegade flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 36 here at 2k and we've had a few renegade flakes. I swear I saw some flakes here and there on my walk back from the library but it's probably my eyes just playing tricks on me...pretty tried after only sleeping for 15 minutes last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I swear I saw some flakes here and there on my walk back from the library but it's probably my eyes just playing tricks on me...pretty tried after only sleeping for 15 minutes last night Thought I saw some too also, weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 36 here at 2k and we've had a few renegade flakes. No flakes or anything else for that matter as far as I can tell, though I've been on the phone most of the morning. Watching that last, smallest patches of snow disappear. 38.3/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I swear I saw some flakes here and there on my walk back from the library but it's probably my eyes just playing tricks on me...pretty tried after only sleeping for 15 minutes last night Thought I saw some too also, weird. Fast forward a week and it will be true......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 37 here @ 2k we've had a little of everything Sn/PL/Rn. Wind has really picked up in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 BOS elephant watch is on. They are -0.2F for the month and today so far is 49/34 but temp has fallen back to 47. They won't make it back to 0 on the month unless the temp spikes back to about 54F if my math is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 BOS elephant watch is on. They are -0.2F for the month and today so far is 49/34 but temp has fallen back to 47. They won't make it back to 0 on the month unless the temp spikes back to about 54F if my math is correct. wow...today has come in cooler than expected based on a few days back. i'd love to see that streak end for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 wow...today has come in cooler than expected based on a few days back. i'd love to see that streak end for some reason. They've had several of those days where the MAX temp was held in check significantly by east winds and dry air creating evaporational cooling at the shore. I think the 2-3 days we had helped out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 BOS elephant watch is on. They are -0.2F for the month and today so far is 49/34 but temp has fallen back to 47. They won't make it back to 0 on the month unless the temp spikes back to about 54F if my math is correct. ) Yeah Jerry FTW on this one.. I thought today would be warmer closer to midnite(like into the 50's) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 wow...today has come in cooler than expected based on a few days back. i'd love to see that streak end for some reason. I think the streak is going to end. Unless BOS somehow makes a huge surge later this evening, but I don't see it happening. I think the month probably comes in -0.1...but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 ) Yeah Jerry FTW on this one.. I thought today would be warmer closer to midnite(like into the 50's) yeah same here. for the first time in about 8 months cold over-performing. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 yeah same here. for the first time in about 8 months cold over-performing. LOL. Winter is here...MMUUUHHHHAAAAAAAAAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 We did our annual Banana Glider project today with the 8th graders (don't ask) and it certainly felt colder the times I was outside with them (heavy heavy walking). Probably got no higher than 45-48... expecting a few ticks more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 We did our annual Banana Glider project today with the 8th graders (don't ask) and it certainly felt colder the times I was outside with them (heavy heavy walking). Probably got no higher than 45-48... expecting a few ticks more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Hunchback walking the woods in his Hammock, banana gliding back and forth to the tunes of Banana Ramma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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