Absolutely! At my location, I’ve measured a bit over thirty inches (over 70 percent upslope) so far. Would be shocked to get blanked on upslope over the next few months with the likely MJO pass and seasonal trends.
We are getting hammered here in Roaring Creek. Didn’t expect this. For the last few hours there has been very little wind, the flakes are huge and visibility is very low. We have about four inches so far.
For the last hour we’ve had blizzard conditions at time in Roaring Creek. A little more than inch so far with plenty of drifting. The temp is falling rapidly and is currently 23.
27 and moderate snow in Upper Roaring Creek. Flurries on and off all day before it finally came over the mountain. About a half inch so far and some blowing snow.
Arrived back at Roaring Creek at 530 last night to 4-5 inches of snow. Tons of drifting (and compacting) so very difficult to measure. Another .75 -1 inch last night with occasional blizzard conditions and very low viz. Hanging at 33 with a brisk NW wind and occasional flurries.
8-1-2 start becoming colder the later into November we get. As for flurries, I was just referring to my location which averages 40 plus inches of snow a year over the past twenty years.
I bet the Nov 5th-15th period will trend colder on guidance for the northeast. Wouldn’t even be shocked to see some flurries at some point at my location at 3800 feet on the NC/Tenn border. We had about a half inch Oct 15th (3 or 4 inches 700 feet up the mountain). Been unbelievably warm since.
The 18z GFS is absolutely bonkers and involves the biggest North American ridge I can remember in November. Extremely unlikely to pan out that way given climo.
Yeah, it coated everything here and and everything is white but if it had been two weeks later, we probably would have had 2-3 inches. Had .2 qpf but think it might have been a little more, have to set my weather station up in a better place.