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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. osfan24
    The NAM is definitely known to be overly optimistic on qpf but was the qpf on this run that out of line on what we saw from some other model runs earlier? There might be a larger area of the heavier qpf on the NAM but other models showed areas with 1.25 to 1.5ish inches of liquid.
  2. osfan24
    Had a few flurries. Interesting to see that blowup out near Winchester. That looks significantly south of where the squalls/heaviest snow was supposed to set up today. Looks like it will probably be mostly a miss farther north unless more stuff suddenly blossoms. I wonder what impact, if any, this may have for Monday.
  3. osfan24
    I get the extra caution. I just don't understand the timing whatsoever. WWA was hoisted yesterday afternoon. They should have just let everyone know yesterday evening. So dumb.
  4. osfan24
    I like where the Euro is if it stops shifting south now. I want the max around Nova/DC leading up to the storm.
  5. osfan24
    Why does the primary hold on so long and doesn't transfer to a coastal and really crank like some of our bigger storms?
  6. osfan24
    Aren't temperatures going to be quite warm when the squalls go through? I mean, maybe some of the favored northern areas are stuck in the mid 30's and it will snow hard enough to overcome the temp and stick to the roads, but my temp is forecasted to be in the upper 30's tomorrow afternoon. It would have to snow ridiculously hard for awhile to have any chance of sticking in those temps.
  7. osfan24
    Euro OP seems like a major outlier with its ensembles.
  8. osfan24
    That’s weird that you mixed in 2016 and I didn’t considering I was east of you then. 2014 was a weird storm that I don’t consider in the same tier. I dryslotted for hours and it melted like crazy, then I got sleet before a brief change back to snow. But metro areas had hardly any snow on the ground by the end of the day while areas like PSU had a legit HECS and got around 2 feet.
  9. osfan24
    Do they? 96 and 2003 did, but 2000, 2009, both 2010’s and 2016 didn’t. At least not where I lived.
  10. osfan24
    Looks basically like climo to me, so I'd toss, but those maps rarely pan out anyway. Just get me to 2025 and then we can start looking at actual threats.
  11. osfan24
    No biggies this run but lots of activity. Probably gonna get real busy in here come this time next week.
  12. osfan24
    Arguably heaviest rates of the day under what looks like really light returns. I'll take it!
  13. osfan24
    Weird. Still snowing here. But on its last legs.
  14. osfan24
    Grass trying to cave now. Still a steady light snow, but radar looks like it is pulling away.
  15. osfan24
    Steady light snow. Mulch and elevated surfaces trying to cave.
  16. osfan24
    After a mix and then a flip to drizzle/light rain, now seeing the heaviest snow rates of the day (which is still a very light snow but).
  17. osfan24
    Still just flurries or perhaps the lightest snow here, and not really sticking to anything. Also mixing with some sleet now, which makes me wonder if those yellow returns to the south are just all sleet.
  18. osfan24
    Stuff is starting to blow up due south of me. Might just miss me but I'm seeing yellows blossom.
  19. osfan24
    Flakes!
  20. osfan24
    It’s almost as if the can keeps getting kicked.
  21. osfan24
    Is that good? Looks like cold and dry before possibly flipping warm?
  22. osfan24
    Swing and a miss on the changeover to snow. Least surprising thing ever. Cold chasing precip almost never works out.
  23. osfan24
    Jaws worthy look at the end of the GFS just in time for Christmas.
  24. osfan24
    Had some flurry action earlier. Good squalls were very isolated and missed our area.
  25. osfan24
    I probably had whatever you had but between 10ish and 1030ish or so.
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