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i wish the weather was like this everyday from march 1st until november 1st. then boom immediate fall and winter, repeat
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Check this tweet from met. Ben Noll out as it actually has a prog of RONI! https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1793235394219434190 ”In a warming world, it's becoming increasingly difficult to disentangle El Niño events from the climate change signal. In other words, when the entire equatorial Pacific Ocean is anomalously warm -like it was in recent months- it can be hard to distinguish the signal from the noise! The Relative Niño 3.4 Index is calculated by subtracting the tropical mean sea surface temperature anomaly (20˚N-20˚S) from the Niño 3.4 Index and multiplying by a scaling factor. The relative index describes the onset of convection better, is not contaminated by global warming, and can be monitored and forecast in real-time. This suggests that La Niña-like atmospheric patterns may build in the months ahead, likely starting before an official La Niña event is classified by most international centers. This is of significance to hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean and weather patterns across the planet. ————————————— This is the first time I’ve ever seen a model prog for RONI! It is the C3S, an average of most of the major models of the world. (See image below) It’s showing RONI-ONI to be -0.67 in May (near what it was FMA) and -0.55 in Oct. Based on this graph, it’s showing a prog of ASO ONI to be ~-0.60 (weak La Niña) but ASO RONI to be ~-1.15 (moderate La Niña), a truer reflection of the predicted strength of La Niña since it is negating the surrounding tropical waters’ warming:
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May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
40/70 Benchmark replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Stay......safe? -
Central Pa. Spring 2024
Mount Joy Snowman replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Indeed, just a stray chance for something. Wife and I plan on taking the boat out for the first time Friday afternoon. Should be glorious. -
Central Pa. Spring 2024
Itstrainingtime replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sunny and 82 at 11:50am. -
Central Pa. Spring 2024
Itstrainingtime replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
At least over this way Friday looks spectacular with full sun and lowering humidity. Almost a zero percent chance of rain. Edit: CTP doesn't necessarily agree with the above statement. LOL -
May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
SouthCoastMA replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
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Eighteen minutes before Nooners: Brilliant sunshine and 81°F. Hoping for a rough storm this afternoon/evening.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
LibertyBell replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I would like to get away from an engineering based scale and back to a scientific meteorological based one. When do you think we will be able to get accurate wind speeds based on radar so we don't need a damage based scale and have one based on actual wind speeds like we have with hurricanes? -
The Bremen area was ef5
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Up up we go
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I was gonna say the same thing. It seems like an act to me. He's probably laughing when he types that crazy stuff.
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Got to be some sort of trolling routine....
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One thing to consider as well is that the Indy 500 is Sunday (I'll be attending as usual). Optimistic that morning rain will clear out in time for the 12:45 green flag and stay clear while instability grows for later in the afternoon. But, anyone chasing in Indiana will likely see packed interstates with 300,000 in attendance.
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May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
Cold Miser replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
lol...But as THE dew lover and master of all that is sticky and moist you should be able to thrive in the hig dews and high heat without man-made creature comforts. -
I understand what ONI in, and SOI, but what is RONI? I tried searching for but to no avail. Can somebody explain this please?
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May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
amarshall replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Just did an oyster farm tour in Osterville. If it was more than 55 I would be shocked. -
You may need to take off your jacket and gloves…
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Temp up to 81° and a sticky DP of 70° here in Lebanon. See if any convection makes it this far east this evening
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Looks like I am going to have to spend lunch hour mowing if I want to get rid of this grass any time soon.
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May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
dendrite replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
79.5/69 We dewy after the storms yesterday. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2024 OBS/Discussion
Rtd208 replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Current temp 83/DP 66/RH 57% -
Current temp 83/DP 66/RH 57%
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