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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Yeah, if you look at the strength and location of the high and arctic air nearby and light northeast flow it’s actually a classic situation for a major ice event in dc. Def doesn’t look like an all snow event in dc, but I would certainly not sleep on the sleet/ice potential with this storm given the synoptic setup.
  2. chris21
    An east based nao is not the greatest snow look in dec, but with shorter wavelengths it becomes less of an issue in March. West is still ideal always.
  3. chris21
    Did pretty well with the ice storm. Showed about .3-.4 qpf consistently and handled the shortwave pretty well I thought.
  4. chris21
    Absolutely... heavy zr at 15 would be far more efficient at accretion than heavy zr at 31.
  5. chris21
    Some fz drizzle currently in NW.
  6. chris21
    Actually it was far worse than forecast. At least here in NW DC. 27 degrees and falling.
  7. chris21
    Same situation in Mt. Pleasant. Temp has ticked down once again to 28.
  8. chris21
    Mt. Pleasant is def encased in ice!! 29 with sleet/freezing rain continuing. Huge NAM bust lol.
  9. chris21
    I kept pointing that out but everyone told me it was going to be a “non-event”. Looked like a clear high impact event in dc to me at least.
  10. chris21
    Wow, 28 up here in NW. moderate sleet and freezing rain.
  11. chris21
    Precip looks to be redeveloping on nexrad. Looks like a couple more hours of precip prob. Unless temps rise, conditions will continue to deteriorate as the sun begins to fall.
  12. chris21
    With a light ne flow at the surface and really a classic cold air damming look I’ve been wondering the same thing....
  13. chris21
    I think accrual will gradually catch up if the temp does not budge much. Tonight is supposed to be only around 27-28. I just don’t see how all of this doesn’t freeze given past similar situations.
  14. chris21
    Oh man... the sidewalk in front of my house is straight ice in mt. Pleasant. The temp fell to 27 also... don’t think that bodes too well looking at the radar.
  15. chris21
    Sidewalk has caved in nw... sheet of ice. Temp has ticked down 27/23 with freezing rain and an occasional sleet pellet.
  16. chris21
    Not helping much at all in dc now but our temps are a bit lower... 27/28.
  17. chris21
    Already a bust in dc. I thought the NAM was king! lol, this winter....
  18. chris21
    The 00z UKMET went with the euro progression... mostly snow and sleet for the thursday storm.
  19. chris21
    Sleet/Zr just started in Mt. Pleasant, DC. 30/22. Unfortunately more zr than sleet. Radar actually looks rather robust, euro may have been on to something but we shall see.
  20. chris21
    I’ll try... not great but wayyy better than last year. At least Utah isn’t the closest location to find snow to snowboard on.
  21. chris21
    If nothing else... after somewhat insane run to run changes prior to our last few events... the euro has been remarkably consistent the past four runs with this event depicting between .38 and .44 qpf as freezing rain.
  22. chris21
    Hmm. It’s 29 in NW DC.
  23. chris21
    RGEM looks identical if not a bit wetter than the 00z NAM.
  24. chris21
    Car topper in mt. Pleasant! 30/22.
  25. chris21
    18z euro continues to depict a nasty ice storm with no sleet and .38 inch of freezing rain in dc, essentially the same solution as 12z.
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