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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Excellent post.... also... if you lived near the dc metro and esp south and southeast, prob shouldn’t have had your hopes up for a huge event...
  2. chris21
    Feb 87... was one
  3. chris21
    There are tons of weenies in Europe. They are all over Twitter!
  4. chris21
    Damn, I have more than twice that in NW...
  5. chris21
    All snow in NW DC. Starting to accumulate quickly. Temp down to 33 and falling.
  6. chris21
    I don’t think all of the models were slightly southeast of bulls eyeing the I-95 corridor from 36-40 hours out but maybe I wasn’t paying attention that close.
  7. chris21
    Sweet meteorological reasoning there
  8. chris21
    I really don’t mind that look sitting in dc 36 hours out... I would imagine given the lack of suppressing flow there could be a tick or two north and west prior to Sunday.
  9. chris21
    Def wasn't saying that either. Just relating my experience with that one product. Think you already mentioned it but looking at the different parameters, etc... prob the best way to go.
  10. chris21
    The snow depth map could be right, but in general I have found that product to be pretty atrocious with verification.
  11. chris21
    Where are you located in DC? I got down to 36.7 last night in NW, you didn’t get below 40. Luckily, it’s early Feb so we are in prime climo for these types of events. I would be far more worried about what you are referring to of this event was in March. Most of the models indicate heavy precipitation with cold air aloft creating an ideal situation for dynamic cooling. Most models show temps of 31-33 during the heavy snow.
  12. chris21
    Still have full coverage in my yard in nw. Hard to keep snowcover downtown.
  13. chris21
    It’s aging about as well as this 1990 CSN album cover. Additionally in the afternoon update, the forecast indicates a 20 percent chance of snow. In the AFD, they also day all terminals can expect ifr conditions in wintry weather sat night and Sunday. Which one is it?
  14. chris21
    I remember the 2-3 event well. 4 inches or so in Bethesda with maybe 3 in upper NW. came down heavily for a while but wasn’t that cold.
  15. chris21
    87 has been showing up in the 6-10, 8-14 day analog list.
  16. chris21
    Hopefully it comes down hot and heavy. Even the positive snow depth change map shows 5 in DC, but temps aren’t great and we know how that can go.
  17. chris21
    I know this has been hashed and rehashed but the long term avg at DCA is not really representative of even downtown though. NW DC is prob closer to 20. For instance, in this past storm I measured 5.5 inches while DCA measured 3.2. In 2016, there was a uniform 23-26 inches in NW, while DCA recorded 16.
  18. chris21
    HRRR has been particularly atrocious with this storm in the dc area.
  19. chris21
    I haven’t checked the board since the 18z runs went north on Saturday. But to be honest, in NW DC, this has been a legit storm (that also shattered the myth that freezing rain can’t accumulate on dc roads).Just measured about 2 inches new since late last night, 4.5-5 total so far. This is why we track!
  20. chris21
    Lol, he just did!
  21. chris21
    Sounds like a good plan all around!
  22. chris21
    Not sure that’s what’s being modeled other than on the gfs and even on the gfs, the thermals are getting colder as we approach the event.
  23. chris21
    CcB looks good into the cities on the 06z euro.
  24. chris21
    I remember that one really well. Those were the Wright weather days. I was a senior in high school and stayed out drinking... long story short two hour delay. If I remember it was trending worse and worse and was supposed to be a 3-6 inch deal.
  25. chris21
    We are still looking at our first meaningful snowfall in two years in a La Niña. I’ll take it...
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