chris21

There are a lot of people jumping to conclusions re: H5 looks that I don’t think are necessarily correct. If you read the extensive research PSU has some on the subject, you will find that more often than not... the pattern does not need to be perfect to get snow. In fact, most of our decent snow events do not have all of the following (+pna, -EPO, -NAO, -AO). The H5 looks being thrown out the GFS and the Euro in the extended are very workable, and with a few minor adjustments could really lead to a special period. I’d highly recommend everyone read PSUs research on the subject.

The ensemble mean is quite high though.

Early March 2014 adjusted south at the last minute right?

Does anyone remember WXMachine? And if so... how weird was that?

Sleet/rain in NW DC. Temp fell from 34 to 32 in the past hour.

I’ll stay up for wind blown .7 any day

We just crawled to 33.1 in NW DC. CAD almost always overperforms away from the river.

PSU has the best location for snow in MD west of the Allegheny Front. He gets at least 1.5 times as much as Cumberland.

Better than the 32.1 I have in DC with rain.

Couldn’t be happier to have pulled the trigger on reservations to Canaan the 25-28th. Looked like it might be a torch when I made them.

31/29. Freezing rain and sleet continue in NW.

All pingers here in NW DC but temp remains steady around 30.0.

It’s 30/27. Don’t think there is any plain rain quite yet.

Pouring snow in NW DC, heavily salted road completely caved. Temp has fallen another degree... 30/25.

Now it’s really coming a couple miles north of you. Pavement starting to cave. 31/25

One of those situations where the ridges directly to the eats of Cheat Mountain (i.e. North Fork) will prob do better.

31/24. -SN with a heavy dusting in Mt. Pleasant, DC. Temp has dropped a degree since the precip started.

31/18 in NW DC

I’m at 36/18 in Mt. Pleasant. I have about 200 feet of elevation and am right next to rock creek park which may explain the difference?

Been thinking maybe 1-3 and then slop for a couple days now. Still thinking that way (at least for me in NW).

Not a bad trend...

Don’t you owe Richard Lewis some royalties?

Exactly what I was thinking. I’m about a block from the park...

Dropped to 30 briefly here in mt pleasant

Yeah, the NAM unfortunately shows more mixing out toward I-81, but it seems to be depicting more sleet than rain in DC with the temp not getting much above 32-33.