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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. Snowing now but where is all the heavy precipitation.
  2. Mostly just sleet with a few flakes mixing in now and then. Untreated sidewalks and streets are definitely slick in spots. I think it is cold enough to snow for now but there is just no heavy precipitation for any more than a few minutes at a time.
  3. GFS looks warm. Low tracks over southern bay onto Eastern Shore. Not sure the metros will see anything at all out of this. Good luck to those far Northwest folks who still have a chance. Hope you guys get a nice storm. See you in the long range thread!
  4. Just being outside this morning, it's hard to believe this is going to be mostly rain. Sad times.
  5. If the pattern starting in like 10 days is actually real, this is definitely my concern as well.
  6. After the past 7 years, a couple inches and cold weather in a Nino in late January is probably going to lower morale even more than it already is
  7. Unfortunately, when we were already with little wiggle room a few days ago and given the temperature profile leading in, this going northwest was always the most likely result. Given what we have seen with the lack of cold the past however many years, it only reinforced that. Good luck to all of the climo favored folks! Hope you get a nice thump and have a fun afternoon.
  8. LOL, uhhhhh no. The book about storms that should work but no longer do for reasons we cannot talk about.
  9. Uh oh, could this one be going in the book?
  10. I read that at first as "fail line again." That shows you where I'm at these days lol. In all seriousness, I am really, really hopeful for this period from mid January into February.
  11. Ha, I saw that post and decided I would check my elevation since I only moved here a few years ago. Elevation map claims I am at 457 feet, which I find hard to believe. Anyway, I think this is the first storm where I could really potentially see how much my location helps vs. being along 95. I'm right off of Route 40 a few miles before it dead ends into I-70.
  12. Wasn't a bad run by any means. Certainly keeps me interested. Could have been better, could have been worse.
  13. GFS is really fast. It's a thump and gone. Someone mentioned the Ravens/Vikings game snowstorm, if you can call it that. Reminds me a bit of that.
  14. I didn't mean it will literally be zero but my point was that it won't be anywhere near that, especially if the timing of afternoon into evening is accurate as opposed to more evening and overnight. I am well aware we can overcome warm temps if it snows hard enough, but I am not sure a half inch per hour is thumpy enough given all of the other mitigating factors for the metro area.
  15. Is this really that encouraging for most, though? 3-4 inches on these 10:1 maps is likely to have almost zero snow depth given temps. We need this to be real thumpy.
  16. The 6z runs would not have been so bad had it not been for what happened at 0z that got everyone encouraged again. What a rug pull. Was the 0z a blip or 6z?
  17. Rough start this morning after last night's great runs. GFS is much faster and weaker. Also looks a tad warmer as well.
  18. Business is picking up in here, I see. I wish we could just skip ahead to January 20 and let it play out.
  19. Woof, that's basically a non-event for the majority of the forum outside of PSU land and west. Still time but this is kinda trending where most of us thought it probably would.
  20. It's whatever. Looks like two cutters set the table and then it is game on for the second half of the month.
  21. Icon is definitely a bit worse for some, for the little it matters.
  22. Looks like GFS really cut back on precip after the overnight monster run. Might have to do with the shift to a slightly colder/less amped solution. Interesting to see how the storm has sped up so much in time. I feel like most of the time, our storms usually move back a bit in time, not up.
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