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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. The analysis has been tragically bad so far at 12z. Hopefully this get cleared up with there is a separate thread.
  2. In my thirty five years in the DC/mid Atlantic area, I’d honestly say there’s an argument that’s weenie rule #1. Happens 90 percent of the time.
  3. He’s said he’s staying with his bro in Manassas. If he wanted to come party why are we pooping on it.
  4. Most showed it starting as rain and changing to snow after an hour or two. Pretty rough analysis in here so far.
  5. Still pretty meh, but honestly a fair amount better than two weeks ago. If there is a month where that type of cold will work it’s February. Hate to be that guy... it will snow again...
  6. Only 36 for a high so far in NW DC.
  7. I’d also think that traditionally, with a low as strong as the GFS is depicting moving across southern Virginia it would create a larger shield of snow on the north side.
  8. We had a terrible one in Jan 99’. At least 1/2 inch of ice.
  9. We have def had ice storms in NW over the past 15 years. It was more than 15 years ago, but there was a huge one in 99’.
  10. Not sure we can make any definitive statements on this one yet... the models have been struggling mightily in this pattern. It’s been really tough to even search for trends... every time it seems there is one, the models shift the next suite. I’d keep an open mind...
  11. The 3k nam is showing snow shower/squall potential tomorrow across the region tomorrow.
  12. Wow that’s a pretty bold call 6-7 days out. You could be right, but I’m going to withhold my judgement for a few more days.
  13. There were several severe ice storms (even in dc proper) around the dates on the 6-10/8-14 day analog chart.
  14. 2m temps are below freezing the entire storm in the metro area. Not even close really.
  15. I was worried about potential late month cold killing off the newly ubiquitous speckled trout stocks in the lower bay estuaries. Not that worried at this point, next month maybe...
  16. It was somehow even further north than that at 00z.
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