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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Nice trailing wave with plenty of arctic air around, reminds me a bit of 1/3
  2. chris21
    Potomac River was frozen from bank to bank this morning at Georgetown.
  3. chris21
    GFS def tripled down there
  4. chris21
    Euro still made a significant shift south. At this point, that's all I'm looking for.
  5. chris21
    CIPS analogs highlighting several historic ice storm analogs including the Jan 99 storm which was particularly damaging.
  6. chris21
    I see surface temps quickly dipping into the mid 20s on the GFS. In that case everything would stick no matter how warm it was prior.
  7. chris21
    12z Ukie is a nice hit for the entire area on Thursday. Canadian appears to be trying to push the boundary south.
  8. chris21
    It’s better than the 06z run so far from what I’m seeing.
  9. chris21
    Quality post
  10. chris21
    Mesos look pretty juiced for the 95 corridor. A general 2-4 across all of them.
  11. chris21
    Still coming down in Davis with blowing snow significantly reducing visibility. Has been snowing for nearly 48 hours straight.
  12. chris21
    Still pouring snow in davis. Blizzard conditions continue with maybe 18-19 inches of snow but really difficult to tell. The drifts are really impressive… at least 4-5 feet, some prob higher.
  13. chris21
    Can confirm! I'm about three miles north of whitegrass and conditions have shockingly worsened (considering it was already a whiteout) over the past few hours. Vis is maybe 50-75 yards. I'll try to attach some pics in bit.
  14. chris21
    Light to moderate snow In Davis at 20 degrees. Sleet mixed in for about an hour earlier this evening but has changed back. The wind has been fierce all night with significant blowing and drifting of snow. 2 foot plus drifts pretty common.
  15. chris21
    Blizzard conditions in Davis with heavy snow. Gusting to at least 35-40. Wind has really picked up recently. Temp around 19. at least 5 inches of new snow but tough to tell with the drifting.
  16. chris21
    Thanks man. We’ll be interesting to see the differences between davis and deep creek. Pretty wide variety of possibilities still at this point.
  17. chris21
    I’m down in Davis, 23 and light snow. Ridges have decent ice build. Light freezing rain at 24 degrees made the drive in on 48 pretty dicey.
  18. chris21
    Low position is significantly further north at 105.
  19. chris21
    While very true, this pattern has already dropped ten inches of snow on dc one week into January.
  20. chris21
    Nov/Dec 95 were relatively cold as well.
  21. chris21
    again, I’m not sure you’re looking at the latest 12z GFS run. I see far more than an inch accumulated in the next 384 hours and no fewer than three distinct threats with cold air entrenched essentially throughout the run.
  22. chris21
    Are we looking at the same weather model? The 12z GFS is a dream in the extended. All of that snow predicted on the first two frames fell yesterday.
  23. chris21
    Awesome! Enjoy, check out hellbenders and stumptown while you are there. @jonjon
  24. chris21
    As someone who used to live out there and goes several times a year… if you have four wheel drive and you’re experienced in driving in the snow you’ll be fine (the visibility will be zero without a doubt once you climb Mt. Storm and summit the Allegheny plateau). If not you will have serious issues because the snow will be very deep on corridor H.
  25. chris21
    The HRRR is seriously chasing convection (could be dead on). But it’s low track compared to the gfs is starkly different for -6 hours until snow starts falling.
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