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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    The snow depth map could be right, but in general I have found that product to be pretty atrocious with verification.
  2. chris21
    Where are you located in DC? I got down to 36.7 last night in NW, you didn’t get below 40. Luckily, it’s early Feb so we are in prime climo for these types of events. I would be far more worried about what you are referring to of this event was in March. Most of the models indicate heavy precipitation with cold air aloft creating an ideal situation for dynamic cooling. Most models show temps of 31-33 during the heavy snow.
  3. chris21
    Still have full coverage in my yard in nw. Hard to keep snowcover downtown.
  4. chris21
    It’s aging about as well as this 1990 CSN album cover. Additionally in the afternoon update, the forecast indicates a 20 percent chance of snow. In the AFD, they also day all terminals can expect ifr conditions in wintry weather sat night and Sunday. Which one is it?
  5. chris21
    I remember the 2-3 event well. 4 inches or so in Bethesda with maybe 3 in upper NW. came down heavily for a while but wasn’t that cold.
  6. chris21
    87 has been showing up in the 6-10, 8-14 day analog list.
  7. chris21
    Hopefully it comes down hot and heavy. Even the positive snow depth change map shows 5 in DC, but temps aren’t great and we know how that can go.
  8. chris21
    I know this has been hashed and rehashed but the long term avg at DCA is not really representative of even downtown though. NW DC is prob closer to 20. For instance, in this past storm I measured 5.5 inches while DCA measured 3.2. In 2016, there was a uniform 23-26 inches in NW, while DCA recorded 16.
  9. chris21
    HRRR has been particularly atrocious with this storm in the dc area.
  10. chris21
    I haven’t checked the board since the 18z runs went north on Saturday. But to be honest, in NW DC, this has been a legit storm (that also shattered the myth that freezing rain can’t accumulate on dc roads).Just measured about 2 inches new since late last night, 4.5-5 total so far. This is why we track!
  11. chris21
    Lol, he just did!
  12. chris21
    Sounds like a good plan all around!
  13. chris21
    Not sure that’s what’s being modeled other than on the gfs and even on the gfs, the thermals are getting colder as we approach the event.
  14. chris21
    CcB looks good into the cities on the 06z euro.
  15. chris21
    I remember that one really well. Those were the Wright weather days. I was a senior in high school and stayed out drinking... long story short two hour delay. If I remember it was trending worse and worse and was supposed to be a 3-6 inch deal.
  16. chris21
    We are still looking at our first meaningful snowfall in two years in a La Niña. I’ll take it...
  17. chris21
    The higher elevations in Highland County warm up quickly with WAA, often resulting in elevation based ice storms in these setups. I use to live a few miles west of there in Marlinton, WV.
  18. chris21
    That’s awesome, cause from the way I’m looking at it, the 6z euro shows a general 4-6 from a bit south of I-70 on south.
  19. chris21
    It was just a lot warmer ahead of that one and it was early December so all the early dec all caveats applied. I would have taken that storm with a colder thermal profile.
  20. chris21
    CMC looks great.
  21. chris21
    Yeah lol, let the run play out. Clearly a far better run for us. If you don’t think so or claimed that it wasn’t you prob shouldn’t be posting analysis unfortunately.
  22. chris21
    12z GFS is clearly trending to the Euro/CMC idea. The coastal low is more fav than 6z.
  23. chris21
    That has little practical effect on snowstorms other than possibly maintaining a cooler temp leading up to the event.
  24. chris21
    Just a bit slower I believe but I could be looking at it wrong.
  25. chris21
    The WAA is still ongoing at this point.
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