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You are giving us the Tony Heller denial explanation: Urban Heat Island, bias adjustment, blah, blah, blah. Why would the heat island effects at Philadelphia, Atlantic City, Wilmington and Allentown all be the same? Seems very unlikely. The airports are all different, with different levels of urbanization and airport growth. And you have zero evidence to support your UHI assertion. Even more unlikely the bias adjustments for Chester County are the same as the UHI impacts at the regional airports. But wait there is more. The raw temperature measured at Coatesville and East Nantmeal (Chescowx) agree with the airports and NOAA. Whats the problem in your own data? Urban heat Island or is it bias adjustment? No there's a much simpler explanation. Chesco is warming and your latest data concoction is way off. The reason is in your comment Regarding the sites in more detail yes there was as a % more lower elevation sites in the past....which likely skewed those results too warm Finally there is something we can agree on. But its more than elevation. As outlined above multiple factors have skewed your station mix.
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Wow that's lame. West and east aren't critical? Where's the evidence? That's not what your website says: “The National Weather Service split out this zone (PAZ101) from the lower elevations seen across most of Eastern Chester County (PAZ102) a few years ago to better distinguish the climate differences attributed to relative elevation and more inland location from the Atlantic Ocean.” Temperature is a variable that isn't impacted by elevation? Are you kidding? And you completely overlooked north in your comment. Are you denying that north, west and elevated are colder in Chester County? Finally as I showed above your elevation split is inadequate to remove bias. The new 550+ stations added after 2000 have many fewer 90+ days than the pre-2000 stations.There are other factors besides elevation which impact the station temperatures and skew the results. Without properly accounting for station differences you are cooking the books. You assertions are to the contrary are worthless without evidence.
- Today
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May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
Damage In Tolland replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
We’ve been over this many times. The confused emoji means the poster is confused on what they posted. Not the person clicking the emoji. I drive thru there all the time near Soapstone Mountain . Those are all dead Oaks. The Gypsy moths decimated that area a few years ago. -
Agree with you on the peak. Also agree with you that it likely becomes a Modoki event rather quickly
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Looks like its raining down there
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Slow to the punch on this one but it took me awhile to get all these put together since I still really dont know what I'm doing. All timer at these latitudes for sure.
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Central Pa. Spring 2024
DDweatherman replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It dates back pretty far, I’d say Jonny Depp? -
When we lived in Los Angeles for a couple of years we got introduced to June gloom. Happens when the marine layer pushes in and does not burn off.
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i remember once flying back to NYC from the UK. We landed at JFK around 11pm and the flight attendant upon landing gave the time and the local temp of 86F / 30C. All the Brits were like "WTF???" I laughed and was like yeah welcome to NYC in July.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2024 OBS/Discussion
Albedoman replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
the media can stick this forecasted inferno summer where the sun doesn't shine ----- oops thats right here. Rinse repeat with drizzle again this weekend. This is just an incredible weather pattern we are stuck in. No storms can fire up east of Columbus Ohio. stratus rain clouds that hang on forever. The amount of mold spores has to be off the charts in our area. I wish for a normal convective squall line to appear with a cold front but I do see that happening until June. What really dislike is the gusty winds that have accompanied these stratus clouds like yesterday with 30 mph gusts and temps in the low 60's Its like fall weather -
Central Pa. Spring 2024
Itstrainingtime replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
He's going to sell tickets. Who was the last Pirate that fans specifically bought tickets to see? -
Central Pa. Spring 2024
Itstrainingtime replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good for you. I hope you have an amazing night! -
If you’re ever in Sarasota, go to Arts and Central. That’s a Negroni with a hint of vanilla, a lobster corn dog, hummus, and pork belly and octopus. Part of my family owns it. It’s wonderful,
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You been to trigo in willi yet?
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
^That's one heck of a -PDO! approaching +5c anomalies. I did some work in the beginning of this thread, linking -PDO with increased activity, and it was a just a question of if it would hold for Aug-Sept-Oct. It appears we are well on that way. Another thing with the PDO is, it has a Summer/Fall correlation with 500mb SE Canada ridging, which is the typical pattern for Gulf of Mexico hits, as storms track more E->W under the ridge https://ibb.co/bBzXWtq (correlation is default positive, so opposite) The PDO actually historically correlates with favorable/unfavorable H5 patterns more than ENSO does. -
I don’t remember having so many tornadoes in a season in the area, but it also seems the events are so very isolated instead of large area wide severe events. Very strange weather patterns this season.
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We have the most boring weather in the world compared to them Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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Texas 2024 Discussion/Observations
Normandy replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Basically hurricane Ike like wind damage from a MCS. Very very impressive- 230 replies
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- flooding
- mcs season
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Pittsburgh/Western PA Spring 2024
KPITSnow replied to Ahoff's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I saw the wall cloud. Driving down from North hills down 279 around 415/420. Looked suspicious but not completely abnormal, and checked to see if warnings but saw none. if I would have known I’d have tried to chase a bit down towards millvale -
May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
Sled replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
I had several morel spots that grew around ashes that have since vaporized as well. -
May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
Sled replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Yea, sucks. Only a matter of time before yours are too. It hit home they were all gonna go about 5 years ago when asplundh took down the giant ash tree I walked by almost every day as a kid after getting off the bus. Wasn't long before they were all dead in my home town. I've got a couple hunks of 3' round of the butt log of one from my buddies house to mill up. Hopefully I get to it before the real bugs. -
May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
AstronomyEnjoyer replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
I ask myself why I'm confused all the time. I used to be regarded as smart. -
It could be worse, it could be like Hong Kong when I had to air swim to my Airbnb.
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May 2024 Discussion - Welcome to Severe Season!!!!
kdxken replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Why are you confused? Have you been through Somers? So many dead ash trees... -
If we weren’t going into a Nina in a few months I would say it would be trying to make a run to top 2018.