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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. osfan24
    The bad news is we are yet again 10 days away, and climo is going to start factoring in to some degree, and increasingly so as time progresses. The good news is that the actual 10 days away thing seems far more real than any of the fake 10 days away stuff people have been constantly getting excited about this year. And if Lucy does pull the football again, at least we all know it's the last time and we can move on to spring.
  2. osfan24
    At least the Americans appear to be back on top.
  3. osfan24
    Pretty sure the Icon IS the toilet.
  4. osfan24
    Yeah we don't need the bleeding to stop. We need a massive shift south.
  5. osfan24
    Not surprised. The margin for error was always so small with this one. Needed the perfect track, and the small shifts north were a bad sign.
  6. osfan24
    Wobbles will obviously continue to occur, but don't like seeing the EPS basically move to a bullseye on NYC. That's way north. We don't want to be on the southern edge. That's a dangerous game to play.
  7. osfan24
    A 978 low in Kentucky is not great. Need it to be way less strong.
  8. osfan24
    I'll take my chances at this point. We've had nothing and we are talking March. Go big or go home.
  9. osfan24
    Well, I saw some flakes. But nothing close to any kind of accumulation. Those maps were awful. Looks like the heaviest preciP was wayyyy south. Next.
  10. osfan24
    Radar looks like straight garbage and I’m already in the mid 30s but I’ll try to keep the faith.
  11. osfan24
    An actual wound up storm rather than an overrunning event. I guess February 2003 was kinda overrunning, but it's the only one I can think of that crushed us with a similar type setup.
  12. osfan24
    DT seems to be wrong a lot but I actually think he is probably right here. I just don't like the trajectory of this storm, especially for those kinds of totals. When have we ever had a storm like this dump on us? This kind of storm always seems to get suppressed and slide to our south or ends up too far north and it rains.
  13. osfan24
    If true, this would be crushing.
  14. osfan24
    I pretty much toss December, though sometimes we can manage some small events there, and expect March to have some chances even if the snow melts away in a day or less. But some of that is probably recency bias because, other than 2009 and a decent event I think in 2013, I can't remember very many December snows, whereas March seems to have been littered with them over the past decade. We've seemingly had some pretty cold March's lately, but that might also be skewed by 13 and 14.
  15. osfan24
    I salute those who are legitimately taking this all seriously still and very closely tracking whatever it is that you are tracking. The true definition of insanity. True gluttons for punishment. It's truly impressive.
  16. osfan24
    This seems about as likely as getting snow on February 29th.
  17. osfan24
    Can something come back that was never here?
  18. osfan24
    Yeah I keep looking at the radar and it is so depressing. Would easily top a foot if this was snow. Radar looks classic.
  19. osfan24
    Is it really drier or is the low just not making it as far north, so the heaviest slug is shifting southeast?
  20. osfan24
    Could be worse. Imagine those people in the Carolina Mountains thinking they could get a foot plus of snow.
  21. osfan24
    Can't believe we didn't even get one good NAMming from this storm. Seemed like the perfect kind of storm that would shoot out a run or two of ridiculous snow totals here.
  22. osfan24
    That should be a 2-3 inch per hour band. Instead, it's rain.
  23. osfan24
    Some very interesting storms in there, especially toward the top. Surprised 1/23/16 was a close match and that we didn't see January 2011 in there. 2/13/14 was in there, but I remember that having a very cold airmass ahead of it. The surprise January 2000 storm is in there. And then, I don't remember it somehow, but the 2006 storm is in there, and from what people have described about it, that seems like more of a match from an air mass standpoint.
  24. osfan24
    Who's gonna dare start the thread?
  25. osfan24
    It's definitely better. A long way to go but certainly enough of a step in the right direction to march forward to 18z.
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