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  1. A few of us knew you from day 1 and it’s been over 20 years now and you are famous so drop in and say Hi to us little people!! HMP
  2. I hate having to deal with all the Nazi crap on X (Twitter) to find footage and imagery from Jamaica. I can't wait to see Josh's full range of footage.
  3. It's probably the beginnings of being overtaken by the right front quadrant of the eyewall. Josh even stated it was before peak, and they were forced to bolt the doors, as it got much worse. I'd guess what you're seeing there is somewhere between 70 to 80 kts sustained with perhaps a much higher gust towards the end. Edit: Actually, those gusts towards the end may have actually been an increase in the sustained wind. So, again, guessing here, 70-80 kts sustained in the first bit there and then an increase to 100-110 kts towards the end. It's hard to be sure, and I am just going on visual cues from a lot of these videos over the years (which still means squat).
  4. I think what you are describing was when Super Typhoon Haiyan made landfall near Tacloban, Philippines. Come to think of it, that means Josh has been in the most intense Pacific landfall and the most intense Atlantic landfall in the satellite era. This is a discussion for a different thread but this is why after yesterday, I’ll regard him as the greatest chaser of all time moving forward.
  5. It seems like it takes a special breed lol Reed Timmer with tornados, Josh with hurricanes etc.
  6. It was a direct hit on Taiwan as a cat 5 in hurricane terms. I can't believe this storm has been scrubbed. Josh was there.
  7. I think what you are describing was when Super Typhoon Haiyan made landfall near Tacloban, Philippines. Come to think of it, that means Josh has been in the most intense Pacific landfall and the most intense Atlantic landfall in the satellite era.
  8. This is what Josh recently posted on X ... ... "This was the strongest of the 83 hurricanes I have encountered" ... with two pictures, one looking out at the eyewall and one inside the hotel kitchen as he references below ... My location (Crawford, a tiny beach town in St. Elizabeth Parish #Jamaica) took the full force of the inner right eyewall and may have seen the peak winds in this historic, record-smashing hurricane. First pic: as it started to get scary. Bone-rattling gusts were making roofs explode into clouds of lethal confetti. The grand palm tree out front was starting to bend obscenely—in a way I found unnatural. Second pic: after we bolted the door shut because it was getting too dangerous even to watch the storm. (I'd randomly ended up in the hotel's kitchen with a local family.) The hurricane's inner eyewall was a screaming white void. All I could see through the cracks in the shutters was the color white—accompanied by a constant, ear-splitting scream that actually caused pain. (Notice the woman in the pic holding her ears.) The scream occasionally got higher and angrier, and those extra-screechy screams made my eardrums pulse. Meanwhile, water was forcing in through every crack—under the floor and between the window slats. I remember shuddering at the thought of what was happening to the town—what this screaming white void was doing to people, homes, communities. My fears were well-founded. The impact in this part of coastal St. Elizabeth Parish is catastrophic. Wooden structures were completely mowed down and in some cases swept from their foundations. Some concrete structures collapsed. The well-built ones—like my hotel—survived, but even they had major roof, window, and door damage. The landscape has been stripped bare—the trees just sticks. The roads are blocked with rubble and utility poles. Nearby Black River—a unique old historical town right on the water—was smashed beyond recognition: historical sites destroyed, main streets filled with rubble, the town market twisted like a pretzel, even the regional hospital destroyed. It's a good thing I wasn't in my hotel room during the storm because one of the windows blew out, showering the bed with glass and wood. The hotel lost most of its roof, and several third-story rooms were smashed open. But in the lower flooors, those grand old concrete walls protected us. And so far I'm aware of only two deaths in Crawford—a fellow who had a heart attack at the school next door (his body was still in his car and unclaimed the next morning, a sad and disturbing sight), and a woman who drowned in the storm surge in Gallon Beach. While walking down the devastated streets of Black River, I ran into the Jamaican Member of Parliament for this region, @floydgreenja . He's a great dude and I appreciate that he already has a gameplan for turning this catastrophe into an opportunity—to build this region back better. And I vowed on the spot that I'm going to make it my mission to spread awareness of this catastrophe and get that aid flowing in. I'll be talking about MELISSA a lot over the coming months—because it is both a fascinating meteorological event and a human disaster that demands an international response. (And I swear an epic video is coming out of this.) = (location according to a respondent on X was Sandy Ground Hotel west of Crawford towards White House)
  9. Josh has a new post https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1983730201860206979 I can't figure out how to embed an X post.
  10. As expected the wind damage where the eyewall came ashore is extreme. There are areas where well built structures appear to have been flattened by wind, not surge. With elevation in play I am confident assessment will find ground verification of 200+ mph gusts. Honestly some of the damage looks akin to a very high end tornado. I cannot wait to hear Josh’s take on it as he went through the worst of both this and Dorian
  11. Watch Josh’s Dorian video if anyone wants to know what 150+ mph winds look like in daylight. Pretty sure if you stepped outside in that your body would be found several miles away
  12. Has anyone heard from Josh since LF? His last tweet was about 5 hrs ago before the worst hit.
  13. True. The far longer lead time allows for 'cane chasers to find a safer spot. Josh picked the most solid-looking building at the north end of Great Abaco Island for Dorian and caught some amazing video of the front end. That "solid" building was badly damaged, and he (and others in that building) relocated during the eye. Tornado chasers are usually in vehicles and have minutes, or even seconds, to choose their spots.
  14. Looks like White House should have clear skies right now. Crawford may be just inside the eye right now. Hopefully Josh can have a few minutes of sunshine to go outside and document.
  15. Yeah looking at it if Josh is still in Crawford he is at least getting the eastern eye now.
  16. Based on Josh’s location, it looks like he maybe just barely got into the eye. Won’t have perfect readings obviously but maybe some hope for the incredible shots.
  17. Looking at google earth there are very few settlements inland along the track this seems most likely to take, which is approximately White House to Falmouth. The terrain rises to about 3000' but a large portion of the interior is an area known as the Cockpits which are limestone depressions and karst topography, there are perhaps a thousand people at most living in the 40-mile wide stretch where core conditions will come and go, then the exit over Falmouth by which time possibly the intensity will be down to cat-3. It's very close to Montego Bay but they will probably have the slightly less violent western eyewall or just outside of that, on the current track. Josh is located hopefully inland as Crawford seems to consist of two parts, one on the inland highway and one being a housing development closer to the ocean. Even at the inland road the elevation is only about 10 meters. It looks to be a wooded area with better construction than some parts of rural Jamaica. The larger town of Black River is a few miles east of Crawford, and Santa Cruz inland may be in the forward eyewall. Those places are facing considerable if not total destruction; this small hurricane intense core situation reminds me of Andrew when it devastated portions of Homestead FL in 1992, as people have been commenting, F5 tornado conditions are being reported in the eyewall. As bad as this is going to be, there were worse possible tracks in terms of total damage potential and consequent human tolls, 25-50 miles west would have been a lot worse, and 50-75 miles east would have brought these peak conditions into the greater Kingston area where I would imagine it's pretty rough but will perhaps peak at cat-2 intensity or less.
  18. The eye is actually still hooking left as it moves into the coast. The dead center could end up just a hair west of Josh.
  19. Eye is about to be directly over Josh. He couldn’t have positioned himself better to get the dead center of this storm
  20. I used to see Josh once a year when he first started for about 3 years. Also remember one video particularly in a school where they located correctly as the opposite end of the building was destroyed. Another pushing a handicapped lady through a flooded hotel lobby I think on a mattress. Tell him Weather 53 says be safe and well
  21. Not going to lie. In all these years I've never been worried about Josh. A few when he has relocated to at the last minute to some spots that weren't previously scouted. This one I'm on edge. Little nervous about the elevation....
  22. Yeah the jog north here right before landfall will get Josh head on in the eye
  23. I hope someone (Josh) can get some photos in that eye. I can’t even imagine what it must be like going from the most violent weather on Earth to sunny calm then back to Armageddon.
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