Jump to content

osfan24

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,814

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by osfan24

  1. osfan24
    I thought someone said they did away with Blizzard Warnings during the pandemic.
  2. osfan24
    We were in Myrtle Beach area that week and it was delightful. Usually, it is blazing hot but the northeast winds off the ocean made it so pleasant and it was like that the entire week. Been going down there 20 plus years now and never had a week like that.
  3. osfan24
    Hmmm, I don’t remember it like that and I lived right on 95. I remember it being freezing cold and constant overperforming storms and nonstop tracking. The big storm in February was the only disappointing part because areas NW got almost two feet of snow while I got maybe a foot that compacted and melted to like four inches by the end of the storm.
  4. osfan24
    Have they been all that accurate with precip to date, though? I feel like they called for a very wet January and we got the one big precip storm and that was it.
  5. osfan24
    January 25, 2000! Sike. Just NAM being the NAM and still hundreds of miles from us.
  6. osfan24
    It’s relaxing this weekend and we swung and missed.
  7. osfan24
    Fixed it for you.
  8. osfan24
    Never get the hype with overrunning events. In theory, seems great but it almost always comes down to us somehow trying to thread this impossible needle between an amped up system that bring temp issues and a colder storm that has no juice.
  9. osfan24
    I just dont see it. It’s not gaining any latitude and then pushing east.
  10. osfan24
    Kinda weird the NAM looks so bad and the SREFs are so aggressive. Usually the NAM is very similar.
  11. osfan24
    I don’t. By the time it reaches near us, it’s got that classic tightly wound precip field we see clobber the coastal areas in Nina’s.
  12. osfan24
    Gonna need another massive leap at 0z. We just have no time left and need massive changes. It’s just a tease. Enough to smoke Boston and maybe NYC and the coast.
  13. osfan24
    It honestly shouldn’t even be posted here anymore if it busts again. Complete garbage. We have way too many models. Just focus on Euro, CMC and the AI models and then use the NAM for iffy thermal situations.
  14. osfan24
    There is a chance for this to be an epic winter but we are going to have to start picking it up in the snow department to get there. Most are probably around or slightly ahead of climo to date. Throw in the serious cold for nearly the entire winter and this could really rival our best winters over several decades IF we can get clobbered once or twice.
  15. osfan24
    If it shifts like that through Valentines Day we might have something.
  16. osfan24
    Hopefully that map lifts as far north this time as it did last storm. it’s frustrating seeing the ensembles and seeing the lows seem mostly clustered west of the mean but it doesn’t seem to be making a difference yet.
  17. osfan24
    I still say this is exactly what I picture for a Niña.
  18. osfan24
    That’s what I would think.
  19. osfan24
    Bernie Rayno thinks the problem is the kicker flying in to push it east and not allowing it up the coast.
  20. osfan24
    That looks like five or so members way south or east really skewing things.
  21. osfan24
    Im just trying to remember a time something like this broke our way.
  22. osfan24
    If that’s true, it better start making a move because we are four days out now.
  23. osfan24
    But did the AI models? They might have adjusted slightly but I remember them, especially Euro AI, hardly budging.
  24. osfan24
    GFS about to say hold my beer.
  25. osfan24
    Right. I put as much stock in the GFS as I do the NAM, maybe even less, these days. Part of me wonders if it’s just chasing the Euro’s tail and is just a full 24 hours or so behind it. I guess we will find out in 90 minutes or so. FWIW, that Google AI product at 6z was a coastal scraper.
×
×
  • Create New...