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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Still have full coverage in my yard in nw. Hard to keep snowcover downtown.
  2. chris21
    It’s aging about as well as this 1990 CSN album cover. Additionally in the afternoon update, the forecast indicates a 20 percent chance of snow. In the AFD, they also day all terminals can expect ifr conditions in wintry weather sat night and Sunday. Which one is it?
  3. chris21
    I remember the 2-3 event well. 4 inches or so in Bethesda with maybe 3 in upper NW. came down heavily for a while but wasn’t that cold.
  4. chris21
    87 has been showing up in the 6-10, 8-14 day analog list.
  5. chris21
    Hopefully it comes down hot and heavy. Even the positive snow depth change map shows 5 in DC, but temps aren’t great and we know how that can go.
  6. chris21
    I know this has been hashed and rehashed but the long term avg at DCA is not really representative of even downtown though. NW DC is prob closer to 20. For instance, in this past storm I measured 5.5 inches while DCA measured 3.2. In 2016, there was a uniform 23-26 inches in NW, while DCA recorded 16.
  7. chris21
    HRRR has been particularly atrocious with this storm in the dc area.
  8. chris21
    I haven’t checked the board since the 18z runs went north on Saturday. But to be honest, in NW DC, this has been a legit storm (that also shattered the myth that freezing rain can’t accumulate on dc roads).Just measured about 2 inches new since late last night, 4.5-5 total so far. This is why we track!
  9. chris21
    Lol, he just did!
  10. chris21
    Sounds like a good plan all around!
  11. chris21
    Not sure that’s what’s being modeled other than on the gfs and even on the gfs, the thermals are getting colder as we approach the event.
  12. chris21
    CcB looks good into the cities on the 06z euro.
  13. chris21
    I remember that one really well. Those were the Wright weather days. I was a senior in high school and stayed out drinking... long story short two hour delay. If I remember it was trending worse and worse and was supposed to be a 3-6 inch deal.
  14. chris21
    Huge run incoming
  15. chris21
    It is
  16. chris21
    The analysis has been tragically bad so far at 12z. Hopefully this get cleared up with there is a separate thread.
  17. chris21
    In my thirty five years in the DC/mid Atlantic area, I’d honestly say there’s an argument that’s weenie rule #1. Happens 90 percent of the time.
  18. chris21
    We’re still a bit far off for chasing talk.
  19. chris21
    He’s said he’s staying with his bro in Manassas. If he wanted to come party why are we pooping on it.
  20. chris21
    They’ve always got some point to prove
  21. chris21
    Still pretty meh, but honestly a fair amount better than two weeks ago. If there is a month where that type of cold will work it’s February. Hate to be that guy... it will snow again...
  22. chris21
    Only 36 for a high so far in NW DC.
  23. chris21
    I’d also think that traditionally, with a low as strong as the GFS is depicting moving across southern Virginia it would create a larger shield of snow on the north side.
  24. chris21
    Not sure we can make any definitive statements on this one yet... the models have been struggling mightily in this pattern. It’s been really tough to even search for trends... every time it seems there is one, the models shift the next suite. I’d keep an open mind...
  25. chris21
    It’s snow, just not that much...
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