osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS
osfan24 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
A few flakes mixing in. Nervous to get going. This isn’t 12-24 hour storm. Can’t be wasting any qpf. -
Reminds me of January 2000.
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If Ji and Jebman ever met, I think the world would explode. Most optimistic poster ever and the most pessimistic ever.
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Euro is annoying. Juice up, baby!
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FWIW, just watched Bernie Rayno’s video. He is a Euro guy but he said thinks the GFS has the right idea for this storm. Thinks CMC is too far west and Euro too weak. He also mentioned that he thinks the midweek deal is a Virginia and south threat just due to the extreme cold air.
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Could be noise but that looks like a small bump NW.
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Just lock up the GFS already. I'm not that worried about the RGEM, but I do think the band of heaviest snow could still shift NW of 95 up into PSU land.
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I wouldn't say really good. Snows a long time at very light rates, but at least it is figuring it out. I'm sure it will figure it out by Sunday.
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I'd rather it just go out to sea than watch what happens on the CMC with NC getting three feet and us getting 6 inches or whatever it is. Hopefully, it continues to adjust northward but seems unlikely. It's likely overamped like it usually is and the GFS or Euro is likely correct.
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Yeah, that map is complete trash. Why would they put something like that out? It's completely nonsensical and confusing to the public and hurts credibility.
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LOL, now it looks less good of course.
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Radar looks good for us. That blob by Frederick looks nice.
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Yeah, I am very confident there will be a run soon where the NAM all the sudden has some juiced up wave.
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Southern MD has probably done best so far in regards to climo, and really even though it hasn't been great since the 2016 blizzard, has done much better than the Baltimore area in comparison. I'm guessing I have somewhere around 10 inches on the season, which is probably right on pace for climo in my location, maybe a little ahead if you consider March has lately been much more of a winter month and December has been much more of a fall month. But in general, the Baltimore area has continued to really struggle even in comparison to DC and Southern MD since 2016. I was at least fortunate enough to get around 8 inches with the last one while those just north of me got far less.
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For real? Where did you see that? I haven't gotten any notification yet. My daughter has her first orchestra concert tonight. She will be crushed.
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The 12-18 is mostly from that day 13 storm though, right? I know sometimes it's delayed, not denied and I'll readily admit it's felt like deep winter with snow on the ground for almost two weeks and almost a wall-to-wall cold so far, but if the Euro is right about the next week, which is a big if, we would be heading into late January basically sitting at climo for most or maybe just ahead for most. You might even possibly be behind climo. Sure, we thought this winter was going to be a disaster going in, but given the cold and the blocking we've had, I think seeing the next major threat being kicked down the road 13 days, IF the Euro is right, is a bit underwhelming.
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Flurries have returned.
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Imagine if we hit flush on Sunday and then we get this thing to gives a MECS or HECS plus into the deep freezer.
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Same.
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LOL, over an inch for me. Looks amazing but I'm going to take the under on that. Either way, nice to see we are starting to A) establish there is going to be a wave in our area and also to narrow those goalposts.
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Back to flurries. Sticking to sidewalk and parts of street and driveway. You know it's cold when you are getting flurries to accumulate on the pavement, especially during the day.
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A steady, wind driven light snow here. Officially a car/grill topper.
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A couple flakes here.
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Nothing for anyone lol. There's no wave. Bizarre.
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Nah, we are going to get two per week!
