osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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Unless there is another -AO/-NAO upcoming, I don’t see much to get excited about. Either way, after this latest massive fail, the de amplification trend all winter plus the Route 50 South train tracks make it hard to get interested.
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It’s naturally bound to happen in a forum that covers so much geographically, but where the large majority of those in the forum live in a relatively small area. Also, the region covers everything from the mountains to the coast, so it’s almost impossible that the entire region ever experiences the same results from a snowstorm.
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The lack of self awareness is really something to behold.
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It does.
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I’m not even sure how much I want the snow now. I just hope you have to build an ark for your flood down there.
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Euro still keeps the HECS scenario in play. Has there ever been a storm with this kind of result, though? A storm that destroyed that specific area? Not one that comes to mind. Usually it’s either a southern slider, a region-wide hit or it’s one of those coastal scrapers in Nina’s that hit the beaches, NYC and NE.
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My kids were born in 2015 and after. They’ve never seen a big storm. The ingredients are there. 12 is fine, but it’s not a big storm like 1996, 2000, 2003, 2009. 2010, 2016. I want to them to get to see a big one.
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Snow predictions at the start of the season are irrelevant at this point. The ingredients are there for a rare HECS after 9 years of mostly trash winters. Gotta convert. It’s like getting to Super Bowl and getting blown out and being happy you made it there.
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The good runs?
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Meh. Not a great trend on the Euro the past two runs.
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Uh oh
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The good news is in another run or two, we will no longer have to worry about extrapolating the Euro at 6z and 18z.
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LOL that’s noise. There’s almost 30 inches just east of the metros.
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LOCK IT UP! Why can't it be Wednesday already?
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SECS=6-12 MECS=12-18 HECS=18-30 BECS=30+
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I think we should just do February 2010 over again.
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Yeah, that looks a lot more like what the GFS looked like at 12z.
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I always love your optimism.
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I think you beat me by about an inch. I'm sure there was some compaction at play but I ended up right around 3.5.
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I think we will get to 4. Not sure about 5 or 6.
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That’s awesome! Congrats! You guys are getting the goods down there! Enjoy!
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I think it’s just going to miss us southeast unfortunately, although I think you are in a better spot than me for this one and will make out better. My move out here has not paid off so far lol. Maybe next week! I’m guessing I can make a run at 4 if it can generally snow like this through midnight.
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Significant icing Wednesday? I thought that had gone away? And I didn't think it was ever something we would call significant.
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I don't understand all of the bust talk. The Euro/GFS/NAM all look solid for DC and ok for the 70 and south crew. Could it bust and the HRRR be right? Sure, but that would be a huge model bust among basically all the best models. Even CMC didn't look that bad IIRC.
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Lock up that NAM run @WxUSAF. I'd be thrilled with 6 inches. My fear is we get half that.
