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  1. This summer certainly has been warm. I've enjoyed every minute of it. I've had dozens of late night walks in the neighborhood with the wife and puppy. However, I am finally starting to look forward to some cooler weather and fall like conditions in the next month. I also want to experience what it would be like to be in a Hurricanes eyewall. One of the big posters here Josh from Icyclone chases Cat 4/5s all over the world and gets in the highest winds of the eyewall. The guy lives the life! That would be a dream job for me.
  2. If it comes ashore looking anything like that, Josh is going to vomit.
  3. Exposure. Exposure. Exposure. Western media and the threat is great in a highly publicized event. The possibility of a stall on the coastline could also make for a long-duration event. Something Josh has not had a lot of dealings with versus short intense landfalls. Also he already explained his reasoning in potential difficulties in chasing and penetrating Mangkhut in the Luzon Strait as well. I think he made a good call.
  4. Looks like Josh Morgerman picked Florence over Mangkhut to chase. Tells you everything you need to know. As an aside, anyone on the coast seeing an increase in surf yet?
  5. models are in great agreement on future track. Wonder with such strong agreement and a 115knt typhoon forecast to affect Kadena if Josh is gonna chase?
  6. Josh Cignarelli a local kid who is on top of his game
  7. For those out of @CT Rain s coverage area, he and Josh Cignarelli did a phenomenal job today live for hrs. They absolutely nailed it
  8. Haha nice work, Josh! I headbanged a little. Good luck on your chases this year. May they be as successful as 2017, though hopefully less witnessing to devestation of densely populated areas. Edit: *2017
  9. Nice! Where in Scotland? Josh wants to head up there to take some pictures of the jackpot zone.
  10. In a VERY crappy pattern, It's possible to sneak a little something in, Just like the map Josh posted!! TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers with a slight chance of freezing rain in the morning. Cooler with highs in the lower 40s. Light and variable winds. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. A chance of snow showers after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .SUNDAY...A chance of snow showers in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of snow 30 percent. Not saying it will happen, but as I said before don't need very cold air JUST marginal cold and good timing!!!
  11. 12z Gfs and Euro went west and stronger. Going to be a good chase for josh. Possible sub 930 landfall.
  12. Debbie raising hell in Australia this location is just SE o where Josh is sustained 110 gusting 132... https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=Proserpine+Hamilton+Isla%2C+Australia This is where Josh actually or as close of a obs point as I can find to his location.... https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=pws:IQUEENSL1168
  13. Josh (and James Reynolds) ended up both intercepting in Tuguegarao it appears.
  14. Haima the official name, Lawin used by Philippines. Just in case there's news, same typhoon. Where did Josh set up?
  15. Josh (iCyclone) is headed to the Philippines to chase Haima. The eastern coastal region of Luzon is nothing but mountains and dense rain forest, though, so not ideal for chasing.
  16. Josh is staying at my house.

  17. The town Josh was last in has reported winds gusting 80-100 mph for at least 4 hrs now.....that's a long time to deal with winds like that.....haven't seen any reports over 105ish though so far at any of the obs sites on the east coast....... this location gusting to 120 mph looks to be in the north eyewall never got the center... http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7e/observe/real/46706.htm
  18. Pretty big eye and looks to be strengthening on the front side as it hits, Josh was in Hualien City not sure if he moved north or not, the last obs had gust to 89 mph there , pressure was 968mb and the worse of it is still a hr or two away....just gusted to 100
  19. Joe Renken and Josh Herman Bearing Sea Blog http://beringsearule.blogspot.com/p/bsr-forecast-maps.html http://www.theplayerstour.net/osnw3/wxclimate/bsr/ http://www.theplayerstour.net/osnw3/wxclimate/trends/1516/index.html
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