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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. osfan24
    GFS time
  2. osfan24
    36. Inching my way there.
  3. osfan24
    So RAP and HRRR bust way too high last storm and now they are gonna nail this one with very little. Go figure.
  4. osfan24
    Well that’s not great. This is wild how significantly these totals are being cut. Some areas nearly chopped in half from previous run.
  5. osfan24
    Time for the NAM to put everyone at ease.
  6. osfan24
    Downto 38 here. Excited for my thump tonight.
  7. osfan24
    JB hyping up March after the warmth goes away lol
  8. osfan24
    Yeah, weird the drastic differences in qpf
  9. osfan24
    Yeah, that's kinda odd. It's a bigger difference toward DC but Baltimore and north the map is almost the same. And it looks like they were issued at the same time.
  10. osfan24
    Wow, they are all in. Love that I'm sitting in the 5-8. Might be my biggest storm of the season.
  11. osfan24
    Just get that thing a little farther south and east and a tiny bit more cold air and maybe we try for a HECS.
  12. osfan24
    There's the bowling ball!
  13. osfan24
    Where is the cold air? Also, is that one or the one after we are tracking?
  14. osfan24
    A few mets on here suggested something from 12:1 to 15:1.
  15. osfan24
    3k looks really good. Both NAMs look good with precip. What's the deal with Kuchera? 12:1-15:1 rates are what I thought we were expecting? I would expect the clown maps to be throwing out 6-8+, not actually giving us less than 10:1 rates.
  16. osfan24
    HRRR was awful for the last storm and is also very jumpy this far from the event. I wouldn't really get worried about anything it is showing until this evening, and even then, I wouldn't give it much weight unless other guidance came in line with it.
  17. osfan24
    Still a little nervous I'm gonna get clawed in my spot on this one. It's not all models, but some really seem to show the DC/south of DC jack and then the Southern PA jack.
  18. osfan24
    It still won’t be good because it’s a Nino, but if we cash in tomorrow and then find a way to get in one more 2-4/3-6ish type event, a good portion of the area will reach climo or be very close to climo.
  19. osfan24
    This thread is in worse shape than the Orioles.
  20. osfan24
    Euro looks good. I want that band north of PSU that wants to make a run at 6 inches.
  21. osfan24
    Seems like Kuchera not buying the high ratio stuff. Certainly not buying crazy JB.
  22. osfan24
    I don't like seeing how north it is getting. Like some have said, there are two max bands, one with heaviest qpf and bad temps and one with great temps and solid qpf. The colder of those two bands seems to be drifting up into southern PA on some of the models.
  23. osfan24
    NAM is rolling. Would like to see that start to juice up a bit.
  24. osfan24
    Sure, maybe that one works out as well, but it doesn't appear it would be a significant storm. Probably just more of the same. Depending upon how well we do with this one Friday night/Saturday, maybe that one hits as well as pushes us to near climo for the year.
  25. osfan24
    Barring some kind of fluke March miracle, it seems like this could be it. Swing and a miss on a big storm again.
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