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Everything posted by osfan24
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When the big cities around you, and even just 50 miles north or east of you are getting a historic snow, why would you ever care about 6 inches? These opportunities are so rare. Have to find a way to cash in. I’d rather risk getting nothing if it gave me a better chance of a huge hit.
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Close, but the goods are still east or north of us. Running out of time.
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One can hope. A GFS result with two feet over the bay and way less west would be devastating. Also not sure if that’s ever happened.
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Yeah, dont get the pretty maps comment over and over. If you are getting deformed, temps will matter very little.
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Just need a 100 mile shift west.
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At some point, all these improvements need to start showing up at the surface or the HECS is east of the bay.
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That’s all before the real show even starts lol.
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It’s so close to a HECS and also so close to a Niña whiff where NJ and NYC crush it.
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Agreed. Maybe someone else has an example. I could see it going full Niña with a tight, very high accumulation right along the beaches and virtually nothing back west of the bay. Seen that plenty of times. Cannot recall getting significant accumulation while Eastern Shore gets a HECS.
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Need almost the same over the next 24 hours to reel in the coastal. I think GFS and Euro are trending to each other more than anything. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I mentioned this earlier but no one wanted to hear it. Looking more Niña like. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah maybe more like a hold. I’m looking at where the big totals are, not whether we went up or down a couple of inches. Seems that area shifted northeast from 6z. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
NAM a step back for our area. Maybe a step toward non-GFS guidance? -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s NAM time. Let’s see if it can push west a little more from 6z. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Those are so hard for us to get down here and so hard to pin down ahead of time that I might think the fake GFS solution is more likely. It’s also not a lot of snow in marginal temps so meh. Big dog hunting all the time and especially in late February after a decade of nothing. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s less than one percent. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
When the GFS is totally wrong 3 days out, can we all finally agree to never bother posting it again? It’s an Icon level model, which we shouldn’t bother posting either. -
Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
osfan24 replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
Kinda weird since he would just regurgitate anything the Euro spits out. -
Lots of gusts reported in the high 50 s today.
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Surprised my street hasn’t caved. It’s been snowing steadily for 15 minutes or so. Not going to end up with the half inch to inch or so most models showed, but it’s definitely going to be a nice dusting.
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Nice little snow at the moment but so annoying freaking Virginia keeps being a snow town.
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Looks like it is falling apart.
