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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Actually it was far worse than forecast. At least here in NW DC. 27 degrees and falling.
  2. chris21
    Same situation in Mt. Pleasant. Temp has ticked down once again to 28.
  3. chris21
    Mt. Pleasant is def encased in ice!! 29 with sleet/freezing rain continuing. Huge NAM bust lol.
  4. chris21
    I kept pointing that out but everyone told me it was going to be a “non-event”. Looked like a clear high impact event in dc to me at least.
  5. chris21
    Wow, 28 up here in NW. moderate sleet and freezing rain.
  6. chris21
    Precip looks to be redeveloping on nexrad. Looks like a couple more hours of precip prob. Unless temps rise, conditions will continue to deteriorate as the sun begins to fall.
  7. chris21
    With a light ne flow at the surface and really a classic cold air damming look I’ve been wondering the same thing....
  8. chris21
    I think accrual will gradually catch up if the temp does not budge much. Tonight is supposed to be only around 27-28. I just don’t see how all of this doesn’t freeze given past similar situations.
  9. chris21
    Oh man... the sidewalk in front of my house is straight ice in mt. Pleasant. The temp fell to 27 also... don’t think that bodes too well looking at the radar.
  10. chris21
    Sidewalk has caved in nw... sheet of ice. Temp has ticked down 27/23 with freezing rain and an occasional sleet pellet.
  11. chris21
    Not helping much at all in dc now but our temps are a bit lower... 27/28.
  12. chris21
    Already a bust in dc. I thought the NAM was king! lol, this winter....
  13. chris21
    The 00z UKMET went with the euro progression... mostly snow and sleet for the thursday storm.
  14. chris21
    Sleet/Zr just started in Mt. Pleasant, DC. 30/22. Unfortunately more zr than sleet. Radar actually looks rather robust, euro may have been on to something but we shall see.
  15. chris21
    I’ll try... not great but wayyy better than last year. At least Utah isn’t the closest location to find snow to snowboard on.
  16. chris21
    If nothing else... after somewhat insane run to run changes prior to our last few events... the euro has been remarkably consistent the past four runs with this event depicting between .38 and .44 qpf as freezing rain.
  17. chris21
    Hmm. It’s 29 in NW DC.
  18. chris21
    RGEM looks identical if not a bit wetter than the 00z NAM.
  19. chris21
    Car topper in mt. Pleasant! 30/22.
  20. chris21
    18z euro continues to depict a nasty ice storm with no sleet and .38 inch of freezing rain in dc, essentially the same solution as 12z.
  21. chris21
    Kind of all over the place... the para is a fair amount wetter at 18z. Gfs is a little drier but includes more sleet now. RGEM is a nasty ice storm with over .3, icon is .4 and euro is .4. 3k was a lot wetter at 18z than 12z and the NAM was pretty much the same.
  22. chris21
    That 99’ storm was really brutal in Bethesda. Power out for a week and extensive tree damage even though the temp warmed up to 50 the next day. Not sure anyone has been forecasting that (3/4 inch of ice)... but an RGEM/euro combo would be a warning level Ice storm in the district with temps in the 20s.
  23. chris21
    It gets about .2 qpf up to dc.
  24. chris21
    I think even .03 of freezing rain in these temps in dc would be more impactful than any event we’ve had. I could be wrong... just my experience with ice events with cold temps.
  25. chris21
    I think this will actually be the most impactful event in dc so far this winter. Not saying much...
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